部分属实

评分: 6.0/10

Coalition
C0960

声明内容

“违背了国家宽带网络25MBi/s的竞选承诺,并宣布其成本将高于他们承诺的金额。”
原始来源: Matthew Davis

原始来源

✅ 事实核查

该gāi gāi 声明shēng míng shēng míng 包含bāo hán bāo hán 两个liǎng gè liǎng gè 需要xū yào xū yào 核实hé shí hé shí 的de de 不同bù tóng bù tóng 指控zhǐ kòng zhǐ kòng 。。 。
The claim contains two distinct allegations that require verification. **On breaking the election promise for 25Mbps:** The Coalition's 2013 broadband policy promised a minimum download speed of 25 Mbps by the end of 2016, with a range of 25-100 Mbps for most premises [1].
** * ** * 关于guān yú guān yú 违背wéi bèi wéi bèi 25Mbps25Mbps 25Mbps 竞选jìng xuǎn jìng xuǎn 承诺chéng nuò chéng nuò :: : ** * ** *
The original claim text contains a typo ("25MBi/s" likely means 25 Mbps).
CoalitionCoalition Coalition 20132013 2013 年nián nián 的de de 宽带kuān dài kuān dài 政策zhèng cè zhèng cè 承诺chéng nuò chéng nuò 到dào dào 20162016 2016 年底nián dǐ nián dǐ 最低zuì dī zuì dī 下载速度xià zài sù dù xià zài sù dù 达到dá dào dá dào 2525 25 MbpsMbps Mbps ,, , 大多数dà duō shù dà duō shù 住宅zhù zhái zhù zhái 的de de 速度sù dù sù dù 范围fàn wéi fàn wéi 为wèi wèi 2525 25 -- - 100100 100 MbpsMbps Mbps [[ [ 11 1 ]] ] 。。 。
After taking office in September 2013, the Coalition did maintain the 25 Mbps minimum speed target but changed the technology from Labor's fiber-to-the-premises (FTTP) model to a multi-technology mix (MTM) incorporating fiber-to-the-node (FTTN), HFC cable, and other technologies [2].
原始yuán shǐ yuán shǐ 声明shēng míng shēng míng 文本wén běn wén běn 包含bāo hán bāo hán 一个yí gè yí gè 拼写错误pīn xiě cuò wù pīn xiě cuò wù (( ( "" " 25MBi25MBi 25MBi // / ss s "" " 可能kě néng kě néng 指zhǐ zhǐ 2525 25 MbpsMbps Mbps )) ) 。。 。
The Coalition did not technically "break" the 25 Mbps promise in policy - it remained the minimum target.
20132013 2013 年nián nián 99 9 月yuè yuè 上台shàng tái shàng tái 后hòu hòu ,, , CoalitionCoalition Coalition 确实què shí què shí 维持wéi chí wéi chí 了le le 2525 25 MbpsMbps Mbps 的de de 最低zuì dī zuì dī 速度sù dù sù dù 目标mù biāo mù biāo ,, , 但dàn dàn 将jiāng jiāng 技术jì shù jì shù 从cóng cóng LaborLabor Labor 的de de 光纤guāng xiān guāng xiān 到户dào hù dào hù (( ( FTTPFTTP FTTP )) ) 模式mó shì mó shì 改为gǎi wéi gǎi wéi 多duō duō 技术jì shù jì shù 混合hùn hé hùn hé (( ( MTMMTM MTM )) ) ,, , 结合jié hé jié hé 了le le 光纤guāng xiān guāng xiān 到dào dào 节点jié diǎn jié diǎn (( ( FTTNFTTN FTTN )) ) 、、 、 HFCHFC HFC 电缆diàn lǎn diàn lǎn 和hé hé 其他qí tā qí tā 技术jì shù jì shù [[ [ 22 2 ]] ] 。。 。
However, the speed promise became contentious because the MTM approach using FTTN technology delivered highly variable speeds depending on copper line quality and distance from nodes, with many premises receiving significantly less than 25 Mbps in practice [3]. **On cost exceeding promises:** This allegation is factually accurate.
CoalitionCoalition Coalition 在zài zài 技术jì shù jì shù 层面céng miàn céng miàn 并未bìng wèi bìng wèi "" " 违背wéi bèi wéi bèi "" " 2525 25 MbpsMbps Mbps 的de de 承诺chéng nuò chéng nuò —— — —— — 这zhè zhè 仍然réng rán réng rán 是shì shì 最低zuì dī zuì dī 目标mù biāo mù biāo 。。 。
The Coalition's 2013 Strategic Review estimated the MTM NBN would cost $41 billion [4].
然而rán ér rán ér ,, , 速度sù dù sù dù 承诺chéng nuò chéng nuò 变得biàn dé biàn dé 有yǒu yǒu 争议zhēng yì zhēng yì ,, , 因为yīn wèi yīn wèi 使用shǐ yòng shǐ yòng FTTNFTTN FTTN 技术jì shù jì shù 的de de MTMMTM MTM 方式fāng shì fāng shì 根据gēn jù gēn jù 铜线tóng xiàn tóng xiàn 质量zhì liàng zhì liàng 和hé hé 与yǔ yǔ 节点jié diǎn jié diǎn 的de de 距离jù lí jù lí 产生chǎn shēng chǎn shēng 了le le 高度gāo dù gāo dù 可变kě biàn kě biàn 的de de 速度sù dù sù dù ,, , 许多xǔ duō xǔ duō 住宅zhù zhái zhù zhái 实际shí jì shí jì 接收jiē shōu jiē shōu 到dào dào 的de de 速度sù dù sù dù 明显míng xiǎn míng xiǎn 低于dī yú dī yú 2525 25 MbpsMbps Mbps [[ [ 33 3 ]] ] 。。 。
However, by August 2015, the cost had blown out to between $46 billion and $56 billion - an increase of up to $15 billion [5].
** * ** * 关于guān yú guān yú 成本chéng běn chéng běn 超出chāo chū chāo chū 承诺chéng nuò chéng nuò :: : ** * ** *
Communications Minister Malcolm Turnbull confirmed this blowout but argued the final cost would still be "around $30 billion less than what it would cost to go down the route the Labor Party had set the company on" [6].
这一zhè yī zhè yī 指控zhǐ kòng zhǐ kòng 是shì shì 事实shì shí shì shí 准确zhǔn què zhǔn què 的de de 。。 。
By 2022, the AFR reported the total cost blowout had reached $31 billion above Labor's original 2009 promise of $43 billion [7].
CoalitionCoalition Coalition 20132013 2013 年nián nián 的de de 战略zhàn lüè zhàn lüè 评估píng gū píng gū 估计gū jì gū jì MTMMTM MTM NBNNBN NBN 将jiāng jiāng 耗资hào zī hào zī 410410 410 亿澳元yì ào yuán yì ào yuán [[ [ 44 4 ]] ] 。。 。
然而rán ér rán ér ,, , 到dào dào 20152015 2015 年nián nián 88 8 月yuè yuè ,, , 成本chéng běn chéng běn 已yǐ yǐ 膨胀péng zhàng péng zhàng 至zhì zhì 460460 460 亿至yì zhì yì zhì 560560 560 亿澳元yì ào yuán yì ào yuán 之间zhī jiān zhī jiān —— — —— — 增加zēng jiā zēng jiā 了le le 高达gāo dá gāo dá 150150 150 亿澳元yì ào yuán yì ào yuán [[ [ 55 5 ]] ] 。。 。
通信tōng xìn tōng xìn 部长bù zhǎng bù zhǎng MalcolmMalcolm Malcolm TurnbullTurnbull Turnbull 确认què rèn què rèn 了le le 这次zhè cì zhè cì 成本chéng běn chéng běn 膨胀péng zhàng péng zhàng ,, , 但dàn dàn 辩称biàn chēng biàn chēng 最终zuì zhōng zuì zhōng 成本chéng běn chéng běn 仍réng réng 将jiāng jiāng "" " 比bǐ bǐ 按照àn zhào àn zhào LaborLabor Labor 党dǎng dǎng 设定shè dìng shè dìng 的de de 路线lù xiàn lù xiàn 走zǒu zǒu 下去xià qù xià qù 少shǎo shǎo 花费huā fèi huā fèi 约yuē yuē 300300 300 亿澳元yì ào yuán yì ào yuán "" " [[ [ 66 6 ]] ] 。。 。
到dào dào 20222022 2022 年nián nián ,, , 《《 《 澳大利亚ào dà lì yà ào dà lì yà 金融jīn róng jīn róng 评论píng lùn píng lùn 报bào bào 》》 》 报道bào dào bào dào 称chēng chēng ,, , 总成本zǒng chéng běn zǒng chéng běn 膨胀péng zhàng péng zhàng 已yǐ yǐ 达到dá dào dá dào LaborLabor Labor 20092009 2009 年原nián yuán nián yuán 承诺chéng nuò chéng nuò 430430 430 亿澳元yì ào yuán yì ào yuán 之上zhī shàng zhī shàng 的de de 310310 310 亿澳元yì ào yuán yì ào yuán [[ [ 77 7 ]] ] 。。 。

缺失背景

** * ** * LaborLabor Labor 的de de NBNNBN NBN 也yě yě 有yǒu yǒu 其qí qí 自身zì shēn zì shēn 的de de 成本chéng běn chéng běn 和hé hé 时间表shí jiān biǎo shí jiān biǎo 问题wèn tí wèn tí :: : ** * ** *
**Labor's NBN had its own cost and timeline issues:** The claim omits that Labor's original FTTP-based NBN plan, announced in 2009 with a $43 billion price tag, also experienced significant cost overruns and delays [8].
该gāi gāi 声明shēng míng shēng míng 忽略hū lüè hū lüè 了le le LaborLabor Labor 基于jī yú jī yú FTTPFTTP FTTP 的de de NBNNBN NBN 计划jì huà jì huà ,, , 该gāi gāi 计划jì huà jì huà 于yú yú 20092009 2009 年nián nián 宣布xuān bù xuān bù ,, , 标价biāo jià biāo jià 430430 430 亿澳元yì ào yuán yì ào yuán ,, , 也yě yě 经历jīng lì jīng lì 了le le 显著xiǎn zhù xiǎn zhù 的de de 成本chéng běn chéng běn 超支chāo zhī chāo zhī 和hé hé 延期yán qī yán qī [[ [ 88 8 ]] ] 。。 。
The NBN Co Strategic Review commissioned by the Coalition estimated that continuing with Labor's FTTP plan would have cost $73 billion and taken until 2028 to complete - eight years longer than the MTM approach [9]. **The technology choice involved legitimate trade-offs:** The shift from FTTP to MTM was not simply about cost-cutting but reflected different philosophical approaches to broadband infrastructure.
CoalitionCoalition Coalition 委托wěi tuō wěi tuō 进行jìn xíng jìn xíng 的de de NBNNBN NBN CoCo Co 战略zhàn lüè zhàn lüè 评估píng gū píng gū 估计gū jì gū jì ,, , 继续jì xù jì xù 实施shí shī shí shī LaborLabor Labor 的de de FTTPFTTP FTTP 计划jì huà jì huà 将jiāng jiāng 耗资hào zī hào zī 730730 730 亿澳元yì ào yuán yì ào yuán ,, , 需要xū yào xū yào 到dào dào 20282028 2028 年nián nián 才能cái néng cái néng 完成wán chéng wán chéng —— — —— — 比bǐ bǐ MTMMTM MTM 方式fāng shì fāng shì 多duō duō 耗时hào shí hào shí 八年bā nián bā nián [[ [ 99 9 ]] ] 。。 。
Labor's FTTP offered higher ultimate speeds but at greater upfront cost and longer deployment time.
** * ** * 技术jì shù jì shù 选择xuǎn zé xuǎn zé 涉及shè jí shè jí 合理hé lǐ hé lǐ 的de de 权衡quán héng quán héng :: : ** * ** *
The Coalition's MTM promised faster rollout and lower initial costs but with lower speed ceilings and reliance on aging copper infrastructure [10]. **Speed promise nuances:** The 25 Mbps figure was a minimum target, not a guarantee for every premises.
从cóng cóng FTTPFTTP FTTP 转向zhuǎn xiàng zhuǎn xiàng MTMMTM MTM 不仅仅bù jǐn jǐn bù jǐn jǐn 是shì shì 削减xuē jiǎn xuē jiǎn 成本chéng běn chéng běn ,, , 而是ér shì ér shì 反映fǎn yìng fǎn yìng 了le le 对duì duì 宽带kuān dài kuān dài 基础设施jī chǔ shè shī jī chǔ shè shī 的de de 不同bù tóng bù tóng 理念lǐ niàn lǐ niàn 。。 。
The Coalition's policy actually promised "25–100 Mbps" for most premises, with peak speeds up to 100 Mbps [11].
LaborLabor Labor 的de de FTTPFTTP FTTP 提供tí gōng tí gōng 更gèng gèng 高gāo gāo 的de de 最终zuì zhōng zuì zhōng 速度sù dù sù dù ,, , 但dàn dàn 前期qián qī qián qī 成本chéng běn chéng běn 更高gèng gāo gèng gāo ,, , 部署bù shǔ bù shǔ 时间shí jiān shí jiān 更长gèng zhǎng gèng zhǎng 。。 。
The technology change meant actual speeds varied significantly based on infrastructure quality.
CoalitionCoalition Coalition 的de de MTMMTM MTM 承诺chéng nuò chéng nuò 更快gèng kuài gèng kuài 的de de 推广tuī guǎng tuī guǎng 和hé hé 更gèng gèng 低dī dī 的de de 初始chū shǐ chū shǐ 成本chéng běn chéng běn ,, , 但dàn dàn 速度sù dù sù dù 上限shàng xiàn shàng xiàn 较jiào jiào 低dī dī ,, , 并bìng bìng 依赖yī lài yī lài 老化lǎo huà lǎo huà 的de de 铜tóng tóng 基础设施jī chǔ shè shī jī chǔ shè shī [[ [ 1010 10 ]] ] 。。 。
** * ** * 速度sù dù sù dù 承诺chéng nuò chéng nuò 的de de 细微差别xì wēi chā bié xì wēi chā bié :: : ** * ** *
2525 25 MbpsMbps Mbps 的de de 数字shù zì shù zì 是shì shì 最低zuì dī zuì dī 目标mù biāo mù biāo ,, , 而ér ér 非fēi fēi 对duì duì 每个měi gè měi gè 住宅zhù zhái zhù zhái 的de de 保证bǎo zhèng bǎo zhèng 。。 。
CoalitionCoalition Coalition 的de de 政策zhèng cè zhèng cè 实际上shí jì shàng shí jì shàng 承诺chéng nuò chéng nuò 大多数dà duō shù dà duō shù 住宅zhù zhái zhù zhái "" " 2525 25 -- - 100100 100 MbpsMbps Mbps "" " ,, , 峰值fēng zhí fēng zhí 速度sù dù sù dù 可达kě dá kě dá 100100 100 MbpsMbps Mbps [[ [ 1111 11 ]] ] 。。 。
技术jì shù jì shù 变更biàn gēng biàn gēng 意味着yì wèi zhe yì wèi zhe 实际shí jì shí jì 速度sù dù sù dù 根据gēn jù gēn jù 基础设施jī chǔ shè shī jī chǔ shè shī 质量zhì liàng zhì liàng 差异chā yì chā yì 显著xiǎn zhù xiǎn zhù 。。 。

来源可信度评估

原始yuán shǐ yuán shǐ 来源lái yuán lái yuán 是shì shì ** * ** * 《《 《 澳大利亚ào dà lì yà ào dà lì yà 金融jīn róng jīn róng 评论píng lùn píng lùn 报bào bào 》》 》 (( ( AFRAFR AFR )) ) ** * ** * ,, , 这是zhè shì zhè shì 澳大利亚ào dà lì yà ào dà lì yà 一家yī jiā yī jiā 主流zhǔ liú zhǔ liú 财经cái jīng cái jīng 报纸bào zhǐ bào zhǐ 。。 。
The original source is the **Australian Financial Review (AFR)**, which is a reputable mainstream financial newspaper in Australia.
AFRAFR AFR 通常tōng cháng tōng cháng 被bèi bèi 认为rèn wéi rèn wéi 是shì shì 可信kě xìn kě xìn 且qiě qiě 非fēi fēi 党派dǎng pài dǎng pài 的de de ,, , 尽管jǐn guǎn jǐn guǎn 其qí qí 读者群dú zhě qún dú zhě qún 偏向piān xiàng piān xiàng 商业shāng yè shāng yè 和hé hé 专业zhuān yè zhuān yè 受众shòu zhòng shòu zhòng [[ [ 1212 12 ]] ] 。。 。
AFR is generally considered credible and non-partisan, though its readership skews toward business and professional audiences [12].
该gāi gāi 文章wén zhāng wén zhāng 于yú yú 20132013 2013 年nián nián 1212 12 月yuè yuè 发表fā biǎo fā biǎo ,, , 即jí jí 在zài zài CoalitionCoalition Coalition 宣布xuān bù xuān bù 其qí qí 修订版xiū dìng bǎn xiū dìng bǎn NBNNBN NBN 政策zhèng cè zhèng cè 后hòu hòu 不久bù jiǔ bù jiǔ ,, , 提供tí gōng tí gōng 了le le 对duì duì 政策zhèng cè zhèng cè 转变zhuǎn biàn zhuǎn biàn 的de de 同tóng tóng 时期shí qī shí qī 报道bào dào bào dào 。。 。
The December 2013 article would have been published shortly after the Coalition announced its revised NBN policy, providing contemporaneous coverage of the policy shift.
存档cún dàng cún dàng 来源lái yuán lái yuán 可kě kě 通过tōng guò tōng guò 互联网hù lián wǎng hù lián wǎng 档案馆dàng àn guǎn dàng àn guǎn 访问fǎng wèn fǎng wèn ,, , 确认què rèn què rèn 文章wén zhāng wén zhāng 存在cún zài cún zài 并bìng bìng 在zài zài 声称shēng chēng shēng chēng 的de de 日期rì qī rì qī 发表fā biǎo fā biǎo 。。 。
The archived source is accessible via the Wayback Machine, confirming the article existed and was published on the claimed date.
⚖️

工党对比

** * ** * LaborLabor Labor 是否shì fǒu shì fǒu 也yě yě 做zuò zuò 过guò guò 类似lèi sì lèi sì 的de de 事情shì qíng shì qíng ?? ?
**Did Labor do something similar?** **Search conducted:** "Labor government NBN cost overruns original estimate 2009 2013" **Finding:** Labor's NBN had comparable issues with cost and timeline management.
** * ** *
Labor's original 2009 NBN announcement promised: - Cost: $43 billion [13] - Timeline: 8 years (completion by 2017) - Technology: 93% fiber-to-the-premises (FTTP) By 2013, under Labor's management: - The rollout was significantly behind schedule - Costs had already begun escalating - Only a fraction of the promised premises had been connected - NBN Co had to repeatedly revise its corporate plan with extended timelines The Coalition's Strategic Review estimated that continuing with Labor's FTTP plan would cost $73 billion - $30 billion more than the MTM alternative [14].
** * ** * 搜索sōu suǒ sōu suǒ 进行jìn xíng jìn xíng :: : ** * ** * "" " LaborLabor Labor 政府zhèng fǔ zhèng fǔ NBNNBN NBN 成本chéng běn chéng běn 超支chāo zhī chāo zhī 原始yuán shǐ yuán shǐ 估计gū jì gū jì 20092009 2009 20132013 2013 "" "
While this Coalition-commissioned review can be questioned for potential bias, independent analysis has generally supported that the FTTP approach was more expensive and time-consuming [15]. **Comparison of both parties' NBN performance:** | Metric | Labor Promise (2009) | Coalition Promise (2013) | Coalition Result | |--------|---------------------|-------------------------|------------------| | Cost | $43 billion | $41 billion | $46-56 billion | | Timeline | 2017 | 2020 | 2020 (achieved) | | Technology | FTTP (93%) | MTM mix | MTM mix | | Min Speed | 100 Mbps (peak) | 25 Mbps | Variable (FTTN <25 Mbps common) | Both governments struggled with NBN delivery.
** * ** * 发现fā xiàn fā xiàn :: : ** * ** * LaborLabor Labor 的de de NBNNBN NBN 在zài zài 成本chéng běn chéng běn 和hé hé 时间表shí jiān biǎo shí jiān biǎo 管理guǎn lǐ guǎn lǐ 方面fāng miàn fāng miàn 有yǒu yǒu 类似lèi sì lèi sì 的de de 问题wèn tí wèn tí 。。 。
Labor's approach was more ambitious technically but faced massive rollout challenges.
LaborLabor Labor 20092009 2009 年原nián yuán nián yuán NBNNBN NBN 公告gōng gào gōng gào 承诺chéng nuò chéng nuò :: :
The Coalition promised faster, cheaper delivery but also experienced cost blowouts and delivered a technically inferior product [16].
-- - 成本chéng běn chéng běn :: : 430430 430 亿澳元yì ào yuán yì ào yuán [[ [ 1313 13 ]] ]
-- - 时间表shí jiān biǎo shí jiān biǎo :: : 88 8 年nián nián (( ( 20172017 2017 年nián nián 完成wán chéng wán chéng )) )
-- - 技术jì shù jì shù :: : 93%93% 93% 光纤guāng xiān guāng xiān 到户dào hù dào hù (( ( FTTPFTTP FTTP )) )
到dào dào 20132013 2013 年nián nián ,, , 在zài zài LaborLabor Labor 的de de 管理guǎn lǐ guǎn lǐ 下xià xià :: :
-- - 推广tuī guǎng tuī guǎng 进度jìn dù jìn dù 严重yán zhòng yán zhòng 落后luò hòu luò hòu 于yú yú 时间表shí jiān biǎo shí jiān biǎo
-- - 成本chéng běn chéng běn 已经yǐ jīng yǐ jīng 开始kāi shǐ kāi shǐ 攀升pān shēng pān shēng
-- - 仅jǐn jǐn 有yǒu yǒu 承诺chéng nuò chéng nuò 住宅zhù zhái zhù zhái 的de de 一小部分yī xiǎo bù fèn yī xiǎo bù fèn 完成wán chéng wán chéng 了le le 连接lián jiē lián jiē
-- - NBNNBN NBN CoCo Co 不得不bù dé bù bù dé bù 反复fǎn fù fǎn fù 修订xiū dìng xiū dìng 其qí qí 公司gōng sī gōng sī 计划jì huà jì huà ,, , 延长yán cháng yán cháng 时间表shí jiān biǎo shí jiān biǎo
CoalitionCoalition Coalition 的de de 战略zhàn lüè zhàn lüè 评估píng gū píng gū 估计gū jì gū jì ,, , 继续jì xù jì xù 实施shí shī shí shī LaborLabor Labor 的de de FTTPFTTP FTTP 计划jì huà jì huà 将jiāng jiāng 耗资hào zī hào zī 730730 730 亿澳元yì ào yuán yì ào yuán —— — —— — 比bǐ bǐ MTMMTM MTM 替代tì dài tì dài 方案fāng àn fāng àn 多duō duō 300300 300 亿澳元yì ào yuán yì ào yuán [[ [ 1414 14 ]] ] 。。 。
虽然suī rán suī rán 这份zhè fèn zhè fèn CoalitionCoalition Coalition 委托wěi tuō wěi tuō 的de de 评估píng gū píng gū 可能kě néng kě néng 因yīn yīn 潜在qián zài qián zài 偏见piān jiàn piān jiàn 而ér ér 受到shòu dào shòu dào 质疑zhì yí zhì yí ,, , 但dàn dàn 独立dú lì dú lì 分析fēn xī fēn xī 普遍pǔ biàn pǔ biàn 支持zhī chí zhī chí FTTPFTTP FTTP 方式fāng shì fāng shì 更gèng gèng 昂贵áng guì áng guì 、、 、 更gèng gèng 耗时hào shí hào shí 的de de 观点guān diǎn guān diǎn [[ [ 1515 15 ]] ] 。。 。
** * ** * 两党liǎng dǎng liǎng dǎng NBNNBN NBN 表现biǎo xiàn biǎo xiàn 比较bǐ jiào bǐ jiào :: : ** * ** *
|| | 指标zhǐ biāo zhǐ biāo || | LaborLabor Labor 承诺chéng nuò chéng nuò (( ( 20092009 2009 年nián nián )) ) || | CoalitionCoalition Coalition 承诺chéng nuò chéng nuò (( ( 20132013 2013 年nián nián )) ) || | CoalitionCoalition Coalition 结果jié guǒ jié guǒ || |
|| | ---------------- -------- || | ------------------------------------------ --------------------- || | -------------------------------------------------- ------------------------- || | ------------------------------------ ------------------ || |
|| | 成本chéng běn chéng běn || | 430430 430 亿澳元yì ào yuán yì ào yuán || | 410410 410 亿澳元yì ào yuán yì ào yuán || | 460460 460 -- - 560560 560 亿澳元yì ào yuán yì ào yuán || |
|| | 时间表shí jiān biǎo shí jiān biǎo || | 20172017 2017 年nián nián || | 20202020 2020 年nián nián || | 20202020 2020 年nián nián (( ( 达成dá chéng dá chéng )) ) || |
|| | 技术jì shù jì shù || | FTTPFTTP FTTP (( ( 93%93% 93% )) ) || | MTMMTM MTM 混合hùn hé hùn hé || | MTMMTM MTM 混合hùn hé hùn hé || |
|| | 最低zuì dī zuì dī 速度sù dù sù dù || | 100100 100 MbpsMbps Mbps (( ( 峰值fēng zhí fēng zhí )) ) || | 2525 25 MbpsMbps Mbps || | 可变kě biàn kě biàn (( ( FTTNFTTN FTTN << < 2525 25 MbpsMbps Mbps 常见cháng jiàn cháng jiàn )) ) || |
两党liǎng dǎng liǎng dǎng 政府zhèng fǔ zhèng fǔ 都dōu dōu 在zài zài NBNNBN NBN 交付jiāo fù jiāo fù 上shàng shàng 遇到困难yù dào kùn nán yù dào kùn nán 。。 。
LaborLabor Labor 的de de 技术jì shù jì shù 方案fāng àn fāng àn 更为gèng wéi gèng wéi 雄心勃勃xióng xīn bó bó xióng xīn bó bó ,, , 但dàn dàn 面临miàn lín miàn lín 巨大jù dà jù dà 的de de 推广tuī guǎng tuī guǎng 挑战tiǎo zhàn tiǎo zhàn 。。 。
CoalitionCoalition Coalition 承诺chéng nuò chéng nuò 更gèng gèng 快kuài kuài 、、 、 更gèng gèng 便宜pián yi pián yi 的de de 交付jiāo fù jiāo fù ,, , 但dàn dàn 也yě yě 经历jīng lì jīng lì 了le le 成本chéng běn chéng běn 膨胀péng zhàng péng zhàng ,, , 并bìng bìng 交付jiāo fù jiāo fù 了le le 一个yí gè yí gè 技术jì shù jì shù 上shàng shàng 较差jiào chà jiào chà 的de de 产品chǎn pǐn chǎn pǐn [[ [ 1616 16 ]] ] 。。 。
🌐

平衡视角

** * ** * CoalitionCoalition Coalition 方法fāng fǎ fāng fǎ 的de de 政策zhèng cè zhèng cè 合理性hé lǐ xìng hé lǐ xìng :: : ** * ** *
**Policy rationale for the Coalition's approach:** The Coalition argued that Labor's FTTP plan was taking too long and costing too much, leaving many Australians without adequate broadband for years.
CoalitionCoalition Coalition 辩称biàn chēng biàn chēng ,, , LaborLabor Labor 的de de FTTPFTTP FTTP 计划jì huà jì huà 耗时hào shí hào shí 过长guò cháng guò cháng 、、 、 成本chéng běn chéng běn 过高guò gāo guò gāo ,, , 让ràng ràng 许多xǔ duō xǔ duō 澳大利亚人ào dà lì yà rén ào dà lì yà rén 多年duō nián duō nián 无法wú fǎ wú fǎ 获得huò dé huò dé 足够zú gòu zú gòu 的de de 宽带kuān dài kuān dài 。。 。
Their MTM approach prioritized getting some improvement to premises sooner rather than perfect service much later [17].
他们tā men tā men 的de de MTMMTM MTM 方式fāng shì fāng shì 优先yōu xiān yōu xiān 考虑kǎo lǜ kǎo lǜ 让ràng ràng 一些yī xiē yī xiē 住宅zhù zhái zhù zhái 尽快jǐn kuài jǐn kuài 获得huò dé huò dé 改善gǎi shàn gǎi shàn ,, , 而ér ér 非fēi fēi 让ràng ràng 完美wán měi wán měi 服务fú wù fú wù 延迟yán chí yán chí 多年duō nián duō nián [[ [ 1717 17 ]] ] 。。 。
The government maintained that 25 Mbps would be sufficient for most household needs at the time. **Legitimate criticisms of the Coalition approach:** Critics, including former NBN Co CEO Mike Quigley, argued that the MTM approach was a false economy.
政府zhèng fǔ zhèng fǔ 坚持jiān chí jiān chí 认为rèn wéi rèn wéi ,, , 2525 25 MbpsMbps Mbps 在zài zài 当时dāng shí dāng shí 足以zú yǐ zú yǐ 满足mǎn zú mǎn zú 大多数dà duō shù dà duō shù 家庭jiā tíng jiā tíng 需求xū qiú xū qiú 。。 。
The reliance on copper lines (FTTN) resulted in: - Highly variable speeds - Higher ongoing maintenance costs - Lower future-proofing - Need for subsequent expensive upgrades (which Labor began implementing in 2022) [18] The AFR's 2022 analysis concluded that "the Coalition's meddling was largely to blame for a decade of misguided spending" [19]. **Neither party's approach was flawless:** The NBN became a political football with both parties using it for point-scoring rather than collaborative long-term infrastructure planning.
** * ** * 对duì duì CoalitionCoalition Coalition 方式fāng shì fāng shì 的de de 合理hé lǐ hé lǐ 批评pī píng pī píng :: : ** * ** *
The fundamental challenge - building nationwide broadband to a vast, sparsely populated continent - was always going to be difficult regardless of technology choice [20].
批评者pī píng zhě pī píng zhě ,, , 包括bāo kuò bāo kuò 前qián qián NBNNBN NBN CoCo Co 首席shǒu xí shǒu xí 执行官zhí xíng guān zhí xíng guān MikeMike Mike QuigleyQuigley Quigley ,, , 认为rèn wéi rèn wéi MTMMTM MTM 方式fāng shì fāng shì 是shì shì 一种yī zhǒng yī zhǒng 虚假xū jiǎ xū jiǎ 经济jīng jì jīng jì 。。 。
对duì duì 铜线tóng xiàn tóng xiàn (( ( FTTNFTTN FTTN )) ) 的de de 依赖yī lài yī lài 导致dǎo zhì dǎo zhì :: :
-- - 高度gāo dù gāo dù 可变kě biàn kě biàn 的de de 速度sù dù sù dù
-- - 更gèng gèng 高gāo gāo 的de de 持续chí xù chí xù 维护wéi hù wéi hù 成本chéng běn chéng běn
-- - 较jiào jiào 低dī dī 的de de 未来wèi lái wèi lái 适应性shì yìng xìng shì yìng xìng
-- - 需要xū yào xū yào 随后suí hòu suí hòu 进行jìn xíng jìn xíng 昂贵áng guì áng guì 的de de 升级shēng jí shēng jí (( ( LaborLabor Labor 于yú yú 20222022 2022 年nián nián 开始kāi shǐ kāi shǐ 实施shí shī shí shī )) ) [[ [ 1818 18 ]] ]
《《 《 澳大利亚ào dà lì yà ào dà lì yà 金融jīn róng jīn róng 评论píng lùn píng lùn 报bào bào 》》 》 20222022 2022 年nián nián 的de de 分析fēn xī fēn xī 得出结论dé chū jié lùn dé chū jié lùn ,, , "" " CoalitionCoalition Coalition 的de de 干预gān yù gān yù 在zài zài 很大hěn dà hěn dà 程度chéng dù chéng dù 上shàng shàng 应为yīng wèi yīng wèi 十年shí nián shí nián 来lái lái 的de de 误导性wù dǎo xìng wù dǎo xìng 支出zhī chū zhī chū 负责fù zé fù zé "" " [[ [ 1919 19 ]] ] 。。 。
** * ** * 两党liǎng dǎng liǎng dǎng 的de de 方法fāng fǎ fāng fǎ 都dōu dōu 不bù bù 完美wán měi wán měi :: : ** * ** *
NBNNBN NBN 变成biàn chéng biàn chéng 了le le 一个yí gè yí gè 政治zhèng zhì zhèng zhì 皮球pí qiú pí qiú ,, , 两党liǎng dǎng liǎng dǎng 都dōu dōu 将jiāng jiāng 其qí qí 用于yòng yú yòng yú 争分zhēng fēn zhēng fēn 而ér ér 非fēi fēi 协作xié zuò xié zuò 的de de 长期cháng qī cháng qī 基础设施jī chǔ shè shī jī chǔ shè shī 规划guī huà guī huà 。。 。
无论wú lùn wú lùn 技术jì shù jì shù 选择xuǎn zé xuǎn zé 如何rú hé rú hé ,, , 根本gēn běn gēn běn 挑战tiǎo zhàn tiǎo zhàn —— — —— — 为wèi wèi 一个yí gè yí gè 人口rén kǒu rén kǒu 稀疏xī shū xī shū 的de de 广阔guǎng kuò guǎng kuò 大陆dà lù dà lù 建设jiàn shè jiàn shè 全国性quán guó xìng quán guó xìng 宽带kuān dài kuān dài —— — —— — 始终shǐ zhōng shǐ zhōng 是shì shì 困难kùn nán kùn nán 的de de [[ [ 2020 20 ]] ] 。。 。

部分属实

6.0

/ 10

该gāi gāi 声明shēng míng shēng míng 部分bù fèn bù fèn 准确zhǔn què zhǔn què 但dàn dàn 过于guò yú guò yú 简化jiǎn huà jiǎn huà 。。 。
The claim is partially accurate but oversimplified.
CoalitionCoalition Coalition 在技术上zài jì shù shàng zài jì shù shàng 并未bìng wèi bìng wèi 违背wéi bèi wéi bèi "" " 25MBi25MBi 25MBi // / ss s "" " (( ( 2525 25 MbpsMbps Mbps )) ) 的de de 承诺chéng nuò chéng nuò —— — —— — 这zhè zhè 仍然réng rán réng rán 是shì shì 其qí qí 最低zuì dī zuì dī 速度sù dù sù dù 目标mù biāo mù biāo 。。 。
The Coalition did not technically break a promise for "25MBi/s" (25 Mbps) - this remained their minimum speed target.
然而rán ér rán ér ,, , 由于yóu yú yóu yú FTTNFTTN FTTN 技术jì shù jì shù 选择xuǎn zé xuǎn zé ,, , 许多xǔ duō xǔ duō 住宅zhù zhái zhù zhái 的de de 实际shí jì shí jì 速度sù dù sù dù 交付jiāo fù jiāo fù 低于dī yú dī yú 预期yù qī yù qī 。。 。
However, the practical delivery of speeds fell short for many premises due to the FTTN technology choice.
成本chéng běn chéng běn 膨胀péng zhàng péng zhàng 的de de 指控zhǐ kòng zhǐ kòng 是shì shì 准确zhǔn què zhǔn què 的de de :: : 成本chéng běn chéng běn 确实què shí què shí 超出chāo chū chāo chū 了le le CoalitionCoalition Coalition 的de de 初始chū shǐ chū shǐ 承诺chéng nuò chéng nuò ,, , 从cóng cóng 410410 410 亿澳元yì ào yuán yì ào yuán 上升shàng shēng shàng shēng 至zhì zhì 460460 460 -- - 560560 560 亿澳元yì ào yuán yì ào yuán 。。 。
The cost blowout allegation is accurate: costs did exceed initial Coalition promises, rising from $41 billion to $46-56 billion.
该gāi gāi 声明shēng míng shēng míng 的de de 框架kuāng jià kuāng jià 忽略hū lüè hū lüè 了le le LaborLabor Labor 的de de NBNNBN NBN 也yě yě 有yǒu yǒu 显著xiǎn zhù xiǎn zhù 的de de 成本chéng běn chéng běn 和hé hé 时间表shí jiān biǎo shí jiān biǎo 问题wèn tí wèn tí ,, , 其原qí yuán qí yuán 430430 430 亿澳元yì ào yuán yì ào yuán 的de de 估计gū jì gū jì 是shì shì 不bù bù 现实xiàn shí xiàn shí 的de de 。。 。
The claim's framing ignores that Labor's NBN also had significant cost and timeline issues, with their original $43 billion estimate being unrealistic.
CoalitionCoalition Coalition 的de de MTMMTM MTM 方式fāng shì fāng shì 比bǐ bǐ LaborLabor Labor 的de de FTTPFTTP FTTP 计划成本jì huà chéng běn jì huà chéng běn 更gèng gèng 低dī dī (( ( 根据gēn jù gēn jù 战略zhàn lüè zhàn lüè 评估píng gū píng gū )) ) ,, , 但dàn dàn 仍réng réng 超出chāo chū chāo chū 其qí qí 自身zì shēn zì shēn 的de de 初始chū shǐ chū shǐ 估计gū jì gū jì 。。 。
The Coalition's MTM approach delivered lower costs than Labor's FTTP plan would have (per the Strategic Review), but still exceeded its own initial estimates.
两党liǎng dǎng liǎng dǎng 政府zhèng fǔ zhèng fǔ 都dōu dōu 在zài zài NBNNBN NBN 交付jiāo fù jiāo fù 上shàng shàng 遇到困难yù dào kùn nán yù dào kùn nán —— — —— — 这zhè zhè 使得shǐ de shǐ de 这zhè zhè 成为chéng wéi chéng wéi 一个yí gè yí gè 两党liǎng dǎng liǎng dǎng 基础设施jī chǔ shè shī jī chǔ shè shī 挑战tiǎo zhàn tiǎo zhàn 的de de 案例àn lì àn lì ,, , 而ér ér 非fēi fēi CoalitionCoalition Coalition 独有dú yǒu dú yǒu 的de de 失败shī bài shī bài 。。 。
Both governments struggled with NBN delivery - making this a case of bipartisan infrastructure challenges rather than unique Coalition failure.

📚 来源与引用 (15)

  1. 1
    en.wikipedia.org

    en.wikipedia.org

    Wikipedia

  2. 2
    itwire.com

    itwire.com

    Whenever a prime minister departs for good, there is talk of his or her legacy. And this time it is no different; in the case of Malcolm Turnbull, who was scythed down last week by right-wing ideologues in his own party, that talk has already begun. But Turnbull has little to show on the tech front,...

    Turnbull&#39;s tech legacy: the MTM (Malcolm-technology mix) NBN
  3. 3
    abc.net.au

    abc.net.au

    The Federal Government confirms the cost of building the National Broadband Network has blown out by up to $15 billion, but insists the project will still be cheaper than Labor's alternative plan.

    Abc Net
  4. 4
    afr.com

    afr.com

    The NBN has cost a lot more public money than Labor promised back in 2009 but the Coalition’s meddling was largely to blame for a decade of misguided spending.

    Australian Financial Review
  5. 5
    pm.gov.au

    pm.gov.au

    Families and businesses need high speed internet at an affordable price, and the Albanese Government will deliver that as we build Australia’s future.The Albanese Government will fund the upgrade of Australia’s remaining national fibre-to-the node (FTTN) network through an equity injection of up to $3 billion, with NBN Co contributing more than $800 million to the project.The Government will deliver this significant milestone while guaranteeing NBN Co will remain in public ownership.

    Prime Minister of Australia
  6. 6
    abc.net.au

    abc.net.au

    Former NBN boss Mike Quigley says the recent $15 billion blowout of the NBN is entirely due to the Coalition's decision to adopt an inferior mix of old and new technologies. Paddy Manning reports.

    ABC listen
  7. 7
    rmit.edu.au

    rmit.edu.au

    At the 2022 election, Labor promised that 3.5 million premises with a fibre to the node connection to the NBN will be able to access fibre to the premises by 2025. Here's how that promise is tracking.

    Rmit Edu
  8. 8
    afr.com

    afr.com

    The Australian Financial Review reports the latest news from business, finance, investment and politics, updated in real time. It has a reputation for independent, award-winning journalism and is essential reading for the business and investor community.

    Australian Financial Review
  9. 9
    thetimes.com.au

    thetimes.com.au

    World

    The Times
  10. 10
    smh.com.au

    smh.com.au

    The big NBN blowout asks the question anew: was it worth scrapping Labor's full-blown project?

    The Sydney Morning Herald
  11. 11
    innovationaus.com

    innovationaus.com

    Innovationaus

  12. 12
    macrobusiness.com.au

    macrobusiness.com.au

    The Guardian has published “secret figures” revealing how the Coalition’s cut-down NBN tech was three times more expensive than forecast and ended up costing almost as much as the full-fibre plan: The previously redacted 2013 figures detailing the estimated cost of the Coalition’s alternative model – relying on trouble-plagued pay-TV cables and fibre-to-the-node technology –

    MacroBusiness
  13. 13
    malcolmturnbull.com.au

    malcolmturnbull.com.au

    <p>Frequently Asked Questions on the NBN Cost Benefit Analysis.</p>

    Malcolm Turnbull
  14. 14
    delimiter.com.au

    delimiter.com.au

    The former chief executive of the NBN company has released an extraordinarily detailed and highly referenced document analysing the company's costs, to back his claim that the up-to-$15 billion blowout in the cost of the NBN was due to the Multi-Technology Mix imposed by Malcolm Turnbull.

    Delimiter
  15. 15
    zdnet.com

    zdnet.com

    Former NBN Co CEO Mike Quigley has defended the NBN's original fibre-to-the-premises rollout, saying the government must admit it grossly underestimated the cost and time it would take to shift to the multi-technology mix.

    ZDNET

评分方法

1-3: 不实

事实错误或恶意捏造。

4-6: 部分属实

有一定真实性,但缺乏背景或有所偏颇。

7-9: 基本属实

仅有微小的技术性或措辞问题。

10: 准确

完全经过验证且客观公正。

方法论: 评分通过交叉参照政府官方记录、独立事实核查机构和原始文件确定。