真実

評価: 7.0/10

Coalition
C0256

主張

“その数字を導き出すための計算やモデリングを行うことなく、125万人分の雇用創出を約束した。”
元の出典: Matthew Davis
分析日: 30 Jan 2026

元の出典

事実検証

この Kono 主張しゅちょう noun Shuchou topic-marker Wa , 財務ざいむ noun Zaimu しょう Shou possessive No モデリング noun Modeling subject-marker Ga 存在そんざい noun Sonzai verb Shi なかっ auxiliary-verb Naka auxiliary-verb Ta and/with To いう verb Iu てん noun Ten location/means De * * * * 事実じじつ noun Jijitsu and/with To verb Shi particle Te 正確せいかく noun Seikaku * * * * です auxiliary-verb Desu .
The claim is **factually accurate** regarding the lack of Treasury modelling.
2019 noun 2019 ねん noun Nen 3 noun 3 つき noun Tsuki , 労働ろうどう noun Roudou とう Tou subject-marker Ga 提出ていしゅつ noun Teishutsu verb Shi auxiliary-verb Ta 情報じょうほう noun Jouhou 公開こうかい noun Koukai 請求せいきゅう noun Seikyuu direction/target Ni より verb Yori , 財務ざいむ noun Zaimu しょう Shou topic-marker Wa スコット noun Scott / モリソン noun Morrison ( Scott noun Scott Morrison noun Morrison ) 首相しゅしょう noun Shushou subject-marker Ga 5 noun 5 年間ねんかん noun Nenkan location/means De 125 noun 125 まん noun Man にん Hito possessive No 雇用こよう noun Koyou 創出そうしゅつ noun Soushutsu object-marker Wo 約束やくそく noun Yakusoku verb Shi auxiliary-verb Ta こと noun Koto direction/target Ni つい verb Tsui particle Te , " あなた Anata possessive No 請求せいきゅう noun Seikyuu possessive No 範囲はんい noun Han'i ない Uchi possessive No 文書ぶんしょ noun Bunsho topic-marker Wa 存在そんざい noun Sonzai verb Shi ない auxiliary-verb Nai " and/with To 回答かいとう noun Kaitou verb Shi まし auxiliary-verb Mashi auxiliary-verb Ta [ [ 1 noun 1 ]。 ??
In March 2019, a Freedom of Information request by Labor revealed that Treasury held "no documents within the scope of your request" regarding modelling or calculations to support Prime Minister Scott Morrison's pledge to create 1.25 million jobs over five years [1].
モリソン noun Morrison topic-marker Wa 2019 noun 2019 ねん noun Nen 1 noun 1 つき noun Tsuki , 選挙せんきょ noun Senkyo まえ noun Mae possessive No 政権せいけん noun Seiken 公約こうやく noun Kouyaku possessive No 一環いっかん noun Ikkan and/with To verb Shi particle Te この Kono 約束やくそく noun Yakusoku object-marker Wo 行いおこない verb Okonai まし auxiliary-verb Mashi auxiliary-verb Ta .
Morrison made this commitment in January 2019 as part of his pre-election platform, echoing then-Opposition Leader Tony Abbott's earlier pledge to create 1 million jobs ahead of the 2013 election [2].
これ Kore topic-marker Wa , 当時とうじ noun Touji possessive No 野党やとう noun Yatou 首座しゅざ noun Shuza トニー noun Tonii / アボット noun Abotto ( Tony noun Tony Abbott noun Abbott ) subject-marker Ga 2013 noun 2013 ねん noun Nen possessive No 選挙せんきょ noun Senkyo まえ noun Mae direction/target Ni 行っいっ verb I auxiliary-verb Ta 100 noun 100 まん noun Man にん Hito possessive No 雇用こよう noun Koyou 創出そうしゅつ noun Soushutsu possessive No 約束やくそく noun Yakusoku direction/target Ni 倣っならっ verb Nara auxiliary-verb Ta もの noun Mono でし auxiliary-verb Deshi auxiliary-verb Ta [ [ 2 noun 2 ]。 ??
The 1.25 million figure represented an increase on Abbott's original commitment [2].
125 noun 125 まん noun Man にん Hito and/with To いう verb Iu 数字すうじ noun Suuji topic-marker Wa , アボット noun Abotto possessive No 当初とうしょ noun Tousho possessive No 約束やくそく noun Yakusoku から from/because Kara 増やしふやし verb Fuyashi auxiliary-verb Ta もの noun Mono でし auxiliary-verb Deshi auxiliary-verb Ta [ [ 2 noun 2 ]。 ??
At Senate estimates, Treasury officials acknowledged that the government's jobs target "would require annual jobs growth of 1.9 per cent, which is higher than the 1.5 per cent or 1.75 per cent assumed in current budget figures" [1].
上院じょういん noun Jouin 予算よさん noun Yosan 委員いいん noun Iin かい noun Kai location/means De , 財務ざいむ noun Zaimu しょう Shou possessive No 官僚かんりょう noun Kanryou topic-marker Wa , 政府せいふ noun Seifu possessive No 雇用こよう noun Koyou 目標もくひょう noun Mokuhyou direction/target Ni つい verb Tsui particle Te " 年間ねんかん noun Nenkan 1 noun 1 . . 9 noun 9 パーセント noun Percent possessive No 雇用こよう noun Koyou ぞう noun Zou subject-marker Ga 必要ひつよう noun Hitsuyou auxiliary-verb De あり verb Ari , これ Kore topic-marker Wa 現在げんざい noun Genzai possessive No 予算よさん noun Yosan 見通しみとおし noun Mitooshi location/means De 想定そうてい noun Soutei verb Sa auxiliary-verb Re particle Te いる verb Iru 1 noun 1 . . 5 noun 5 パーセント noun Percent particle Ya 1 noun 1 . . 75 noun 75 パーセント noun Percent object-marker Wo 上回るうわまわる verb Uwamawaru " and/with To 認めみとめ verb Mitome まし auxiliary-verb Mashi auxiliary-verb Ta [ [ 1 noun 1 ]。 ??
This discrepancy between the pledge and Treasury's own budget assumptions is significant.
この Kono 約束やくそく noun Yakusoku and/with To 財務ざいむ noun Zaimu しょう Shou possessive No 予算よさん noun Yosan 見通しみとおし noun Mitooshi and/with To possessive No 乖離かいり noun Kairi topic-marker Wa 重大じゅうだい Juudai です auxiliary-verb Desu .
The government's own Treasury department, when asked for documentation supporting the pledge, could produce nothing [1].
政府せいふ noun Seifu possessive No 財務ざいむ noun Zaimu しょう Shou topic-marker Wa , 雇用こよう noun Koyou 創出そうしゅつ noun Soushutsu object-marker Wo 支持しじ noun Shiji する verb Suru 文書ぶんしょ noun Bunsho object-marker Wo 提出ていしゅつ noun Teishutsu する verb Suru こと noun Koto subject-marker Ga でき verb Deki ませ auxiliary-verb Mase auxiliary-verb N でし auxiliary-verb Deshi auxiliary-verb Ta [ [ 1 noun 1 ]。 ??
Shadow Treasurer Chris Bowen characterized this as "lazy and reckless," noting that "The Liberal Party is quick to get Treasury to model and cost Labor's policies but they couldn't be bothered getting their own policies modelled" [1].
クリス noun Kurisu / ボーエン noun Bowen ( Chris noun Chris Bowen noun Bowen ) かげ noun Kage noun Ko 財務ざいむ noun Zaimu しょう Sou topic-marker Wa これ Kore object-marker Wo " 怠惰たいだ noun Taida auxiliary-verb De 無謀むぼう noun Mubou " and/with To 批判ひはん noun Hihan verb Shi , " 自由じゆう noun Jiyuu とう Tou topic-marker Wa 労働ろうどう noun Roudou とう Tou possessive No 政策せいさく noun Seisaku object-marker Wo モデリング noun Modeling verb Shi , 費用ひよう noun Hiyou object-marker Wo 計算けいさん noun Keisan verb Sa せる auxiliary-verb Seru こと noun Koto direction/target Ni topic-marker Wa 素早いすばやい adjective Subayai possessive No direction/target Ni , 自分じぶん noun Jibun たち Tachi possessive No 政策せいさく noun Seisaku object-marker Wo モデリング noun Modeling する verb Suru こと noun Koto topic-marker Wa 面倒めんどう noun Mendou くさ Kusa がっ Ga auxiliary-verb Ta " and/with To 指摘してき noun Shiteki verb Shi まし auxiliary-verb Mashi auxiliary-verb Ta [ [ 1 noun 1 ]。 ??

欠落した文脈

しかし conjunction Shikashi , この Kono 主張しゅちょう noun Shuchou direction/target Ni topic-marker Wa いく noun Iku Tsu question Ka possessive No 重要じゅうよう Juuyou auxiliary-verb Na 文脈ぶんみゃく noun Bunmyaku subject-marker Ga 欠けかけ verb Kake particle Te verb I ます auxiliary-verb Masu :
However, the claim omits several important contextual elements: **1.
* * * * 1 noun 1 . . 雇用こよう noun Koyou 創出そうしゅつ noun Soushutsu possessive No 背景はいけい noun Haikei possessive No 基盤きばん noun Kiban : * * * *
Jobs growth as background baseline:** Australia's population and workforce are growing continuously.
オーストラリア noun Australia possessive No 人口じんこう noun Jinkou and/with To 労働ろうどう noun Roudou りょく Chikara topic-marker Wa 継続けいぞく noun Keizoku てき Mato auxiliary-verb Ni 成長せいちょう noun Seichou verb Shi particle Te verb I ます auxiliary-verb Masu .
Australia's working-age population exceeds 20 million and is growing rapidly, meaning the labour market must create more than 1 million new jobs every five years just to keep pace with population growth [3].
オーストラリア noun Australia possessive No 生産せいさん noun Seisan 年齢ねんれい noun Nenrei 人口じんこう noun Jinkou topic-marker Wa 2000 noun 2000 まん noun Man にん Hito object-marker Wo 超えこえ verb Koe , 急速きゅうそく Kyuusoku auxiliary-verb Ni 増加ぞうか noun Zouka verb Shi particle Te おり verb Ori , 人口じんこう noun Jinkou 増加ぞうか noun Zouka direction/target Ni 追いつくおいつく verb Oitsuku だけ particle Dake location/means De also Mo 5 noun 5 年間ねんかん noun Nenkan location/means De 100 noun 100 まん noun Man にん Hito 以上いじょう noun Ijou possessive No 新規しんき Shinki 雇用こよう noun Koyou object-marker Wo 創出そうしゅつ noun Soushutsu する verb Suru 必要ひつよう noun Hitsuyou subject-marker Ga あり verb Ari ます auxiliary-verb Masu [ [ 3 noun 3 ]。 ??
The jobs growth figures therefore need to be understood against this natural demographic expansion, not as purely attributable to government policy [3]. **2.
したがっ verb Shitaga particle Te , 雇用こよう noun Koyou 創出そうしゅつ noun Soushutsu possessive No 数字すうじ noun Suuji topic-marker Wa 政府せいふ noun Seifu 政策せいさく noun Seisaku だけ particle Dake direction/target Ni よる verb Yoru もの noun Mono auxiliary-verb De topic-marker Wa なく adjective Naku , この Kono 自然しぜん Shizen auxiliary-verb Na 人口じんこう noun Jinkou 動態どうたい noun Doutai possessive No 拡大かくだい noun Kakudai and/with To 対比たいひ noun Taihi verb Shi particle Te 理解りかい noun Rikai する verb Suru 必要ひつよう noun Hitsuyou subject-marker Ga あり verb Ari ます auxiliary-verb Masu [ [ 3 noun 3 ]。 ??
Quality of jobs created:** The Centre for Future Work analysis notes that part-time jobs accounted for almost half of all jobs created since 2013 under the Coalition, with most being casual positions offering lower wages [3].
* * * * 2 noun 2 . . 創出そうしゅつ noun Soushutsu verb Sa auxiliary-verb Re auxiliary-verb Ta 雇用こよう noun Koyou possessive No しつ noun Shitsu : * * * *
This means the "jobs" promise, while numerically met by the previous Abbott target, reflected a shift toward precarious employment rather than full-time permanent positions [3]. **3.
将来しょうらい noun Shourai ワーク noun Work センター noun Center ( Centre noun Centre for noun For Future noun Future Work noun Work ) possessive No 分析ぶんせき noun Bunseki direction/target Ni よる verb Yoru and/with To , 2013 noun 2013 ねん noun Nen 以降いこう noun Ikou possessive No 連立れんりつ noun Renritsu 政権せいけん noun Seiken Shita location/means De 創出そうしゅつ noun Soushutsu verb Sa auxiliary-verb Re auxiliary-verb Ta 雇用こよう noun Koyou possessive No やく Yaku 半分はんぶん noun Hanbun subject-marker Ga パート noun Part タイム noun Time location/means De , その Sono 多くおおく noun Ooku subject-marker Ga てい Tei 賃金ちんぎん noun Chingin possessive No カジュアル noun Casual しょく noun Shoku でし auxiliary-verb Deshi auxiliary-verb Ta [ [ 3 noun 3 ]。 ??
Long-term pattern:** This was not the first time such a jobs target was promised.
これ Kore topic-marker Wa , " 雇用こよう noun Koyou " possessive No 約束やくそく noun Yakusoku subject-marker Ga 数値すうち noun Suuchi てき Mato auxiliary-verb Ni topic-marker Wa アボット noun Abotto possessive No 前回ぜんかい noun Zenkai possessive No 目標もくひょう noun Mokuhyou object-marker Wo 達成たっせい noun Tassei verb Shi まし auxiliary-verb Mashi auxiliary-verb Ta subject-marker Ga , せい noun Tadashi 社員しゃいん noun Shain possessive No ポジション noun Position location/means De topic-marker Wa なく adjective Naku Fu 安定あんてい noun Antei auxiliary-verb Na 雇用こよう noun Koyou direction E possessive No シフト noun Shift object-marker Wo 反映はんえい noun Han'ei verb Shi particle Te いる verb Iru こと noun Koto object-marker Wo 意味いみ noun Imi verb Shi ます auxiliary-verb Masu [ [ 3 noun 3 ]。 ??
Abbott made the same commitment ahead of 2013 and it was eventually met, though analysts noted Australia was "on track to meet that target anyway" given normal demographic trends [2]. **4.
* * * * 3 noun 3 . . 長期ちょうき noun Chouki てき Mato auxiliary-verb Na パターン noun Pattern : * * * *
Morrison's actual achievement claim:** Morrison himself argued that the Coalition had "promised one million jobs going into the 2013 election" and delivered on this, framing it as evidence of economic competence [2].
これ Kore topic-marker Wa 初めてはじめて adverb Hajimete possessive No こと noun Koto location/means De topic-marker Wa あり verb Ari ませ auxiliary-verb Mase auxiliary-verb N でし auxiliary-verb Deshi auxiliary-verb Ta .
While the FOI finding shows no modelling supported the current 1.25 million pledge, the previous 1 million target was achieved [2].
アボット noun Abotto topic-marker Wa 2013 noun 2013 ねん noun Nen possessive No 選挙せんきょ noun Senkyo まえ noun Mae direction/target Ni 同じおなじ Onaji 100 noun 100 まん noun Man にん Hito possessive No 雇用こよう noun Koyou 創出そうしゅつ noun Soushutsu 約束やくそく noun Yakusoku object-marker Wo 行いおこない verb Okonai , 最終さいしゅう noun Saishuu てき Mato auxiliary-verb Ni 達成たっせい noun Tassei verb Sa auxiliary-verb Re まし auxiliary-verb Mashi auxiliary-verb Ta .
ただし conjunction Tadashi , 分析ぶんせき noun Bunseki Ie topic-marker Wa オーストラリア noun Australia subject-marker Ga " 元々もともと adverb Motomoto その Sono 目標もくひょう noun Mokuhyou object-marker Wo 達成たっせい noun Tassei する verb Suru 軌道きどう noun Kidou direction/target Ni あっ verb A auxiliary-verb Ta " and/with To 指摘してき noun Shiteki verb Shi particle Te verb I ます auxiliary-verb Masu [ [ 2 noun 2 ]。 ??
* * * * 4 noun 4 . . モリソン noun Morrison possessive No 実際じっさい noun Jissai possessive No 達成たっせい noun Tassei possessive No 主張しゅちょう noun Shuchou : * * * *
モリソン noun Morrison 自身じしん noun Jishin topic-marker Wa , 連立れんりつ noun Renritsu 政権せいけん noun Seiken subject-marker Ga " 2013 noun 2013 ねん noun Nen possessive No 選挙せんきょ noun Senkyo direction/target Ni 向けむけ verb Muke particle Te 100 noun 100 まん noun Man にん Hito possessive No 雇用こよう noun Koyou 創出そうしゅつ noun Soushutsu object-marker Wo 約束やくそく noun Yakusoku verb Shi " それ Sore object-marker Wo 達成たっせい noun Tassei verb Shi auxiliary-verb Ta and/with To 主張しゅちょう noun Shuchou verb Shi , 経済けいざい noun Keizai 運営うんえい noun Un'ei 能力のうりょく noun Nouryoku possessive No 証拠しょうこ noun Shouko and/with To verb Shi particle Te 位置いち noun Ichi 付けつけ verb Tsuke まし auxiliary-verb Mashi auxiliary-verb Ta [ [ 2 noun 2 ]。 ??
情報じょうほう noun Jouhou 公開こうかい noun Koukai 請求せいきゅう noun Seikyuu possessive No 結果けっか noun Kekka topic-marker Wa , 現在げんざい noun Genzai possessive No 125 noun 125 まん noun Man にん Hito possessive No 約束やくそく noun Yakusoku object-marker Wo 支持しじ noun Shiji する verb Suru モデリング noun Modeling subject-marker Ga 存在そんざい noun Sonzai verb Shi なかっ auxiliary-verb Naka auxiliary-verb Ta こと noun Koto object-marker Wo 示ししめし verb Shimeshi particle Te verb I ます auxiliary-verb Masu subject-marker Ga , 前回ぜんかい noun Zenkai possessive No 100 noun 100 まん noun Man にん Hito possessive No 目標もくひょう noun Mokuhyou topic-marker Wa 達成たっせい noun Tassei verb Sa auxiliary-verb Re まし auxiliary-verb Mashi auxiliary-verb Ta [ [ 2 noun 2 ]。 ??

情報源の信頼性評価

もと noun Moto possessive No 情報じょうほう noun Jouhou げん Minamoto ( SBS noun SBS ニュース noun News ) topic-marker Wa , 高いたかい adjective Takai 編集へんしゅう noun Henshuu 基準きじゅん noun Kijun object-marker Wo 持つもつ verb Motsu 評価ひょうか noun Hyouka possessive No 高いたかい adjective Takai 主流しゅりゅう noun Shuryuu メディア noun Media auxiliary-verb De あり verb Ari , 政党せいとう noun Seitou 偏見へんけん noun Henken topic-marker Wa 知らしら verb Shira auxiliary-verb Re particle Te verb I ませ auxiliary-verb Mase auxiliary-verb N [ [ 1 noun 1 ]。 ??
The original source (SBS News) is a reputable mainstream broadcaster with high editorial standards and is not known for partisan bias [1].
この Kono 記事きじ noun Kiji topic-marker Wa 公式こうしき noun Koushiki 政府せいふ noun Seifu 情報じょうほう noun Jouhou げん Minamoto ( 財務ざいむ noun Zaimu しょう Shou possessive No 情報じょうほう noun Jouhou 公開こうかい noun Koukai 回答かいとう noun Kaitou , 上院じょういん noun Jouin 予算よさん noun Yosan 委員いいん noun Iin かい noun Kai possessive No 証言しょうげん noun Shougen , 大臣だいじん noun Daijin 声明せいめい noun Seimei ) object-marker Wo 引用いんよう noun In'you verb Shi particle Te おり verb Ori , 出典しゅってん noun Shutten subject-marker Ga 明確めいかく Meikaku です auxiliary-verb Desu .
The article cites official government sources (the Treasury FOI response, Senate estimates testimony, and ministerial statements), making it well-sourced.
この Kono 主張しゅちょう noun Shuchou topic-marker Wa , かげ noun Kage noun Ko 財務ざいむ noun Zaimu しょう Sou クリス noun Kurisu / ボーエン noun Bowen possessive No 発言はつげん noun Hatsugen also Mo 引用いんよう noun In'you verb Shi particle Te verb I ます auxiliary-verb Masu .
The claim also references Shadow Treasurer Chris Bowen's statement, which represents Labor's political perspective on the issue.
これ Kore topic-marker Wa 労働ろうどう noun Roudou とう Tou possessive No 政治せいじ noun Seiji てき Mato 观点 noun ?? object-marker Wo 表しあらわし verb Arawashi particle Te verb I ます auxiliary-verb Masu .
While Bowen is clearly critical of the Coalition, his statement itself is factual—Treasury did provide no modelling—though the characterization as "lazy and reckless" is opinion [1].
ボーエン noun Bowen topic-marker Wa 明らかあきらか Akiraka auxiliary-verb Ni 連立れんりつ noun Renritsu 政権せいけん noun Seiken object-marker Wo 批判ひはん noun Hihan verb Shi particle Te verb I ます auxiliary-verb Masu subject-marker Ga , かれ Kare possessive No 発言はつげん noun Hatsugen 自体じたい noun Jitai topic-marker Wa 事実じじつ noun Jijitsu です auxiliary-verb Desu .
財務ざいむ noun Zaimu しょう Shou topic-marker Wa モデリング noun Modeling object-marker Wo 提供ていきょう noun Teikyou verb Shi ませ auxiliary-verb Mase auxiliary-verb N でし auxiliary-verb Deshi auxiliary-verb Ta .
ただし conjunction Tadashi , " 怠惰たいだ noun Taida auxiliary-verb De 無謀むぼう noun Mubou " and/with To いう verb Iu 評価ひょうか noun Hyouka topic-marker Wa 意見いけん noun Iken です auxiliary-verb Desu [ [ 1 noun 1 ]。 ??
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労働党比較

* * * * 労働ろうどう noun Roudou とう Tou also Mo 同様どうよう Douyou possessive No こと noun Koto object-marker Wo 行っおこなっ verb I auxiliary-verb Ta possessive No question Ka ?
**Did Labor do something similar?** The available evidence suggests Labor's approach to election costings differs from the Coalition's approach to this jobs pledge: Labor's policies are routinely costed by the Parliamentary Budget Office (PBO) and sometimes by Treasury, though Treasury traditionally resists providing formal costings for Opposition policies [4].
* * * *
However, Labor typically provides its own detailed policy documents and economic impact statements for major commitments [4].
入手にゅうしゅ noun Nyuushu 可能かのう Kanou auxiliary-verb Na 証拠しょうこ noun Shouko topic-marker Wa , 労働ろうどう noun Roudou とう Tou possessive No 選挙せんきょ noun Senkyo 費用ひよう noun Hiyou 見積もりみつもり noun Mitsumori possessive No アプローチ noun Approach topic-marker Wa , 連立れんりつ noun Renritsu 政権せいけん noun Seiken possessive No 雇用こよう noun Koyou 約束やくそく noun Yakusoku possessive No アプローチ noun Approach and/with To topic-marker Wa 異なることなる verb Kotonaru こと noun Koto object-marker Wo 示唆しさ noun Shisa verb Shi particle Te verb I ます auxiliary-verb Masu :
The distinction appears to be that Labor's major policies are subjected to external scrutiny and costing processes, whereas Morrison's 1.25 million jobs pledge appears to have been announced without any supporting Treasury analysis or government calculation [1].
労働ろうどう noun Roudou とう Tou possessive No 政策せいさく noun Seisaku topic-marker Wa , 議会ぎかい noun Gikai 予算よさん noun Yosan 事務じむ noun Jimu きょく noun Kyoku ( Parliamentary noun Parliamentary Budget noun Budget Office noun Office ) direction/target Ni よっ verb Yo particle Te 定期ていき noun Teiki てき Mato auxiliary-verb Ni 費用ひよう noun Hiyou 計算けいさん noun Keisan verb Sa auxiliary-verb Re , とき noun Ji direction/target Ni topic-marker Wa 財務ざいむ noun Zaimu しょう Shou direction/target Ni よっ verb Yo particle Te also Mo 計算けいさん noun Keisan verb Sa auxiliary-verb Re ます auxiliary-verb Masu .
Chris Bowen's criticism specifically targeted the asymmetry: "The Liberal Party is quick to get Treasury to model and cost Labor's policies but they couldn't be bothered getting their own policies modelled" [1].
ただし conjunction Tadashi , 財務ざいむ noun Zaimu しょう Shou topic-marker Wa 伝統でんとう noun Dentou てき Mato auxiliary-verb Ni 野党やとう noun Yatou 政策せいさく noun Seisaku possessive No 公式こうしき noun Koushiki 費用ひよう noun Hiyou 計算けいさん noun Keisan direction/target Ni 抵抗ていこう noun Teikou verb Shi particle Te verb I ます auxiliary-verb Masu [ [ 4 noun 4 ]。 ??
There is no evidence that Labor made large-scale, unmodelled employment pledges without Treasury support during comparable periods.
しかし conjunction Shikashi , 労働ろうどう noun Roudou とう Tou topic-marker Wa 通常つうじょう noun Tsuujou , 主要しゅよう Shuyou auxiliary-verb Na 約束やくそく noun Yakusoku 事項じこう noun Jikou direction/target Ni つい verb Tsui particle Te 独自どくじ Dokuji possessive No 詳細しょうさい noun Shousai auxiliary-verb Na 政策せいさく noun Seisaku 文書ぶんしょ noun Bunsho and/with To 経済けいざい noun Keizai 影響えいきょう noun Eikyou 評価ひょうか noun Hyouka object-marker Wo 提供ていきょう noun Teikyou verb Shi particle Te verb I ます auxiliary-verb Masu [ [ 4 noun 4 ]。 ??
違いちがい noun Chigai topic-marker Wa , 労働ろうどう noun Roudou とう Tou possessive No 主要しゅよう Shuyou auxiliary-verb Na 政策せいさく noun Seisaku topic-marker Wa 外部がいぶ noun Gaibu possessive No 審査しんさ noun Shinsa and/with To 費用ひよう noun Hiyou 計算けいさん noun Keisan プロセス noun Process direction/target Ni さらさ verb Sarasa auxiliary-verb Re particle Te いる verb Iru possessive No direction/target Ni 対したいし verb Taishi , モリソン noun Morrison possessive No 125 noun 125 まん noun Man にん Hito possessive No 雇用こよう noun Koyou 約束やくそく noun Yakusoku topic-marker Wa , 支持しじ noun Shiji する verb Suru 財務ざいむ noun Zaimu しょう Shou possessive No 分析ぶんせき noun Bunseki particle Ya 政府せいふ noun Seifu possessive No 計算けいさん noun Keisan なし noun Nashi direction/target Ni 発表はっぴょう noun Happyou verb Sa auxiliary-verb Re auxiliary-verb Ta よう You です auxiliary-verb Desu .
クリス noun Kurisu / ボーエン noun Bowen possessive No 批判ひはん noun Hihan topic-marker Wa この Kono Hi 対称たいしょう noun Taishou せい Sei object-marker Wo 具体ぐたい noun Gutai てき Mato auxiliary-verb Ni 指摘してき noun Shiteki verb Shi particle Te verb I ます auxiliary-verb Masu .
" 自由じゆう noun Jiyuu とう Tou topic-marker Wa 労働ろうどう noun Roudou とう Tou possessive No 政策せいさく noun Seisaku object-marker Wo モデリング noun Modeling verb Shi , 費用ひよう noun Hiyou object-marker Wo 計算けいさん noun Keisan verb Sa せる auxiliary-verb Seru こと noun Koto direction/target Ni topic-marker Wa 素早いすばやい adjective Subayai possessive No direction/target Ni , 自分じぶん noun Jibun たち Tachi possessive No 政策せいさく noun Seisaku object-marker Wo モデリング noun Modeling する verb Suru こと noun Koto topic-marker Wa 面倒めんどう noun Mendou くさ Kusa がっ Ga auxiliary-verb Ta 」[ ?? 1 noun 1 ]。 ??
同等どうとう Doutou possessive No 時期じき noun Jiki direction/target Ni 労働ろうどう noun Roudou とう Tou subject-marker Ga 財務ざいむ noun Zaimu しょう Shou possessive No 支持しじ noun Shiji なし noun Nashi direction/target Ni だい Oo 規模きぼ noun Kibo location/means De モデリング noun Modeling verb Sa auxiliary-verb Re particle Te verb I ない auxiliary-verb Nai 雇用こよう noun Koyou 約束やくそく noun Yakusoku object-marker Wo 行っおこなっ verb I auxiliary-verb Ta and/with To いう verb Iu 証拠しょうこ noun Shouko topic-marker Wa あり verb Ari ませ auxiliary-verb Mase auxiliary-verb N .
🌐

バランスの取れた視点

* * * * 政府せいふ noun Seifu possessive No 視点してん noun Shiten and/with To 文脈ぶんみゃく noun Bunmyaku : * * * *
**The government's perspective and context:** Minister Simon Birmingham defended the pledge by pointing to actual results: the Coalition "oversaw the creation of 1.2 million jobs over the last five-and-a-half years instead of the one million promised" and achieved "record growth in youth employment" and "female workforce participation at its highest level ever" [1].
サイモン noun Simon / バーミンガム noun Birmingham ( Simon noun Simon Birmingham noun Birmingham ) 大臣だいじん noun Daijin topic-marker Wa , 実際じっさい noun Jissai possessive No 結果けっか noun Kekka object-marker Wo 指摘してき noun Shiteki する verb Suru こと noun Koto location/means De この Kono 約束やくそく noun Yakusoku object-marker Wo 擁護ようご noun Yougo verb Shi まし auxiliary-verb Mashi auxiliary-verb Ta .
This represents a legitimate counter-argument—the government could point to demonstrated job creation success even if the current pledge lacked modelling.
連立れんりつ noun Renritsu 政権せいけん noun Seiken topic-marker Wa " 約束やくそく noun Yakusoku verb Shi auxiliary-verb Ta 100 noun 100 まん noun Man にん Hito auxiliary-verb De topic-marker Wa なく adjective Naku , 過去かこ noun Kako 5 noun 5 ねん noun Nen はん noun Han location/means De 120 noun 120 まん noun Man にん Hito possessive No 雇用こよう noun Koyou 創出そうしゅつ noun Soushutsu object-marker Wo 監督かんとく noun Kantoku verb Shi " また conjunction Mata " 若者わかもの noun Wakamono 雇用こよう noun Koyou possessive No 記録きろく noun Kiroku てき Mato auxiliary-verb Na 増加ぞうか noun Zouka " and/with To " 女性じょせい noun Josei possessive No 労働ろうどう noun Roudou 参加さんか noun Sanka りつ noun Ritsu subject-marker Ga 過去かこ noun Kako 最高さいこう noun Saikou " also Mo 達成たっせい noun Tassei verb Shi auxiliary-verb Ta and/with To 述べのべ verb Nobe まし auxiliary-verb Mashi auxiliary-verb Ta [ [ 1 noun 1 ]。 ??
However, several important nuances complicate this defence: **1.
これ Kore topic-marker Wa 正当せいとう noun Seitou auxiliary-verb Na 反論はんろん noun Hanron です auxiliary-verb Desu .
Achievement vs.
政府せいふ noun Seifu topic-marker Wa , 現在げんざい noun Genzai possessive No 約束やくそく noun Yakusoku direction/target Ni モデリング noun Modeling subject-marker Ga 欠けかけ verb Kake particle Te verb I particle Te also Mo , 実証じっしょう noun Jisshou 済みずみ Sumi possessive No 雇用こよう noun Koyou 創出そうしゅつ noun Soushutsu possessive No 成功せいこう noun Seikou object-marker Wo 指摘してき noun Shiteki でき verb Deki まし auxiliary-verb Mashi auxiliary-verb Ta .
Policy causation:** The Centre for Future Work's research suggests the 1 million jobs created between 2013-2018 may not have been primarily attributable to Coalition policy.
しかし conjunction Shikashi , この Kono 擁護ようご noun Yougo direction/target Ni topic-marker Wa いく noun Iku Tsu question Ka possessive No 重要じゅうよう Juuyou auxiliary-verb Na ニュアンス noun Nuance subject-marker Ga あり verb Ari ます auxiliary-verb Masu :
The report notes that "Australia's job-creation record since 2013 has actually been unimpressive" when considered relative to population growth and that "it was only due to a surge in part-time jobs (most of them casual, low-wage positions) that Mr.
* * * * 1 noun 1 . . 達成たっせい noun Tassei and/with To 政策せいさく noun Seisaku possessive No 因果いんが noun Inga 関係かんけい noun Kankei : * * * *
Abbott's million-job target was met" [3].
将来しょうらい noun Shourai ワーク noun Work センター noun Center possessive No 研究けんきゅう noun Kenkyuu topic-marker Wa , 2013 noun 2013 ねん noun Nen から from/because Kara 2018 noun 2018 ねん noun Nen direction/target Ni かけ verb Kake particle Te 創出そうしゅつ noun Soushutsu verb Sa auxiliary-verb Re auxiliary-verb Ta 100 noun 100 まん noun Man にん Hito possessive No 雇用こよう noun Koyou subject-marker Ga , 主におもに adverb Omoni 連立れんりつ noun Renritsu 政権せいけん noun Seiken possessive No 政策せいさく noun Seisaku direction/target Ni よる verb Yoru もの noun Mono auxiliary-verb De topic-marker Wa ない adjective Nai 可能かのう Kanou せい Sei subject-marker Ga ある verb Aru こと noun Koto object-marker Wo 示唆しさ noun Shisa verb Shi particle Te verb I ます auxiliary-verb Masu .
The research further notes that "2013-18 was the tenth time Australia created at least 1 million jobs in 5 years.
報告ほうこく noun Houkoku しょ Sho topic-marker Wa , " 2013 noun 2013 ねん noun Nen 以降いこう noun Ikou possessive No オーストラリア noun Australia possessive No 雇用こよう noun Koyou 創出そうしゅつ noun Soushutsu 実績じっせき noun Jisseki topic-marker Wa , 人口じんこう noun Jinkou 増加ぞうか noun Zouka and/with To 比較ひかく noun Hikaku する verb Suru and/with To 実際じっさい noun Jissai direction/target Ni topic-marker Wa 芳しくかんばしく adjective Kanbashiku ない adjective Nai " and/with To 指摘してき noun Shiteki verb Shi , " アボット noun Abotto Shi possessive No 100 noun 100 まん noun Man にん Hito possessive No 雇用こよう noun Koyou 目標もくひょう noun Mokuhyou object-marker Wo 達成たっせい noun Tassei でき verb Deki auxiliary-verb Ta possessive No topic-marker Wa , パート noun Part タイム noun Time possessive No 雇用こよう noun Koyou ( その Sono 多くおおく noun Ooku subject-marker Ga カジュアル noun Casual auxiliary-verb Na てい Tei 賃金ちんぎん noun Chingin ポジション noun Position ) possessive No 急増きゅうぞう noun Kyuuzou direction/target Ni よる verb Yoru もの noun Mono だっ auxiliary-verb Da auxiliary-verb Ta " [ [ 3 noun 3 ]。 ??
The first time was 30 years ago" and that "the rate of employment growth since 2013 has been slower than the long-term historical average" [3]. **2.
この Kono 研究けんきゅう noun Kenkyuu topic-marker Wa さらに adverb Sarani , " 2013 noun 2013 ねん noun Nen から from/because Kara 18 noun 18 ねん noun Nen direction/target Ni かけ verb Kake particle Te , オーストラリア noun Australia subject-marker Ga 5 noun 5 年間ねんかん noun Nenkan location/means De 少なくすくなく adjective Sukunaku とも particle Tomo 100 noun 100 まん noun Man にん Hito possessive No 雇用こよう noun Koyou object-marker Wo 創出そうしゅつ noun Soushutsu verb Shi auxiliary-verb Ta possessive No topic-marker Wa 10 noun 10 かい noun Kai Me auxiliary-verb De ある verb Aru .
Promise vs. standard procedures:** The core issue is not whether jobs could be created, but whether major policy pledges should have supporting analysis before announcement.
初めてはじめて adverb Hajimete topic-marker Wa 30 noun 30 ねん noun Nen まえ noun Mae auxiliary-verb De あり verb Ari , " 2013 noun 2013 ねん noun Nen 以降いこう noun Ikou possessive No 雇用こよう noun Koyou 増加ぞうか noun Zouka りつ noun Ritsu topic-marker Wa 長期ちょうき noun Chouki てき Mato auxiliary-verb Na 歴史れきし noun Rekishi てき Mato 平均へいきん noun Heikin より particle Yori also Mo 遅いおそい adjective Osoi 」[ ?? 3 noun 3 ]。 ??
The lack of any Treasury modelling, calculation, or even internal government analysis for such a significant commitment represents an unusual approach to policy development [1]. **3.
* * * * 2 noun 2 . . 約束やくそく noun Yakusoku and/with To 標準ひょうじゅん noun Hyoujun てき Mato 手続きてつづき noun Tetsuzuki : * * * *
Asymmetrical accountability:** The claim highlights a legitimate double standard: if Treasury can analyse Labor's policies sufficiently to attack them, it should have been asked to analyse the Coalition's own major pledges [1].
中心ちゅうしん noun Chuushin てき Mato auxiliary-verb Na 問題もんだい noun Mondai topic-marker Wa 雇用こよう noun Koyou object-marker Wo 創出そうしゅつ noun Soushutsu できる verb Dekiru question Ka どう adverb Dou question Ka location/means De topic-marker Wa なく adjective Naku , 主要しゅよう Shuyou auxiliary-verb Na 政策せいさく noun Seisaku 約束やくそく noun Yakusoku 事項じこう noun Jikou topic-marker Wa 発表はっぴょう noun Happyou まえ noun Mae direction/target Ni 支持しじ noun Shiji する verb Suru 分析ぶんせき noun Bunseki object-marker Wo 持つもつ verb Motsu べき auxiliary-verb Beki question Ka どう adverb Dou question Ka です auxiliary-verb Desu .
Chris Bowen's observation on this point is factually grounded [1]. **4.
125 noun 125 まん noun Man にん Hito possessive No 雇用こよう noun Koyou 創出そうしゅつ noun Soushutsu and/with To いう verb Iu この Kono よう You auxiliary-verb Na 重大じゅうだい Juudai auxiliary-verb Na 約束やくそく noun Yakusoku direction/target Ni 対したいし verb Taishi , 財務ざいむ noun Zaimu しょう Shou possessive No モデリング noun Modeling , 計算けいさん noun Keisan , また conjunction Mata topic-marker Wa 政府せいふ noun Seifu 内部ないぶ noun Naibu 分析ぶんせき noun Bunseki subject-marker Ga 全くまったく adverb Mattaku 存在そんざい noun Sonzai verb Shi なかっ auxiliary-verb Naka auxiliary-verb Ta こと noun Koto topic-marker Wa , 政策せいさく noun Seisaku 開発かいはつ noun Kaihatsu direction/target Ni 対するたいする verb Taisuru 異例いれい noun Irei possessive No アプローチ noun Approach object-marker Wo 表しあらわし verb Arawashi particle Te verb I ます auxiliary-verb Masu [ [ 1 noun 1 ]。 ??
Historical precedent:** Tony Abbott's virtually identical 1 million jobs promise ahead of 2013 also appears to have lacked detailed prior modelling, suggesting this may reflect a pattern in Coalition election strategy rather than an isolated instance [2].
* * * * 3 noun 3 . . Hi 対称たいしょう noun Taishou てき Mato 説明せつめい noun Setsumei 責任せきにん noun Sekinin : * * * *
この Kono 主張しゅちょう noun Shuchou topic-marker Wa 正当せいとう noun Seitou auxiliary-verb Na noun Ni じゅう noun Juu 基準きじゅん noun Kijun object-marker Wo 浮き彫りうきぼり noun Ukibori direction/target Ni verb Shi particle Te verb I ます auxiliary-verb Masu .
財務ざいむ noun Zaimu しょう Shou subject-marker Ga 労働ろうどう noun Roudou とう Tou possessive No 政策せいさく noun Seisaku object-marker Wo 分析ぶんせき noun Bunseki verb Shi particle Te 攻撃こうげき noun Kougeki できる verb Dekiru なら auxiliary-verb Nara , 連立れんりつ noun Renritsu 政権せいけん noun Seiken possessive No 主要しゅよう Shuyou auxiliary-verb Na 約束やくそく noun Yakusoku 事項じこう noun Jikou object-marker Wo 分析ぶんせき noun Bunseki する verb Suru よう You 求めるもとめる verb Motomeru べき auxiliary-verb Beki でし auxiliary-verb Deshi auxiliary-verb Ta [ [ 1 noun 1 ]。 ??
クリス noun Kurisu / ボーエン noun Bowen possessive No この Kono てん noun Ten direction/target Ni 関するかんする verb Kansuru 指摘してき noun Shiteki topic-marker Wa 事実じじつ noun Jijitsu direction/target Ni 基づいもとづい verb Motozui particle Te verb I ます auxiliary-verb Masu [ [ 1 noun 1 ]。 ??
* * * * 4 noun 4 . . 歴史れきし noun Rekishi てき Mato 先例せんれい noun Senrei : * * * *
2013 noun 2013 ねん noun Nen possessive No 選挙せんきょ noun Senkyo まえ noun Mae direction/target Ni トニー noun Tonii / アボット noun Abotto subject-marker Ga 行っおこなっ verb I auxiliary-verb Ta ほぼ adverb Hobo 同じおなじ Onaji 100 noun 100 まん noun Man にん Hito possessive No 雇用こよう noun Koyou 創出そうしゅつ noun Soushutsu 約束やくそく noun Yakusoku also Mo , 詳細しょうさい noun Shousai auxiliary-verb Na 事前じぜん noun Jizen モデリング noun Modeling subject-marker Ga 欠けかけ verb Kake particle Te verb I auxiliary-verb Ta よう You auxiliary-verb De あり verb Ari , これ Kore topic-marker Wa 連立れんりつ noun Renritsu 政権せいけん noun Seiken possessive No 選挙せんきょ noun Senkyo 戦略せんりゃく noun Senryaku direction/target Ni おけ verb Oke auxiliary-verb Ru パターン noun Pattern object-marker Wo 反映はんえい noun Han'ei verb Shi particle Te いる verb Iru 可能かのう Kanou せい Sei subject-marker Ga あり verb Ari ます auxiliary-verb Masu [ [ 2 noun 2 ]。 ??

真実

7.0

/ 10

この Kono 主張しゅちょう noun Shuchou topic-marker Wa 事実じじつ noun Jijitsu and/with To verb Shi particle Te 正確せいかく noun Seikaku です auxiliary-verb Desu .
The claim is factually accurate: Morrison did promise 1.25 million jobs without Treasury modelling, as confirmed by the FOI response and Treasury's own acknowledgment that the target exceeded their budget assumptions [1].
モリソン noun Morrison topic-marker Wa , 情報じょうほう noun Jouhou 公開こうかい noun Koukai 回答かいとう noun Kaitou and/with To 財務ざいむ noun Zaimu しょう Shou 自身じしん noun Jishin possessive No 認識にんしき noun Ninshiki ( 目標もくひょう noun Mokuhyou subject-marker Ga 予算よさん noun Yosan 見通しみとおし noun Mitooshi object-marker Wo 上回るうわまわる verb Uwamawaru こと noun Koto ) direction/target Ni よっ verb Yo particle Te 確認かくにん noun Kakunin verb Sa auxiliary-verb Re auxiliary-verb Ta よう You auxiliary-verb Ni , 財務ざいむ noun Zaimu しょう Shou possessive No モデリング noun Modeling なし noun Nashi direction/target Ni 125 noun 125 まん noun Man にん Hito possessive No 雇用こよう noun Koyou 創出そうしゅつ noun Soushutsu object-marker Wo 約束やくそく noun Yakusoku verb Shi まし auxiliary-verb Mashi auxiliary-verb Ta [ [ 1 noun 1 ]。 ??
However, the claim's framing omits important context about jobs quality, population growth baselines, and the actual achievement of the previous (unmodelled) 1 million job pledge by Abbott, which complicate the simple narrative of "broken promise."
しかし conjunction Shikashi , この Kono 主張しゅちょう noun Shuchou possessive No 枠組みわくぐみ noun Wakugumi topic-marker Wa , 雇用こよう noun Koyou possessive No しつ noun Shitsu , 人口じんこう noun Jinkou 増加ぞうか noun Zouka possessive No 基準きじゅん noun Kijun , そして conjunction Soshite アボット noun Abotto direction/target Ni よる verb Yoru 前回ぜんかい noun Zenkai possessive No ( モデリング noun Modeling verb Sa auxiliary-verb Re particle Te verb I ない auxiliary-verb Nai ) 100 noun 100 まん noun Man にん Hito possessive No 雇用こよう noun Koyou 約束やくそく noun Yakusoku possessive No 実際じっさい noun Jissai possessive No 達成たっせい noun Tassei direction/target Ni つい verb Tsui particle Te possessive No 重要じゅうよう Juuyou auxiliary-verb Na 文脈ぶんみゃく noun Bunmyaku object-marker Wo 省略しょうりゃく noun Shouryaku verb Shi particle Te おり verb Ori , " 破らやぶら verb Yabura auxiliary-verb Re auxiliary-verb Ta 約束やくそく noun Yakusoku " and/with To いう verb Iu 単純たんじゅん Tanjun auxiliary-verb Na ナラティブ noun Narrative object-marker Wo 複雑ふくざつ noun Fukuzatsu auxiliary-verb Ni verb Shi particle Te verb I ます auxiliary-verb Masu .

📚 出典と引用 (4)

  1. 1
    sbs.com.au

    sbs.com.au

    Treasury has no documents or modelling that backs the government's promise to create 1.25 million jobs over five years, a freedom of information request shows.

    SBS News
  2. 2
    abc.net.au

    abc.net.au

    The Prime Minister is expected to use a speech in Brisbane to announce that a re-elected Coalition government will create 1.25 million jobs over the next five years.

    Abc Net
  3. 3
    futurework.org.au

    futurework.org.au

    In the lead-up to the 2013 federal election, then-Opposition Leader Tony Abbott made a high-profile pledge that a Coalition government, if elected, would create 1 million new jobs over the next five years. Abbott was elected (although later ousted by his own party), and total employment in Australia did indeed grow by over 1 million positions between 2013 and 2018.  Current Prime Minister Scott Morrison hopes that this success can resuscitate his party's flagging fortunes: he has pledged, if elected, to create even more jobs (1.25 million) over the next five years.

    The Australia Institute's Centre for Future Work
  4. 4
    abc.net.au

    abc.net.au

    Shadow Treasurer Chris Bowen releases a letter from the federal Treasury boss, distancing bureaucrats from a Coalition attack on the Opposition.

    Abc Net

評価スケールの方法論

1-3: 虚偽

事実に反する、または悪意のある捏造。

4-6: 部分的

一部は真実だが、文脈が欠如または歪曲されている。

7-9: ほぼ真実

軽微な技術的問題または表現上の問題。

10: 正確

完全に検証済みで、文脈的に公正。

方法論: 評価は、公式の政府記録、独立したファクトチェック機関、および一次資料の相互参照を通じて決定されます。