部分真實

評分: 6.5/10

Coalition
C0295

主張

“政府淨債務翻倍(甚至在COVID之前)”
原始來源: Matthew Davis

原始來源

事實查核

關於ㄍㄨㄢ ㄩˊ guān yú 政府ㄓㄥˋ ㄈㄨˇ zhèng fǔ 淨債務ㄐㄧㄥˋ ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ jìng zhài wù 翻倍ㄈㄢ ㄅㄟˋ fān bèi ㄉㄜ˙ de 說法ㄕㄨㄛ ㄈㄚˇ shuō fǎ 根據ㄍㄣ ㄐㄩˋ gēn jù 文件ㄨㄣˊ ㄐㄧㄢˋ wén jiàn 證據ㄓㄥˋ ㄐㄩˋ zhèng jù 大致ㄉㄚˋ ㄓˋ dà zhì ** * ** * 準確ㄓㄨㄣˇ ㄑㄩㄝˋ zhǔn què ** * ** * ㄉㄢˋ dàn 甚至ㄕㄣˋ ㄓˋ shèn zhì ㄗㄞˋ zài COVIDCOVID COVID 之前ㄓ ㄑㄧㄢˊ zhī qián 這一ㄓㄜˋ ㄧ zhè yī 表述ㄅㄧㄠˇ ㄕㄨˋ biǎo shù 需要ㄒㄩ ㄧㄠˋ xū yào 仔細ㄗㄞˇ ㄒㄧˋ zǎi xì 檢視ㄐㄧㄢˇ ㄕˋ jiǎn shì
The claim that government net debt doubled is broadly **accurate** based on the documentary evidence, though the phrase "even before COVID" requires careful examination.
根據ㄍㄣ ㄐㄩˋ gēn jù TheThe The ConversationConversation Conversation 20182018 2018 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián ㄉㄜ˙ de 事實ㄕˋ ㄕˊ shì shí 查核ㄔㄚˊ ㄏㄜˊ chá hé 分析ㄈㄣ ㄒㄧ fēn xī ㄉㄤ dāng CoalitionCoalition Coalition ㄩˊ 20132013 2013 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 99 9 ㄩㄝˋ yuè 執政時ㄓˊ ㄓㄥˋ ㄕˊ zhí zhèng shí ㄐㄧㄥˋ jìng 債務約ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ ㄩㄝ zhài wù yuē ㄨㄟˋ wèi 11 1 ,, , 745745 745 ㄧˋ 澳元ㄠˋ ㄩㄢˊ ào yuán [[ [ 11 1 ]] ]
According to The Conversation's 2018 fact-check analysis, when the Coalition took office in September 2013, net debt was approximately A$174.5 billion [1].
ㄉㄠˋ dào 20182018 2018 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 77 7 ㄩㄝˋ yuè 預算ㄩˋ ㄙㄨㄢˋ yù suàn 估計ㄍㄨ ㄐㄧˋ gū jì ㄉㄜ˙ de ㄐㄧㄥˋ jìng 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù ㄧˇ ㄉㄚˊ ㄉㄠˋ dào ㄩㄝ yuē 33 3 ,, , 410410 410 ㄧˋ 澳元ㄠˋ ㄩㄢˊ ào yuán [[ [ 11 1 ]] ]
By July 2018, the budget estimate of net debt had reached approximately A$341 billion [1].
ㄓㄜˋ zhè 代表ㄉㄞˋ ㄅㄧㄠˇ dài biǎo ㄌㄜ˙ le 95%95% 95% ㄉㄜ˙ de 增長ㄗㄥ ㄓㄤˇ zēng zhǎng 使得ㄕˇ ㄉㄜ˙ shǐ de 翻倍ㄈㄢ ㄅㄟˋ fān bèi ㄉㄜ˙ de 說法ㄕㄨㄛ ㄈㄚˇ shuō fǎ ㄐㄧˊ 100%100% 100% 增長ㄗㄥ ㄓㄤˇ zēng zhǎng 基本ㄐㄧ ㄅㄣˇ jī běn 準確ㄓㄨㄣˇ ㄑㄩㄝˋ zhǔn què [[ [ 11 1 ]] ]
This represents a 95% increase, making the claim of "doubling" (which would be 100% increase) substantially accurate [1].
甚至ㄕㄣˋ ㄓˋ shèn zhì ㄗㄞˋ zài COVIDCOVID COVID 之前ㄓ ㄑㄧㄢˊ zhī qián 這一ㄓㄜˋ ㄧ zhè yī 表述ㄅㄧㄠˇ ㄕㄨˋ biǎo shù ㄩˇ 時間ㄕˊ ㄐㄧㄢ shí jiān ㄒㄧㄢˋ xiàn 相關ㄒㄧㄤ ㄍㄨㄢ xiāng guān
The phrase "even before COVID" is relevant to the timeline.
ㄉㄠˋ dào 20192019 2019 -- - 2020 20 財政ㄘㄞˊ ㄓㄥˋ cái zhèng 年度ㄋㄧㄢˊ ㄉㄨˋ nián dù 結束ㄐㄧㄝˊ ㄕㄨˋ jié shù ㄕˊ shí ㄗㄞˋ zài COVIDCOVID COVID -- - 1919 19 經濟ㄐㄧㄥ ㄐㄧˋ jīng jì 影響ㄧㄥˇ ㄒㄧㄤˇ yǐng xiǎng 完全ㄨㄢˊ ㄑㄩㄢˊ wán quán 顯現ㄒㄧㄢˇ ㄒㄧㄢˋ xiǎn xiàn 之前ㄓ ㄑㄧㄢˊ zhī qián ㄐㄧㄥˋ jìng 債務持續ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ ㄔˊ ㄒㄩˋ zhài wù chí xù 上升ㄕㄤˋ ㄕㄥ shàng shēng [[ [ 22 2 ]] ]
By the end of the 2019-20 financial year (before COVID-19 economic impacts were fully reflected), net debt had continued rising [2].
20192019 2019 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián ㄉㄜ˙ de 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù ㄩˇ GDPGDP GDP 比率ㄅㄧˇ ㄌㄩˋ bǐ lǜ ㄨㄟˋ wèi 60.23%60.23% 60.23% ㄧㄡˊ yóu ㄩˊ 政府ㄓㄥˋ ㄈㄨˇ zhèng fǔ ㄗㄞˋ zài 20192019 2019 -- - 2020 20 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 疫情ㄧˋ ㄑㄧㄥˊ yì qíng 期間ㄑㄧ ㄐㄧㄢ qī jiān ㄉㄜ˙ de 支出ㄓ ㄔㄨ zhī chū ㄦˊ ér 大幅ㄉㄚˋ ㄈㄨˊ dà fú 上升ㄕㄤˋ ㄕㄥ shàng shēng [[ [ 33 3 ]] ]
The 2019 debt-to-GDP ratio was 60.23%, increasing significantly as a result of government spending during the pandemic response in 2019-20 [3].
然而ㄖㄢˊ ㄦˊ rán ér 具體ㄐㄩˋ ㄊㄧˇ jù tǐ ㄉㄠˋ dào 20182018 2018 -- - 1919 19 財政ㄘㄞˊ ㄓㄥˋ cái zhèng 年度ㄋㄧㄢˊ ㄉㄨˋ nián dù ㄗㄞˋ zài 20192019 2019 年末ㄋㄧㄢˊ ㄇㄛˋ nián mò COVIDCOVID COVID 出現ㄔㄨ ㄒㄧㄢˋ chū xiàn 之前ㄓ ㄑㄧㄢˊ zhī qián 淨債務ㄐㄧㄥˋ ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ jìng zhài wù ㄖㄥˊ réng ㄐㄧㄠˋ jiào 20132013 2013 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián ㄉㄜ˙ de 基線ㄐㄧ ㄒㄧㄢˋ jī xiàn 大幅ㄉㄚˋ ㄈㄨˊ dà fú 上升ㄕㄤˋ ㄕㄥ shàng shēng
However, by the financial year 2018-19 specifically (before COVID emerged in late 2019), net debt was still substantially elevated from the 2013 baseline.
CoalitionCoalition Coalition ㄉㄜ˙ de 赤字ㄔˋ ㄗˋ chì zì ㄗㄞˋ zài 20182018 2018 -- - 1919 19 年降ㄋㄧㄢˊ ㄐㄧㄤˋ nián jiàng 至僅ㄓˋ ㄐㄧㄣˇ zhì jǐn 77 7 ㄧˋ 澳元ㄠˋ ㄩㄢˊ ào yuán ㄖㄢˊ rán ㄏㄡˋ hòu ㄗㄞˋ zài 20192019 2019 -- - 2020 20 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 隨著ㄙㄨㄟˊ ㄓㄨˋ suí zhù COVIDCOVID COVID -- - 1919 19 疫情ㄧˋ ㄑㄧㄥˊ yì qíng 期間ㄑㄧ ㄐㄧㄢ qī jiān 支出ㄓ ㄔㄨ zhī chū 急劇ㄐㄧˊ ㄐㄩˋ jí jù 增加ㄗㄥ ㄐㄧㄚ zēng jiā ㄦˊ ér ㄅㄧㄠ biāo 升至ㄕㄥ ㄓˋ shēng zhì 853853 853 ㄧˋ 澳元ㄠˋ ㄩㄢˊ ào yuán [[ [ 22 2 ]] ]
The Coalition's deficit fell to just A$0.7 billion in 2018-19 before "shooting up to A$85.3 billion in 2019/20 as spending increased dramatically during the COVID-19 pandemic" [2].

缺失的脈絡

ㄍㄞ gāi 說法ㄕㄨㄛ ㄈㄚˇ shuō fǎ 忽略ㄏㄨ ㄌㄩㄝˋ hū lüè 了關ㄌㄜ˙ ㄍㄨㄢ le guān ㄩˊ ㄐㄧㄥˋ jìng 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù 增長ㄗㄥ ㄓㄤˇ zēng zhǎng 驅動ㄑㄩ ㄉㄨㄥˋ qū dòng 因素ㄧㄣ ㄙㄨˋ yīn sù ㄉㄜ˙ de 關鍵ㄍㄨㄢ ㄐㄧㄢˋ guān jiàn 背景ㄅㄟˋ ㄐㄧㄥˇ bèi jǐng
The claim omits critical context about what drove net debt increases: **Global Financial Crisis Legacy**: The Conversation's analysis notes that net debt rose by approximately A$197 billion under Labor (2007-2013), which was "around A$30 billion more than has been the case under the current Coalition government" [1].
** * ** * 全球ㄑㄩㄢˊ ㄑㄧㄡˊ quán qiú 金融ㄐㄧㄣ ㄖㄨㄥˊ jīn róng 危機ㄨㄟ ㄐㄧ wēi jī 遺留ㄧˊ ㄌㄧㄡˊ yí liú 問題ㄨㄣˋ ㄊㄧˊ wèn tí ** * ** * TheThe The ConversationConversation Conversation ㄉㄜ˙ de 分析ㄈㄣ ㄒㄧ fēn xī 指出ㄓˇ ㄔㄨ zhǐ chū ㄗㄞˋ zài LaborLabor Labor 執政期ㄓˊ ㄓㄥˋ ㄑㄧ zhí zhèng qī ㄐㄧㄢ jiān 20072007 2007 -- - 20132013 2013 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 淨債務ㄐㄧㄥˋ ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ jìng zhài wù 上升ㄕㄤˋ ㄕㄥ shàng shēng ㄌㄜ˙ le ㄩㄝ yuē 11 1 ,, , 970970 970 ㄧˋ 澳元ㄠˋ ㄩㄢˊ ào yuán 比現ㄅㄧˇ ㄒㄧㄢˋ bǐ xiàn ㄖㄣˋ rèn CoalitionCoalition Coalition 政府ㄓㄥˋ ㄈㄨˇ zhèng fǔ 執政期ㄓˊ ㄓㄥˋ ㄑㄧ zhí zhèng qī ㄐㄧㄢ jiān ㄉㄜ˙ de 情況ㄑㄧㄥˊ ㄎㄨㄤˋ qíng kuàng 多出ㄉㄨㄛ ㄔㄨ duō chū ㄩㄝ yuē 300300 300 ㄧˋ 澳元ㄠˋ ㄩㄢˊ ào yuán [[ [ 11 1 ]] ]
This is important context—net debt increases occurred under both governments, with Labor's increase actually being larger despite the Coalition's doubling claim. **Economic Growth vs.
這是ㄓㄜˋ ㄕˋ zhè shì 重要ㄓㄨㄥˋ ㄧㄠˋ zhòng yào ㄉㄜ˙ de 背景ㄅㄟˋ ㄐㄧㄥˇ bèi jǐng 兩屆ㄌㄧㄤˇ ㄐㄧㄝˋ liǎng jiè 政府ㄓㄥˋ ㄈㄨˇ zhèng fǔ ㄉㄡ dōu 出現ㄔㄨ ㄒㄧㄢˋ chū xiàn ㄌㄜ˙ le ㄐㄧㄥˋ jìng 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù 增長ㄗㄥ ㄓㄤˇ zēng zhǎng LaborLabor Labor ㄉㄜ˙ de 增長ㄗㄥ ㄓㄤˇ zēng zhǎng 實際ㄕˊ ㄐㄧˋ shí jì ㄕㄤˋ shàng ㄍㄥˋ gèng ㄉㄚˋ ㄐㄧㄣˇ jǐn ㄍㄨㄢˇ guǎn CoalitionCoalition Coalition 聲稱ㄕㄥ ㄔㄥ shēng chēng 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù 翻倍ㄈㄢ ㄅㄟˋ fān bèi
Absolute Debt**: Most economists assess debt relative to GDP, not absolute figures.
** * ** * 經濟ㄐㄧㄥ ㄐㄧˋ jīng jì 增長ㄗㄥ ㄓㄤˇ zēng zhǎng ㄩˇ 絕對ㄐㄩㄝˊ ㄉㄨㄟˋ jué duì 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù ** * ** * 大多ㄉㄚˋ ㄉㄨㄛ dà duō 數經濟ㄕㄨˋ ㄐㄧㄥ ㄐㄧˋ shù jīng jì 學家ㄒㄩㄝˊ ㄐㄧㄚ xué jiā 評估ㄆㄧㄥˊ ㄍㄨ píng gū 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù ㄕˋ shì ㄒㄧㄤ xiāng ㄉㄨㄟˋ duì ㄩˊ GDPGDP GDP ㄦˊ ér 非絕ㄈㄟ ㄐㄩㄝˊ fēi jué ㄉㄨㄟˋ duì 數字ㄕㄨˋ ㄗˋ shù zì
The net debt-to-GDP ratio rose from 11.3% in September 2013 to 18.3% in July 2016, after which it "roughly stabilised" [1].
淨債務ㄐㄧㄥˋ ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ jìng zhài wù ㄩˇ GDPGDP GDP 比率ㄅㄧˇ ㄌㄩˋ bǐ lǜ ㄘㄨㄥˊ cóng 20132013 2013 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 99 9 ㄩㄝˋ yuè ㄉㄜ˙ de 11.3%11.3% 11.3% 上升ㄕㄤˋ ㄕㄥ shàng shēng ㄉㄠˋ dào 20162016 2016 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 77 7 ㄩㄝˋ yuè ㄉㄜ˙ de 18.3%18.3% 18.3% zhī ㄏㄡˋ hòu 大致ㄉㄚˋ ㄓˋ dà zhì 穩定ㄨㄣˇ ㄉㄧㄥˋ wěn dìng [[ [ 11 1 ]] ]
This measure is more economically meaningful than raw dollar amounts, as it shows the debt burden relative to economic capacity [1]. **Pre-COVID Deficit Trajectory**: Importantly, the Coalition had reduced the deficit to just A$0.7 billion in 2018-19, suggesting the trajectory of debt accumulation was slowing before the pandemic hit [2].
這一ㄓㄜˋ ㄧ zhè yī 衡量ㄏㄥˊ ㄌㄧㄤˊ héng liáng 標準ㄅㄧㄠ ㄓㄨㄣˇ biāo zhǔn ㄅㄧˇ 原始ㄩㄢˊ ㄕˇ yuán shǐ 金額ㄐㄧㄣ ㄜˊ jīn é 更具ㄍㄥˋ ㄐㄩˋ gèng jù 經濟ㄐㄧㄥ ㄐㄧˋ jīng jì 意義ㄧˋ ㄧˋ yì yì 因為ㄧㄣ ㄨㄟˋ yīn wèi ㄊㄚ 顯示ㄒㄧㄢˇ ㄕˋ xiǎn shì ㄌㄜ˙ le ㄒㄧㄤ xiāng ㄉㄨㄟˋ duì ㄩˊ 經濟ㄐㄧㄥ ㄐㄧˋ jīng jì 能力ㄋㄥˊ ㄌㄧˋ néng lì ㄉㄜ˙ de 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù 負擔ㄈㄨˋ ㄉㄢ fù dān [[ [ 11 1 ]] ]
This context is missing from the claim. **Inherited Debt Position**: Australia inherited a net debt position from the Global Financial Crisis era—net debt was negative (A$-24.2 billion asset position) under the final Howard Coalition government in July 2007 but had risen to A$159.6 billion by Labor's exit in 2013 [1].
** * ** * COVIDCOVID COVID ㄑㄧㄢˊ qián ㄉㄜ˙ de 赤字ㄔˋ ㄗˋ chì zì 軌跡ㄍㄨㄟˇ ㄐㄧ guǐ jī ** * ** * 重要ㄓㄨㄥˋ ㄧㄠˋ zhòng yào ㄉㄜ˙ de ㄕˋ shì CoalitionCoalition Coalition 已將ㄧˇ ㄐㄧㄤ yǐ jiāng 20182018 2018 -- - 1919 19 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián ㄉㄜ˙ de 赤字ㄔˋ ㄗˋ chì zì 降至僅ㄐㄧㄤˋ ㄓˋ ㄐㄧㄣˇ jiàng zhì jǐn 77 7 ㄧˋ 澳元ㄠˋ ㄩㄢˊ ào yuán 表明ㄅㄧㄠˇ ㄇㄧㄥˊ biǎo míng ㄗㄞˋ zài 疫情ㄧˋ ㄑㄧㄥˊ yì qíng 爆發前ㄅㄠˋ ㄈㄚ ㄑㄧㄢˊ bào fā qián 債務積ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ ㄐㄧ zhài wù jī ㄌㄟˋ lèi ㄉㄜ˙ de 軌跡ㄍㄨㄟˇ ㄐㄧ guǐ jī 正在ㄓㄥˋ ㄗㄞˋ zhèng zài 放緩ㄈㄤˋ ㄏㄨㄢˇ fàng huǎn [[ [ 22 2 ]] ]
The Coalition inherited an already-elevated debt position.
這一ㄓㄜˋ ㄧ zhè yī 背景ㄅㄟˋ ㄐㄧㄥˇ bèi jǐng ㄗㄞˋ zài ㄍㄞ gāi ㄕㄨㄛ shuō 法中ㄈㄚˇ ㄓㄨㄥ fǎ zhōng 缺失ㄑㄩㄝ ㄕ quē shī
** * ** * 繼承ㄐㄧˋ ㄔㄥˊ jì chéng ㄉㄜ˙ de 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù 狀況ㄓㄨㄤˋ ㄎㄨㄤˋ zhuàng kuàng ** * ** * 澳洲ㄠˋ ㄓㄡ ào zhōu 繼承ㄐㄧˋ ㄔㄥˊ jì chéng ㄌㄜ˙ le 全球ㄑㄩㄢˊ ㄑㄧㄡˊ quán qiú 金融ㄐㄧㄣ ㄖㄨㄥˊ jīn róng 危機ㄨㄟ ㄐㄧ wēi jī 時代ㄕˊ ㄉㄞˋ shí dài ㄉㄜ˙ de ㄐㄧㄥˋ jìng 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù 狀況ㄓㄨㄤˋ ㄎㄨㄤˋ zhuàng kuàng ㄗㄞˋ zài 20072007 2007 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 77 7 ㄩㄝˋ yuè HowardHoward Howard CoalitionCoalition Coalition 政府ㄓㄥˋ ㄈㄨˇ zhèng fǔ 最後時期ㄗㄨㄟˋ ㄏㄡˋ ㄕˊ ㄑㄧ zuì hòu shí qī ㄐㄧㄥˋ jìng 債務為ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ ㄨㄟˋ zhài wù wèi 負值ㄈㄨˋ ㄓˊ fù zhí 淨資產ㄐㄧㄥˋ ㄗ ㄔㄢˇ jìng zī chǎn 242242 242 ㄧˋ 澳元ㄠˋ ㄩㄢˊ ào yuán ㄉㄢˋ dàn ㄉㄠˋ dào 20132013 2013 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián LaborLabor Labor 卸任ㄒㄧㄝˋ ㄖㄣˋ xiè rèn ㄕˊ shí ㄧˇ 上升ㄕㄤˋ ㄕㄥ shàng shēng ㄓˋ zhì 11 1 ,, , 596596 596 ㄧˋ 澳元ㄠˋ ㄩㄢˊ ào yuán [[ [ 11 1 ]] ]
CoalitionCoalition Coalition 繼承ㄐㄧˋ ㄔㄥˊ jì chéng ㄌㄜ˙ le 一個ㄧ ㄍㄜˋ yī gè 已經ㄧˇ ㄐㄧㄥ yǐ jīng 升高ㄕㄥ ㄍㄠ shēng gāo ㄉㄜ˙ de 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù 狀況ㄓㄨㄤˋ ㄎㄨㄤˋ zhuàng kuàng

來源可信度評估

提供ㄊㄧˊ ㄍㄨㄥ tí gōng ㄉㄜ˙ de 原始ㄩㄢˊ ㄕˇ yuán shǐ 來源ㄌㄞˊ ㄩㄢˊ lái yuán TheThe The ConversationConversation Conversation ㄕˋ shì ** * ** * 信譽ㄒㄧㄣˋ ㄩˋ xìn yù 良好ㄌㄧㄤˊ ㄏㄠˇ liáng hǎo ㄉㄜ˙ de 主流ㄓㄨˇ ㄌㄧㄡˊ zhǔ liú 事實ㄕˋ ㄕˊ shì shí 查核ㄔㄚˊ ㄏㄜˊ chá hé 機構ㄐㄧ ㄍㄡˋ jī gòu ** * ** * [[ [ 11 1 ]] ]
The original source provided (The Conversation) is a **reputable, mainstream fact-checking organization** [1].
TheThe The ConversationConversation Conversation ㄉㄜ˙ de 事實ㄕˋ ㄕˊ shì shí 查核ㄔㄚˊ ㄏㄜˊ chá hé 部門ㄅㄨˋ ㄇㄣˊ bù mén ㄕˋ shì 澳洲ㄠˋ ㄓㄡ ào zhōu 首個ㄕㄡˇ ㄍㄜˋ shǒu gè 事實ㄕˋ ㄕˊ shì shí 查核ㄔㄚˊ ㄏㄜˊ chá hé 團隊ㄊㄨㄢˊ ㄉㄨㄟˋ tuán duì ㄧㄝˇ ㄕˋ shì 全球ㄑㄩㄢˊ ㄑㄧㄡˊ quán qiú 首批ㄕㄡˇ ㄆㄧ shǒu pī 獲得ㄏㄨㄛˋ ㄉㄜˊ huò dé 國際ㄍㄨㄛˊ ㄐㄧˋ guó jì 事實ㄕˋ ㄕˊ shì shí 查核ㄔㄚˊ ㄏㄜˊ chá hé 網絡ㄨㄤˇ ㄌㄨㄛˋ wǎng luò 認證ㄖㄣˋ ㄓㄥˋ rèn zhèng ㄉㄜ˙ de 團隊ㄊㄨㄢˊ ㄉㄨㄟˋ tuán duì 之一ㄓ ㄧ zhī yī [[ [ 11 1 ]] ]
The Conversation's FactCheck unit was "the first fact-checking team in Australia and one of the first worldwide to be accredited by the International Fact-Checking Network" [1].
文章ㄨㄣˊ ㄓㄤ wén zhāng 明確ㄇㄧㄥˊ ㄑㄩㄝˋ míng què 表示ㄅㄧㄠˇ ㄕˋ biǎo shì 這是ㄓㄜˋ ㄕˋ zhè shì ㄨㄟˋ wèi 回應ㄏㄨㄟˊ ㄧㄥ huí yīng 影子ㄧㄥˇ ㄗ˙ yǐng zi 財政部長ㄘㄞˊ ㄓㄥˋ ㄅㄨˋ ㄓㄤˇ cái zhèng bù zhǎng JimJim Jim ChalmersChalmers Chalmers ㄉㄜ˙ de ㄕㄨㄛ shuō ㄈㄚˇ ㄦˊ ér 進行ㄐㄧㄣˋ ㄒㄧㄥˊ jìn xíng ㄉㄜ˙ de 事實ㄕˋ ㄕˊ shì shí 查核ㄔㄚˊ ㄏㄜˊ chá hé ㄅㄧㄥˋ bìng 包括ㄅㄠ ㄎㄨㄛˋ bāo kuò 詳細ㄒㄧㄤˊ ㄒㄧˋ xiáng xì ㄉㄜ˙ de 政府ㄓㄥˋ ㄈㄨˇ zhèng fǔ 財務ㄘㄞˊ ㄨˋ cái wù 報表ㄅㄠˋ ㄅㄧㄠˇ bào biǎo ㄏㄜˊ 預算ㄩˋ ㄙㄨㄢˋ yù suàn 文件ㄨㄣˊ ㄐㄧㄢˋ wén jiàn 作為ㄗㄨㄛˋ ㄨㄟˋ zuò wèi 來源ㄌㄞˊ ㄩㄢˊ lái yuán [[ [ 11 1 ]] ]
The article explicitly states this was fact-checked in response to a claim by Shadow Minister for Finance Jim Chalmers and includes detailed government financial statements and budget papers as sources [1].
ㄍㄞ gāi 分析ㄈㄣ ㄒㄧ fēn xī 承認ㄔㄥˊ ㄖㄣˋ chéng rèn ㄈㄨˋ 雜性並ㄗㄚˊ ㄒㄧㄥˋ ㄅㄧㄥˋ zá xìng bìng 提供ㄊㄧˊ ㄍㄨㄥ tí gōng 平衡ㄆㄧㄥˊ ㄏㄥˊ píng héng 觀點ㄍㄨㄢ ㄉㄧㄢˇ guān diǎn 指出ㄓˇ ㄔㄨ zhǐ chū 僅從ㄐㄧㄣˇ ㄘㄨㄥˊ jǐn cóng 原始ㄩㄢˊ ㄕˇ yuán shǐ 債務數ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ ㄕㄨˋ zhài wù shù ㄗˋ ㄌㄞˊ lái ㄎㄢˋ kàn ㄗㄞˋ zài 經濟ㄐㄧㄥ ㄐㄧˋ jīng jì 管理ㄍㄨㄢˇ ㄌㄧˇ guǎn lǐ 方面ㄈㄤ ㄇㄧㄢˋ fāng miàn ㄉㄜˊ ㄅㄨˋ 出太多ㄔㄨ ㄊㄞˋ ㄉㄨㄛ chū tài duō 結論ㄐㄧㄝˊ ㄌㄨㄣˋ jié lùn ㄑㄧㄝˇ qiě 大多ㄉㄚˋ ㄉㄨㄛ dà duō 數經濟ㄕㄨˋ ㄐㄧㄥ ㄐㄧˋ shù jīng jì 學家ㄒㄩㄝˊ ㄐㄧㄚ xué jiā ㄍㄥˋ gèng 關注ㄍㄨㄢ ㄓㄨˋ guān zhù 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù ㄩˇ GDPGDP GDP 比率ㄅㄧˇ ㄌㄩˋ bǐ lǜ [[ [ 11 1 ]] ]
The analysis acknowledges complexity and provides balanced perspective, noting that "in terms of economic management, not a great deal" can be concluded from raw debt figures alone, and that most economists focus on debt-to-GDP ratios instead [1].
⚖️

Labor 比較

** * ** * LaborLabor Labor 是否ㄕˋ ㄈㄡˇ shì fǒu ㄧㄝˇ ㄗㄨㄛˋ zuò 過類ㄍㄨㄛˋ ㄌㄟˋ guò lèi 似的ㄕˋ ㄉㄜ˙ shì de 事情ㄕˋ ㄑㄧㄥˊ shì qíng
**Did Labor do something similar?** Yes.
** * ** *
The Conversation's analysis provides direct comparison: During Labor's final term (2007-2013, including the Global Financial Crisis), net debt rose by approximately A$197 billion—about A$30 billion MORE than the Coalition's increase [1].
ㄕˋ shì ㄉㄜ˙ de
In absolute terms: - Labor's net debt increase: A$197 billion (2007-2013) - Coalition's net debt increase (to 2018): A$166.5 billion (2013-2018) While the Coalition doubled the dollar amount inherited from Labor, Labor's absolute increase in net debt during its term was actually larger [1].
TheThe The ConversationConversation Conversation ㄉㄜ˙ de 分析ㄈㄣ ㄒㄧ fēn xī 提供ㄊㄧˊ ㄍㄨㄥ tí gōng ㄌㄜ˙ le 直接ㄓˊ ㄐㄧㄝ zhí jiē 比較ㄅㄧˇ ㄐㄧㄠˋ bǐ jiào ㄗㄞˋ zài LaborLabor Labor ㄉㄜ˙ de 最後一屆ㄗㄨㄟˋ ㄏㄡˋ ㄧ ㄐㄧㄝˋ zuì hòu yī jiè 任期ㄖㄣˋ ㄑㄧ rèn qī ㄋㄟˋ nèi 20072007 2007 -- - 20132013 2013 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 包括ㄅㄠ ㄎㄨㄛˋ bāo kuò 全球ㄑㄩㄢˊ ㄑㄧㄡˊ quán qiú 金融ㄐㄧㄣ ㄖㄨㄥˊ jīn róng 危機ㄨㄟ ㄐㄧ wēi jī 淨債務ㄐㄧㄥˋ ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ jìng zhài wù 上升ㄕㄤˋ ㄕㄥ shàng shēng ㄌㄜ˙ le ㄩㄝ yuē 11 1 ,, , 970970 970 ㄧˋ 澳元ㄠˋ ㄩㄢˊ ào yuán ㄅㄧˇ CoalitionCoalition Coalition ㄉㄜ˙ de 增長ㄗㄥ ㄓㄤˇ zēng zhǎng 多出ㄉㄨㄛ ㄔㄨ duō chū ㄩㄝ yuē 300300 300 ㄧˋ 澳元ㄠˋ ㄩㄢˊ ào yuán [[ [ 11 1 ]] ]
Additionally, Labor faced the unprecedented Global Financial Crisis, while the Coalition's increases occurred during a more stable economic period (until COVID-19) [2].
絕對ㄐㄩㄝˊ ㄉㄨㄟˋ jué duì 數字ㄕㄨˋ ㄗˋ shù zì ㄕㄤˋ shàng
AAP FactCheck (2022) noted that net government debt in 2021/22 was projected to be around 4.2 times what it was during Labor's final year in office [2].
-- - LaborLabor Labor ㄉㄜ˙ de ㄐㄧㄥˋ jìng 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù 增長ㄗㄥ ㄓㄤˇ zēng zhǎng 11 1 ,, , 970970 970 ㄧˋ 澳元ㄠˋ ㄩㄢˊ ào yuán 20072007 2007 -- - 20132013 2013 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián
However, this figure includes COVID-19 pandemic spending, which both parties implemented [2].
-- - CoalitionCoalition Coalition ㄉㄜ˙ de ㄐㄧㄥˋ jìng 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù 增長ㄗㄥ ㄓㄤˇ zēng zhǎng ㄓˋ zhì 20182018 2018 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 11 1 ,, , 665665 665 ㄧˋ 澳元ㄠˋ ㄩㄢˊ ào yuán 20132013 2013 -- - 20182018 2018 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián
雖然ㄙㄨㄟ ㄖㄢˊ suī rán CoalitionCoalition Coalition 將從ㄐㄧㄤ ㄘㄨㄥˊ jiāng cóng LaborLabor Labor 繼承ㄐㄧˋ ㄔㄥˊ jì chéng ㄉㄜ˙ de 金額ㄐㄧㄣ ㄜˊ jīn é 翻倍ㄈㄢ ㄅㄟˋ fān bèi ㄉㄢˋ dàn LaborLabor Labor ㄗㄞˋ zài ㄑㄧˊ 任期ㄖㄣˋ ㄑㄧ rèn qī ㄋㄟˋ nèi ㄉㄜ˙ de ㄐㄧㄥˋ jìng 債務絕ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ ㄐㄩㄝˊ zhài wù jué ㄉㄨㄟˋ duì 增長ㄗㄥ ㄓㄤˇ zēng zhǎng 實際ㄕˊ ㄐㄧˋ shí jì ㄕㄤˋ shàng ㄍㄥˋ gèng ㄉㄚˋ [[ [ 11 1 ]] ]
此外ㄘˇ ㄨㄞˋ cǐ wài LaborLabor Labor 面臨ㄇㄧㄢˋ ㄌㄧㄣˊ miàn lín 前所未有ㄑㄧㄢˊ ㄙㄨㄛˇ ㄨㄟˋ ㄧㄡˇ qián suǒ wèi yǒu ㄉㄜ˙ de 全球ㄑㄩㄢˊ ㄑㄧㄡˊ quán qiú 金融ㄐㄧㄣ ㄖㄨㄥˊ jīn róng 危機ㄨㄟ ㄐㄧ wēi jī ㄦˊ ér CoalitionCoalition Coalition ㄉㄜ˙ de 增長ㄗㄥ ㄓㄤˇ zēng zhǎng 發生ㄈㄚ ㄕㄥ fā shēng ㄗㄞˋ zài ㄒㄧㄤ xiāng ㄉㄨㄟˋ duì 穩定ㄨㄣˇ ㄉㄧㄥˋ wěn dìng ㄉㄜ˙ de 經濟ㄐㄧㄥ ㄐㄧˋ jīng jì 時期ㄕˊ ㄑㄧ shí qī 直到ㄓˊ ㄉㄠˋ zhí dào COVIDCOVID COVID -- - 1919 19 [[ [ 22 2 ]] ]
AAPAAP AAP FactCheckFactCheck FactCheck 20222022 2022 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 指出ㄓˇ ㄔㄨ zhǐ chū 20212021 2021 -- - 2222 22 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián ㄉㄜ˙ de 政府ㄓㄥˋ ㄈㄨˇ zhèng fǔ 淨債務ㄐㄧㄥˋ ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ jìng zhài wù 預計ㄩˋ ㄐㄧˋ yù jì ㄩㄝ yuē ㄨㄟˋ wèi LaborLabor Labor ㄗㄨㄟˋ zuì ㄏㄡˋ hòu 一年ㄧ ㄋㄧㄢˊ yī nián 執政時期ㄓˊ ㄓㄥˋ ㄕˊ ㄑㄧ zhí zhèng shí qī ㄉㄜ˙ de 4.24.2 4.2 ㄅㄟˋ bèi [[ [ 22 2 ]] ]
然而ㄖㄢˊ ㄦˊ rán ér 這一數ㄓㄜˋ ㄧ ㄕㄨˋ zhè yī shù ㄗˋ 包括ㄅㄠ ㄎㄨㄛˋ bāo kuò COVIDCOVID COVID -- - 1919 19 疫情ㄧˋ ㄑㄧㄥˊ yì qíng 支出ㄓ ㄔㄨ zhī chū 這是ㄓㄜˋ ㄕˋ zhè shì 兩個ㄌㄧㄤˇ ㄍㄜˋ liǎng gè 政黨ㄓㄥˋ ㄉㄤˇ zhèng dǎng ㄉㄡ dōu 實施ㄕˊ ㄕ shí shī ㄉㄜ˙ de [[ [ 22 2 ]] ]
🌐

平衡觀點

雖然批ㄙㄨㄟ ㄖㄢˊ ㄆㄧ suī rán pī 評者ㄆㄧㄥˊ ㄓㄜˇ píng zhě 認為ㄖㄣˋ ㄨㄟˋ rèn wèi CoalitionCoalition Coalition 將淨ㄐㄧㄤ ㄐㄧㄥˋ jiāng jìng 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù 翻倍ㄈㄢ ㄅㄟˋ fān bèi ㄉㄢˋ dàn 重要ㄓㄨㄥˋ ㄧㄠˋ zhòng yào ㄉㄜ˙ de 背景ㄅㄟˋ ㄐㄧㄥˇ bèi jǐng 揭示ㄐㄧㄝ ㄕˋ jiē shì ㄌㄜ˙ le 這一比ㄓㄜˋ ㄧ ㄅㄧˇ zhè yī bǐ 原始ㄩㄢˊ ㄕˇ yuán shǐ 比較ㄅㄧˇ ㄐㄧㄠˋ bǐ jiào ㄙㄨㄛˇ suǒ 暗示ㄢˋ ㄕˋ àn shì ㄉㄜ˙ de ㄍㄥˋ gèng ㄨㄟˋ wèi ㄈㄨˋ ㄗㄚˊ
While critics argue the Coalition doubled net debt, important context reveals this is more complex than the raw comparison suggests: **Coalition's Justification & Context**: The Coalition inherited a debt position that had already increased significantly during the Global Financial Crisis (2007-2013).
** * ** * CoalitionCoalition Coalition ㄉㄜ˙ de 理由ㄌㄧˇ ㄧㄡˊ lǐ yóu ** * ** * CoalitionCoalition Coalition 繼承ㄐㄧˋ ㄔㄥˊ jì chéng ㄌㄜ˙ le 一個ㄧ ㄍㄜˋ yī gè ㄗㄞˋ zài 全球ㄑㄩㄢˊ ㄑㄧㄡˊ quán qiú 金融ㄐㄧㄣ ㄖㄨㄥˊ jīn róng 危機ㄨㄟ ㄐㄧ wēi jī 期間ㄑㄧ ㄐㄧㄢ qī jiān 20072007 2007 -- - 20132013 2013 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 已經ㄧˇ ㄐㄧㄥ yǐ jīng 顯著ㄒㄧㄢˇ ㄓㄨˋ xiǎn zhù 增加ㄗㄥ ㄐㄧㄚ zēng jiā ㄉㄜ˙ de 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù 狀況ㄓㄨㄤˋ ㄎㄨㄤˋ zhuàng kuàng
Net debt had risen from negative (net asset position) in 2007 to A$159.6 billion by 2013 [1].
淨債務ㄐㄧㄥˋ ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ jìng zhài wù ㄘㄨㄥˊ cóng 20072007 2007 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián ㄉㄜ˙ de 負值ㄈㄨˋ ㄓˊ fù zhí 淨資產ㄐㄧㄥˋ ㄗ ㄔㄢˇ jìng zī chǎn 狀況ㄓㄨㄤˋ ㄎㄨㄤˋ zhuàng kuàng 上升ㄕㄤˋ ㄕㄥ shàng shēng ㄉㄠˋ dào 20132013 2013 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián ㄉㄜ˙ de 11 1 ,, , 596596 596 ㄧˋ 澳元ㄠˋ ㄩㄢˊ ào yuán [[ [ 11 1 ]] ]
The Coalition's priority was reducing the deficit, and it succeeded in bringing the deficit to just A$0.7 billion by 2018-19, the lowest in years [2]. **Why Debt Continued Rising**: Even with a small deficit, net debt continued rising due to the accumulated effect of government spending on assets, infrastructure, and services.
CoalitionCoalition Coalition ㄉㄜ˙ de 首要ㄕㄡˇ ㄧㄠˋ shǒu yào 任務ㄖㄣˋ ㄨˋ rèn wù ㄕˋ shì 減少ㄐㄧㄢˇ ㄕㄠˇ jiǎn shǎo 赤字ㄔˋ ㄗˋ chì zì ㄅㄧㄥˋ bìng 成功ㄔㄥˊ ㄍㄨㄥ chéng gōng ㄐㄧㄤ jiāng 赤字ㄔˋ ㄗˋ chì zì 降至ㄐㄧㄤˋ ㄓˋ jiàng zhì 20182018 2018 -- - 1919 19 年的僅ㄋㄧㄢˊ ㄉㄜ˙ ㄐㄧㄣˇ nián de jǐn 77 7 ㄧˋ 澳元ㄠˋ ㄩㄢˊ ào yuán ㄨㄟˋ wèi 多年ㄉㄨㄛ ㄋㄧㄢˊ duō nián ㄌㄞˊ lái 最低ㄗㄨㄟˋ ㄉㄧ zuì dī [[ [ 22 2 ]] ]
The government's gross debt (distinct from net debt) includes A$50 billion in share investments and A$50 billion in public sector entity equity, which increase net debt accounting even when not creating actual liabilities [1]. **Economic Growth Consideration**: The critical measure economists use is debt-to-GDP ratio, not absolute dollars.
** * ** * 為何ㄨㄟˋ ㄏㄜˊ wèi hé 債務持續ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ ㄔˊ ㄒㄩˋ zhài wù chí xù 上升ㄕㄤˋ ㄕㄥ shàng shēng ** * ** * 即使ㄐㄧˊ ㄕˇ jí shǐ 赤字ㄔˋ ㄗˋ chì zì 很小ㄏㄣˇ ㄒㄧㄠˇ hěn xiǎo ㄧㄡˊ yóu ㄩˊ 政府ㄓㄥˋ ㄈㄨˇ zhèng fǔ ㄉㄨㄟˋ duì 資產ㄗ ㄔㄢˇ zī chǎn 基礎ㄐㄧ ㄔㄨˇ jī chǔ 設施ㄕㄜˋ ㄕ shè shī 和服ㄏㄜˊ ㄈㄨˊ hé fú ㄨˋ 支出ㄓ ㄔㄨ zhī chū ㄉㄜ˙ de 累積ㄌㄟˋ ㄐㄧ lèi jī 效應ㄒㄧㄠˋ ㄧㄥ xiào yīng ㄐㄧㄥˋ jìng 債務持續ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ ㄔˊ ㄒㄩˋ zhài wù chí xù 上升ㄕㄤˋ ㄕㄥ shàng shēng
The Coalition's net debt-to-GDP ratio rose from 11.3% to 18.3% by 2016, then "roughly stabilised" [1].
政府ㄓㄥˋ ㄈㄨˇ zhèng fǔ ㄉㄜ˙ de 總債務ㄗㄨㄥˇ ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zǒng zhài wù ㄩˇ ㄐㄧㄥˋ jìng 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù 不同ㄅㄨˋ ㄊㄨㄥˊ bù tóng 包括ㄅㄠ ㄎㄨㄛˋ bāo kuò 500500 500 ㄧˋ 澳元ㄠˋ ㄩㄢˊ ào yuán ㄉㄜ˙ de 股份ㄍㄨˇ ㄈㄣˋ gǔ fèn 投資ㄊㄡˊ ㄗ tóu zī ㄏㄜˊ 500500 500 ㄧˋ 澳元ㄠˋ ㄩㄢˊ ào yuán ㄉㄜ˙ de 公共ㄍㄨㄥ ㄍㄨㄥˋ gōng gòng 部門ㄅㄨˋ ㄇㄣˊ bù mén 實體ㄕˊ ㄊㄧˇ shí tǐ 股權ㄍㄨˇ ㄑㄩㄢˊ gǔ quán 這些ㄓㄜˋ ㄒㄧㄝ zhè xiē 即使ㄐㄧˊ ㄕˇ jí shǐ 不產生ㄅㄨˋ ㄔㄢˇ ㄕㄥ bù chǎn shēng 實際ㄕˊ ㄐㄧˋ shí jì 負債ㄈㄨˋ ㄓㄞˋ fù zhài ㄧㄝˇ ㄏㄨㄟˋ huì 增加ㄗㄥ ㄐㄧㄚ zēng jiā ㄐㄧㄥˋ jìng 債務會計ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ ㄏㄨㄟˋ ㄐㄧˋ zhài wù huì jì [[ [ 11 1 ]] ]
Australia's debt-to-GDP ratio in 2019 was 60.23%, modest by international standards [3]. **Pre-COVID Trajectory**: Before COVID-19 hit in early 2020, the Coalition had reduced the annual deficit to A$0.7 billion (2018-19), suggesting net debt trajectory was stabilizing [2].
** * ** * 經濟ㄐㄧㄥ ㄐㄧˋ jīng jì 增長ㄗㄥ ㄓㄤˇ zēng zhǎng 考量ㄎㄠˇ ㄌㄧㄤˊ kǎo liáng ** * ** * 經濟ㄐㄧㄥ ㄐㄧˋ jīng jì 學家ㄒㄩㄝˊ ㄐㄧㄚ xué jiā 使用ㄕˇ ㄩㄥˋ shǐ yòng ㄉㄜ˙ de 關鍵ㄍㄨㄢ ㄐㄧㄢˋ guān jiàn 衡量ㄏㄥˊ ㄌㄧㄤˊ héng liáng 標準ㄅㄧㄠ ㄓㄨㄣˇ biāo zhǔn ㄕˋ shì 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù ㄩˇ GDPGDP GDP 比率ㄅㄧˇ ㄌㄩˋ bǐ lǜ ㄦˊ ér 非絕ㄈㄟ ㄐㄩㄝˊ fēi jué ㄉㄨㄟˋ duì 金額ㄐㄧㄣ ㄜˊ jīn é
The subsequent increase came from pandemic response spending that both governments implemented [2]. **Labor's Track Record**: Labor's own net debt increase (A$197 billion in 2007-2013) was larger in absolute terms than the Coalition's pre-COVID increase [1].
CoalitionCoalition Coalition ㄉㄜ˙ de ㄐㄧㄥˋ jìng 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù ㄩˇ GDPGDP GDP 比率ㄅㄧˇ ㄌㄩˋ bǐ lǜ ㄘㄨㄥˊ cóng 11.3%11.3% 11.3% 上升ㄕㄤˋ ㄕㄥ shàng shēng ㄉㄠˋ dào 20162016 2016 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián ㄉㄜ˙ de 18.3%18.3% 18.3% ㄖㄢˊ rán ㄏㄡˋ hòu 大致ㄉㄚˋ ㄓˋ dà zhì 穩定ㄨㄣˇ ㄉㄧㄥˋ wěn dìng [[ [ 11 1 ]] ]
Both major parties have historically struggled with debt management during economic crises. **Expert Assessment**: Economist Mark Crosby noted that "economic growth and other important economic outcomes have had little to do with which party is in power" [1].
澳洲ㄠˋ ㄓㄡ ào zhōu 20192019 2019 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián ㄉㄜ˙ de 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù ㄩˇ GDPGDP GDP 比率ㄅㄧˇ ㄌㄩˋ bǐ lǜ ㄨㄟˋ wèi 60.23%60.23% 60.23% 按國際標ㄢˋ ㄍㄨㄛˊ ㄐㄧˋ ㄅㄧㄠ àn guó jì biāo 準屬ㄓㄨㄣˇ ㄕㄨˇ zhǔn shǔ 適度ㄕˋ ㄉㄨˋ shì dù [[ [ 33 3 ]] ]
Debt levels are influenced by inherited positions, economic circumstances, and policy choices—not simply partisan economic management.
** * ** * COVIDCOVID COVID ㄑㄧㄢˊ qián 軌跡ㄍㄨㄟˇ ㄐㄧ guǐ jī ** * ** * ㄗㄞˋ zài 20202020 2020 年初ㄋㄧㄢˊ ㄔㄨ nián chū COVIDCOVID COVID -- - 1919 19 爆發ㄅㄠˋ ㄈㄚ bào fā 之前ㄓ ㄑㄧㄢˊ zhī qián CoalitionCoalition Coalition 已將ㄧˇ ㄐㄧㄤ yǐ jiāng 年度ㄋㄧㄢˊ ㄉㄨˋ nián dù 赤字ㄔˋ ㄗˋ chì zì 降至ㄐㄧㄤˋ ㄓˋ jiàng zhì 77 7 ㄧˋ 澳元ㄠˋ ㄩㄢˊ ào yuán 20182018 2018 -- - 1919 19 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 表明ㄅㄧㄠˇ ㄇㄧㄥˊ biǎo míng 淨債務ㄐㄧㄥˋ ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ jìng zhài wù 軌跡ㄍㄨㄟˇ ㄐㄧ guǐ jī ㄑㄩ ㄩˊ 穩定ㄨㄣˇ ㄉㄧㄥˋ wěn dìng [[ [ 22 2 ]] ]
Key context: This is not unique to the Coalition.
隨後的ㄙㄨㄟˊ ㄏㄡˋ ㄉㄜ˙ suí hòu de 增長ㄗㄥ ㄓㄤˇ zēng zhǎng ㄌㄞˊ lái ㄗˋ 兩屆ㄌㄧㄤˇ ㄐㄧㄝˋ liǎng jiè 政府ㄓㄥˋ ㄈㄨˇ zhèng fǔ ㄉㄡ dōu 實施ㄕˊ ㄕ shí shī ㄉㄜ˙ de 疫情ㄧˋ ㄑㄧㄥˊ yì qíng 應對ㄧㄥ ㄉㄨㄟˋ yīng duì 支出ㄓ ㄔㄨ zhī chū [[ [ 22 2 ]] ]
Net debt increased under Labor due to the GFC, and under the Coalition due to inherited position and ongoing government spending.
** * ** * LaborLabor Labor ㄉㄜ˙ de 往績ㄨㄤˇ ㄐㄧ wǎng jī ** * ** * LaborLabor Labor 自身ㄗˋ ㄕㄣ zì shēn ㄉㄜ˙ de ㄐㄧㄥˋ jìng 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù 增長ㄗㄥ ㄓㄤˇ zēng zhǎng 20072007 2007 -- - 20132013 2013 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián ㄨㄟˋ wèi 11 1 ,, , 970970 970 ㄧˋ 澳元ㄠˋ ㄩㄢˊ ào yuán ㄗㄞˋ zài 絕對ㄐㄩㄝˊ ㄉㄨㄟˋ jué duì 數字ㄕㄨˋ ㄗˋ shù zì ㄕㄤˋ shàng ㄅㄧˇ CoalitionCoalition Coalition 疫情ㄧˋ ㄑㄧㄥˊ yì qíng ㄑㄧㄢˊ qián ㄉㄜ˙ de 增長ㄗㄥ ㄓㄤˇ zēng zhǎng ㄍㄥˋ gèng ㄉㄚˋ [[ [ 11 1 ]] ]
The phrase "even before COVID" is technically accurate but misleading—debt was rising more slowly pre-COVID (to 2018-19), suggesting stabilization before pandemic spending occurred [2].
ㄌㄧㄤˇ liǎng 大政ㄉㄚˋ ㄓㄥˋ dà zhèng ㄉㄤˇ dǎng ㄗㄞˋ zài 歷史ㄌㄧˋ ㄕˇ lì shǐ ㄕㄤˋ shàng ㄉㄡ dōu 難以ㄋㄢˊ ㄧˇ nán yǐ ㄗㄞˋ zài 經濟ㄐㄧㄥ ㄐㄧˋ jīng jì 危機ㄨㄟ ㄐㄧ wēi jī 期間ㄑㄧ ㄐㄧㄢ qī jiān 管理ㄍㄨㄢˇ ㄌㄧˇ guǎn lǐ 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù
** * ** * 專家ㄓㄨㄢ ㄐㄧㄚ zhuān jiā 評估ㄆㄧㄥˊ ㄍㄨ píng gū ** * ** * 經濟ㄐㄧㄥ ㄐㄧˋ jīng jì 學家ㄒㄩㄝˊ ㄐㄧㄚ xué jiā MarkMark Mark CrosbyCrosby Crosby 指出ㄓˇ ㄔㄨ zhǐ chū 經濟ㄐㄧㄥ ㄐㄧˋ jīng jì 增長ㄗㄥ ㄓㄤˇ zēng zhǎng ㄏㄜˊ 其他ㄑㄧˊ ㄊㄚ qí tā 重要ㄓㄨㄥˋ ㄧㄠˋ zhòng yào 經濟ㄐㄧㄥ ㄐㄧˋ jīng jì 成果ㄔㄥˊ ㄍㄨㄛˇ chéng guǒ ㄩˇ 哪個ㄋㄚˇ ㄍㄜˋ nǎ gè 政黨ㄓㄥˋ ㄉㄤˇ zhèng dǎng 執政關ㄓˊ ㄓㄥˋ ㄍㄨㄢ zhí zhèng guān ㄒㄧˋ 不大ㄅㄨˋ ㄉㄚˋ bù dà [[ [ 11 1 ]] ]
債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù 水平ㄕㄨㄟˇ ㄆㄧㄥˊ shuǐ píng 受繼承狀況ㄕㄡˋ ㄐㄧˋ ㄔㄥˊ ㄓㄨㄤˋ ㄎㄨㄤˋ shòu jì chéng zhuàng kuàng 經濟ㄐㄧㄥ ㄐㄧˋ jīng jì 環境ㄏㄨㄢˊ ㄐㄧㄥˋ huán jìng ㄏㄜˊ 政策ㄓㄥˋ ㄘㄜˋ zhèng cè 選擇ㄒㄩㄢˇ ㄗㄜˊ xuǎn zé ㄉㄜ˙ de 影響ㄧㄥˇ ㄒㄧㄤˇ yǐng xiǎng ㄦˊ ér ㄈㄟ fēi 簡單ㄐㄧㄢˇ ㄉㄢ jiǎn dān ㄉㄜ˙ de ㄉㄤˇ dǎng ㄆㄞˋ pài 經濟ㄐㄧㄥ ㄐㄧˋ jīng jì 管理ㄍㄨㄢˇ ㄌㄧˇ guǎn lǐ
關鍵ㄍㄨㄢ ㄐㄧㄢˋ guān jiàn 背景ㄅㄟˋ ㄐㄧㄥˇ bèi jǐng 這並ㄓㄜˋ ㄅㄧㄥˋ zhè bìng ㄈㄟ fēi CoalitionCoalition Coalition 獨有ㄉㄨˊ ㄧㄡˇ dú yǒu
ㄐㄧㄥˋ jìng 債務因ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ ㄧㄣ zhài wù yīn 全球ㄑㄩㄢˊ ㄑㄧㄡˊ quán qiú 金融ㄐㄧㄣ ㄖㄨㄥˊ jīn róng 危機ㄨㄟ ㄐㄧ wēi jī ㄗㄞˋ zài LaborLabor Labor 執政期ㄓˊ ㄓㄥˋ ㄑㄧ zhí zhèng qī ㄐㄧㄢ jiān 增加ㄗㄥ ㄐㄧㄚ zēng jiā 並因ㄅㄧㄥˋ ㄧㄣ bìng yīn 繼承狀況ㄐㄧˋ ㄔㄥˊ ㄓㄨㄤˋ ㄎㄨㄤˋ jì chéng zhuàng kuàng ㄏㄜˊ 持續ㄔˊ ㄒㄩˋ chí xù 政府ㄓㄥˋ ㄈㄨˇ zhèng fǔ 支出ㄓ ㄔㄨ zhī chū ㄗㄞˋ zài CoalitionCoalition Coalition 執政期ㄓˊ ㄓㄥˋ ㄑㄧ zhí zhèng qī ㄐㄧㄢ jiān 增加ㄗㄥ ㄐㄧㄚ zēng jiā
甚至ㄕㄣˋ ㄓˋ shèn zhì ㄗㄞˋ zài COVIDCOVID COVID 之前ㄓ ㄑㄧㄢˊ zhī qián 這一ㄓㄜˋ ㄧ zhè yī 表述ㄅㄧㄠˇ ㄕㄨˋ biǎo shù ㄗㄞˋ zài 技術ㄐㄧˋ ㄕㄨˋ jì shù ㄕㄤˋ shàng ㄕˋ shì 準確ㄓㄨㄣˇ ㄑㄩㄝˋ zhǔn què ㄉㄜ˙ de ㄉㄢˋ dàn 具有ㄐㄩˋ ㄧㄡˇ jù yǒu 誤導性ㄨˋ ㄉㄠˇ ㄒㄧㄥˋ wù dǎo xìng ㄗㄞˋ zài COVIDCOVID COVID ㄑㄧㄢˊ qián ㄓˋ zhì 20182018 2018 -- - 1919 19 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù 上升ㄕㄤˋ ㄕㄥ shàng shēng 速度ㄙㄨˋ ㄉㄨˋ sù dù 較慢ㄐㄧㄠˋ ㄇㄢˋ jiào màn 表明ㄅㄧㄠˇ ㄇㄧㄥˊ biǎo míng ㄗㄞˋ zài 疫情ㄧˋ ㄑㄧㄥˊ yì qíng 支出ㄓ ㄔㄨ zhī chū ㄈㄚ 生前ㄕㄥ ㄑㄧㄢˊ shēng qián ㄑㄩ ㄩˊ 穩定ㄨㄣˇ ㄉㄧㄥˋ wěn dìng [[ [ 22 2 ]] ]

部分真實

6.5

/ 10

關於淨ㄍㄨㄢ ㄩˊ ㄐㄧㄥˋ guān yú jìng 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù 翻倍ㄈㄢ ㄅㄟˋ fān bèi ㄉㄜ˙ de ㄕㄨㄛ shuō ㄈㄚˇ ㄗㄞˋ zài 事實ㄕˋ ㄕˊ shì shí ㄕㄤˋ shàng ㄕˋ shì 準確ㄓㄨㄣˇ ㄑㄩㄝˋ zhǔn què ㄉㄜ˙ de ㄘㄨㄥˊ cóng 11 1 ,, , 745745 745 ㄧˋ 澳元ㄠˋ ㄩㄢˊ ào yuán ㄉㄠˋ dào 33 3 ,, , 410410 410 ㄧˋ 澳元ㄠˋ ㄩㄢˊ ào yuán 增加ㄗㄥ ㄐㄧㄚ zēng jiā 95%95% 95% 大約ㄉㄚˋ ㄩㄝ dà yuē ㄕˋ shì 翻倍ㄈㄢ ㄅㄟˋ fān bèi [[ [ 11 1 ]] ]
The claim that net debt doubled is factually accurate (95% increase from A$174.5B to A$341B is approximately doubling) [1].
然而ㄖㄢˊ ㄦˊ rán ér ㄍㄞ gāi 說法ㄕㄨㄛ ㄈㄚˇ shuō fǎ 嚴重ㄧㄢˊ ㄓㄨㄥˋ yán zhòng 歪曲ㄨㄞ ㄑㄩ wāi qū ㄌㄜ˙ le 背景ㄅㄟˋ ㄐㄧㄥˇ bèi jǐng
However, the claim significantly misrepresents the context: 1.
11 1 .. . LaborLabor Labor ㄉㄜ˙ de ㄐㄧㄥˋ jìng 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù 增長ㄗㄥ ㄓㄤˇ zēng zhǎng 20072007 2007 -- - 20132013 2013 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián ㄗㄞˋ zài 絕對ㄐㄩㄝˊ ㄉㄨㄟˋ jué duì 數字ㄕㄨˋ ㄗˋ shù zì ㄕㄤˋ shàng 實際ㄕˊ ㄐㄧˋ shí jì ㄕㄤˋ shàng ㄍㄥˋ gèng ㄉㄚˋ 11 1 ,, , 970970 970 ㄧˋ 澳元ㄠˋ ㄩㄢˊ ào yuán ㄉㄨㄟˋ duì 11 1 ,, , 665665 665 ㄧˋ 澳元ㄠˋ ㄩㄢˊ ào yuán [[ [ 11 1 ]] ]
Labor's net debt increase (2007-2013) was actually larger in absolute terms (A$197B vs A$166.5B) [1] 2.
22 2 .. . 大多ㄉㄚˋ ㄉㄨㄛ dà duō 數經濟ㄕㄨˋ ㄐㄧㄥ ㄐㄧˋ shù jīng jì 學家ㄒㄩㄝˊ ㄐㄧㄚ xué jiā 評估ㄆㄧㄥˊ ㄍㄨ píng gū 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù ㄕˋ shì ㄒㄧㄤ xiāng ㄉㄨㄟˋ duì ㄩˊ GDPGDP GDP ㄦˊ ér 非絕ㄈㄟ ㄐㄩㄝˊ fēi jué ㄉㄨㄟˋ duì 數字ㄕㄨˋ ㄗˋ shù zì [[ [ 11 1 ]] ]
Most economists assess debt relative to GDP, not absolute figures [1] 3.
33 3 .. . CoalitionCoalition Coalition 已將ㄧˇ ㄐㄧㄤ yǐ jiāng 年度ㄋㄧㄢˊ ㄉㄨˋ nián dù 赤字ㄔˋ ㄗˋ chì zì ㄐㄧㄤˋ jiàng ㄓˋ zhì 接近ㄐㄧㄝ ㄐㄧㄣˋ jiē jìn ㄌㄧㄥˊ líng ㄉㄠˋ dào 20182018 2018 -- - 1919 19 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 表明ㄅㄧㄠˇ ㄇㄧㄥˊ biǎo míng ㄗㄞˋ zài COVIDCOVID COVID 前趨ㄑㄧㄢˊ ㄑㄩ qián qū ㄩˊ 穩定ㄨㄣˇ ㄉㄧㄥˋ wěn dìng [[ [ 22 2 ]] ]
The Coalition had reduced the annual deficit to near-zero by 2018-19, suggesting stabilization before COVID [2] 4.
44 4 .. . 繼承ㄐㄧˋ ㄔㄥˊ jì chéng ㄉㄜ˙ de 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù 狀況ㄓㄨㄤˋ ㄎㄨㄤˋ zhuàng kuàng ㄌㄞˊ lái ㄗˋ LaborLabor Labor 執政時期ㄓˊ ㄓㄥˋ ㄕˊ ㄑㄧ zhí zhèng shí qī ㄉㄜ˙ de 全球ㄑㄩㄢˊ ㄑㄧㄡˊ quán qiú 金融ㄐㄧㄣ ㄖㄨㄥˊ jīn róng 危機ㄨㄟ ㄐㄧ wēi jī 時代ㄕˊ ㄉㄞˋ shí dài [[ [ 11 1 ]] ]
The inherited debt position came from the Global Financial Crisis era under Labor [1] The claim selectively presents one metric (absolute debt doubling) while omitting important context about comparative government performance, economic measurement standards, and trajectory stabilization.
ㄍㄞ gāi ㄕㄨㄛ shuō 法選擇ㄈㄚˇ ㄒㄩㄢˇ ㄗㄜˊ fǎ xuǎn zé 性地ㄒㄧㄥˋ ㄉㄧˋ xìng dì ㄔㄥˊ chéng 現一個ㄒㄧㄢˋ ㄧ ㄍㄜˋ xiàn yī gè 指標ㄓˇ ㄅㄧㄠ zhǐ biāo 絕對ㄐㄩㄝˊ ㄉㄨㄟˋ jué duì 債務ㄓㄞˋ ㄨˋ zhài wù 翻倍ㄈㄢ ㄅㄟˋ fān bèi 同時ㄊㄨㄥˊ ㄕˊ tóng shí 省略ㄕㄥˇ ㄌㄩㄝˋ shěng lüè 了關ㄌㄜ˙ ㄍㄨㄢ le guān ㄩˊ ㄅㄧˇ ㄐㄧㄠˋ jiào 政府ㄓㄥˋ ㄈㄨˇ zhèng fǔ 表現ㄅㄧㄠˇ ㄒㄧㄢˋ biǎo xiàn 經濟ㄐㄧㄥ ㄐㄧˋ jīng jì 衡量ㄏㄥˊ ㄌㄧㄤˊ héng liáng 標準ㄅㄧㄠ ㄓㄨㄣˇ biāo zhǔn ㄏㄜˊ ㄑㄩ ㄩˊ 穩定ㄨㄣˇ ㄉㄧㄥˋ wěn dìng 軌跡ㄍㄨㄟˇ ㄐㄧ guǐ jī ㄉㄜ˙ de 重要ㄓㄨㄥˋ ㄧㄠˋ zhòng yào 背景ㄅㄟˋ ㄐㄧㄥˇ bèi jǐng
It's technically true but framed to suggest worse economic management than the data substantiates.
ㄊㄚ ㄗㄞˋ zài 技術ㄐㄧˋ ㄕㄨˋ jì shù ㄕㄤˋ shàng ㄕˋ shì 正確ㄓㄥˋ ㄑㄩㄝˋ zhèng què ㄉㄜ˙ de ㄉㄢˋ dàn 框架ㄎㄨㄤ ㄐㄧㄚˋ kuāng jià 暗示ㄢˋ ㄕˋ àn shì ㄉㄜ˙ de 經濟ㄐㄧㄥ ㄐㄧˋ jīng jì 管理ㄍㄨㄢˇ ㄌㄧˇ guǎn lǐ 比數據ㄅㄧˇ ㄕㄨˋ ㄐㄩˋ bǐ shù jù 所能ㄙㄨㄛˇ ㄋㄥˊ suǒ néng 證實ㄓㄥˋ ㄕˊ zhèng shí ㄉㄜ˙ de ㄍㄥˋ gèng ㄔㄚˋ chà

📚 來源與引用 (5)

  1. 1
    FactCheck: has Australia's net debt doubled under the current government?

    FactCheck: has Australia's net debt doubled under the current government?

    Was shadow minister for finance Jim Chalmers correct when he said that under the current Coalition government, net debt had doubled? We asked the experts.

    The Conversation
  2. 2
    Rudd overshoots on scale of coalition debt and deficit

    Rudd overshoots on scale of coalition debt and deficit

    The former prime minister exaggerated the growth in borrowing since Labor left office during an interview with a popular YouTuber.

    Aap Com
  3. 3
    macrotrends.net

    Australia Debt to GDP Ratio | Historical Chart & Data

    Debt is the entire stock of direct government fixed-term contractual obligations to others outstanding on a particular date. It includes domestic and foreign liabilities such as currency and money deposits, securities other than shares, and loans. It is the gross amount of government liabilities reduced by the amount of equity and financial derivatives held by the government. Because debt is a stock rather than a flow, it is measured as of a given date, usually the last day of the fiscal year.

    Macrotrends
  4. 4
    Public sector debt analysis 2019-20

    Public sector debt analysis 2019-20

    An analysis of public sector debt statistics for the 2019-20 financial year

    Australian Bureau of Statistics
  5. 5
    Australian government debt in historical and international perspective

    Australian government debt in historical and international perspective

    Key issue Australian Government debt has increased to levels not experienced since the 1950s as economic support during the COVID-19 pandemic led to increased budget deficits. As interest rates in Australia and globally have started to increase in response to recent inflation

    Aph Gov

評分量表方法論

1-3: 虛假

事實不正確或惡意捏造。

4-6: 部分

有部分真實性,但缺乏或扭曲了背景。

7-9: 大致屬實

微小的技術性問題或措辭問題。

10: 準確

完美驗證且在情境上公正。

方法論: 評分通過交叉比對官方政府記錄、獨立事實查核組織和原始來源文件來確定。