部分真實

評分: 6.0/10

Labor
5.1

主張

“於2022年9月立法通過2030年減排43%及2050年淨零排放目標”
原始來源: Albosteezy

原始來源

事實查核

聲稱ㄕㄥ ㄔㄥ shēng chēng 艾班ㄞˋ ㄅㄢ ài bān 尼斯ㄋㄧˊ ㄙ ní sī 政府ㄓㄥˋ ㄈㄨˇ zhèng fǔ ㄩˊ 20222022 2022 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 99 9 ㄩㄝˋ yuè 立法ㄌㄧˋ ㄈㄚˇ lì fǎ 通過ㄊㄨㄥ ㄍㄨㄛˋ tōng guò 20302030 2030 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 減排ㄐㄧㄢˇ ㄆㄞˊ jiǎn pái 43%43% 43% ㄐㄧˊ 20502050 2050 年淨ㄋㄧㄢˊ ㄐㄧㄥˋ nián jìng 零排放ㄌㄧㄥˊ ㄆㄞˊ ㄈㄤˋ líng pái fàng 目標ㄇㄨˋ ㄅㄧㄠ mù biāo ㄗㄞˋ zài ㄕˋ shì 實上ㄕˊ ㄕㄤˋ shí shàng ** * ** * 準確ㄓㄨㄣˇ ㄑㄩㄝˋ zhǔn què 無誤ㄨˊ ㄨˋ wú wù ** * ** *
The claim that the Albanese Government legislated a 43% emissions reduction target by 2030 and net zero by 2050 in September 2022 is **factually accurate**.
澳洲ㄠˋ ㄓㄡ ào zhōu 國會ㄍㄨㄛˊ ㄏㄨㄟˋ guó huì ㄩˊ 20222022 2022 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 99 9 ㄩㄝˋ yuè 88 8 日通過ㄖˋ ㄊㄨㄥ ㄍㄨㄛˋ rì tōng guò 氣候ㄑㄧˋ ㄏㄡˋ qì hòu 變遷ㄅㄧㄢˋ ㄑㄧㄢ biàn qiān 法案ㄈㄚˇ ㄢˋ fǎ àn 20222022 2022 將溫室ㄐㄧㄤ ㄨㄣ ㄕˋ jiāng wēn shì 氣體ㄑㄧˋ ㄊㄧˇ qì tǐ 減排ㄐㄧㄢˇ ㄆㄞˊ jiǎn pái 目標ㄇㄨˋ ㄅㄧㄠ mù biāo ㄧˇ 法律ㄈㄚˇ ㄌㄩˋ fǎ lǜ 形式ㄒㄧㄥˊ ㄕˋ xíng shì 確立ㄑㄩㄝˋ ㄌㄧˋ què lì 20302030 2030 年前ㄋㄧㄢˊ ㄑㄧㄢˊ nián qián ㄐㄧㄠˋ jiào 20052005 2005 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 水平ㄕㄨㄟˇ ㄆㄧㄥˊ shuǐ píng 減排ㄐㄧㄢˇ ㄆㄞˊ jiǎn pái 43%43% 43% ㄅㄧㄥˋ bìng ㄩˊ 20502050 2050 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián ㄉㄚˊ 成淨ㄔㄥˊ ㄐㄧㄥˋ chéng jìng 零排放ㄌㄧㄥˊ ㄆㄞˊ ㄈㄤˋ líng pái fàng [[ [ 11 1 ]] ]
Australia's parliament passed the Climate Change Bill 2022 on September 8, 2022, which enshrines into law a greenhouse gas emissions reduction target of 43% below 2005 levels by 2030 and net zero emissions by 2050 [1].
眾議院ㄓㄨㄥˋ ㄧˋ ㄩㄢˋ zhòng yì yuàn ㄧˇ 8989 89 ㄆㄧㄠˋ piào ㄉㄨㄟˋ duì 5555 55 票通過ㄆㄧㄠˋ ㄊㄨㄥ ㄍㄨㄛˋ piào tōng guò ㄍㄞ gāi 法案ㄈㄚˇ ㄢˋ fǎ àn 參議ㄘㄢ ㄧˋ cān yì 院則ㄩㄢˋ ㄗㄜˊ yuàn zé ㄗㄞˋ zài 綠黨ㄌㄩˋ ㄉㄤˇ lǜ dǎng 賈姬ㄐㄧㄚˇ ㄐㄧ jiǎ jī ·· · 蘭比ㄌㄢˊ ㄅㄧˇ lán bǐ 網絡黨ㄨㄤˇ ㄌㄨㄛˋ ㄉㄤˇ wǎng luò dǎng ㄐㄧˊ 獨立ㄉㄨˊ ㄌㄧˋ dú lì 參議員大衛ㄘㄢ ㄧˋ ㄩㄢˊ ㄉㄚˋ ㄨㄟˋ cān yì yuán dà wèi ·· · ㄅㄛ 科克ㄎㄜ ㄎㄜˋ kē kè 支持ㄓ ㄔˊ zhī chí 下通過ㄒㄧㄚˋ ㄊㄨㄥ ㄍㄨㄛˋ xià tōng guò [[ [ 22 2 ]] ]
The House of Representatives passed the bill by 89 votes to 55, and the Senate passed it with support from the Greens, Jacqui Lambie Network, and independent senator David Pocock [2].
ㄍㄞ gāi 立法ㄌㄧˋ ㄈㄚˇ lì fǎ 建立ㄐㄧㄢˋ ㄌㄧˋ jiàn lì 問責ㄨㄣˋ ㄗㄜˊ wèn zé 框架ㄎㄨㄤ ㄐㄧㄚˋ kuāng jià 要求ㄧㄠ ㄑㄧㄡˊ yāo qiú 氣候ㄑㄧˋ ㄏㄡˋ qì hòu 變遷ㄅㄧㄢˋ ㄑㄧㄢ biàn qiān 部長ㄅㄨˋ ㄓㄤˇ bù zhǎng 每年ㄇㄟˇ ㄋㄧㄢˊ měi nián 向國會ㄒㄧㄤˋ ㄍㄨㄛˊ ㄏㄨㄟˋ xiàng guó huì 提交ㄊㄧˊ ㄐㄧㄠ tí jiāo 進度ㄐㄧㄣˋ ㄉㄨˋ jìn dù 報告ㄅㄠˋ ㄍㄠˋ bào gào 並賦予ㄅㄧㄥˋ ㄈㄨˋ ㄩˇ bìng fù yǔ 獨立ㄉㄨˊ ㄌㄧˋ dú lì ㄉㄜ˙ de 氣候ㄑㄧˋ ㄏㄡˋ qì hòu 變遷ㄅㄧㄢˋ ㄑㄧㄢ biàn qiān 管理局ㄍㄨㄢˇ ㄌㄧˇ ㄐㄩˊ guǎn lǐ jú 權力ㄑㄩㄢˊ ㄌㄧˋ quán lì ㄐㄧㄡˋ jiù 未來ㄨㄟˋ ㄌㄞˊ wèi lái 目標ㄇㄨˋ ㄅㄧㄠ mù biāo 提供ㄊㄧˊ ㄍㄨㄥ tí gōng 專業ㄓㄨㄢ ㄧㄝˋ zhuān yè 建議ㄐㄧㄢˋ ㄧˋ jiàn yì [[ [ 33 3 ]] ]
The legislation creates an accountability framework requiring the Climate Change Minister to provide an annual statement to Parliament on progress toward these targets, and empowers the independent Climate Change Authority to provide expert advice on future targets [3].

缺失的脈絡

然而ㄖㄢˊ ㄦˊ rán ér 該聲ㄍㄞ ㄕㄥ gāi shēng ㄔㄥ chēng 遺漏ㄧˊ ㄌㄡˋ yí lòu 若干ㄖㄨㄛˋ ㄍㄢ ruò gān 關鍵ㄍㄨㄢ ㄐㄧㄢˋ guān jiàn 背景ㄅㄟˋ ㄐㄧㄥˇ bèi jǐng 資訊ㄗ ㄒㄩㄣˋ zī xùn 足以ㄗㄨˊ ㄧˇ zú yǐ 大幅ㄉㄚˋ ㄈㄨˊ dà fú 改變ㄍㄞˇ ㄅㄧㄢˋ gǎi biàn ㄉㄨㄟˋ duì ㄘˇ 成就ㄔㄥˊ ㄐㄧㄡˋ chéng jiù ㄉㄜ˙ de 評價ㄆㄧㄥˊ ㄐㄧㄚˋ píng jià
However, the claim omits several critical contextual issues that substantially change how this achievement should be evaluated: **1.
** * ** * 11 1 .. . 43%43% 43% 目標ㄇㄨˋ ㄅㄧㄠ mù biāo ㄨˊ 需新ㄒㄩ ㄒㄧㄣ xū xīn 政策ㄓㄥˋ ㄘㄜˋ zhèng cè 即可ㄐㄧˊ ㄎㄜˇ jí kě 達成ㄉㄚˊ ㄔㄥˊ dá chéng ** * ** *
The 43% target is already being achieved without the proposed policies** The government's own December 2024 projections indicate Australia may already be close to meeting its 2030 target with a 42.6% reduction [4].
政府ㄓㄥˋ ㄈㄨˇ zhèng fǔ 自身ㄗˋ ㄕㄣ zì shēn 20242024 2024 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 1212 12 ㄩㄝˋ yuè ㄉㄜ˙ de 預測ㄩˋ ㄘㄜˋ yù cè 顯示ㄒㄧㄢˇ ㄕˋ xiǎn shì 澳洲ㄠˋ ㄓㄡ ào zhōu 可能ㄎㄜˇ ㄋㄥˊ kě néng ㄧˇ 接近ㄐㄧㄝ ㄐㄧㄣˋ jiē jìn 達成ㄉㄚˊ ㄔㄥˊ dá chéng 20302030 2030 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 目標ㄇㄨˋ ㄅㄧㄠ mù biāo 減排ㄐㄧㄢˇ ㄆㄞˊ jiǎn pái 幅度ㄈㄨˊ ㄉㄨˋ fú dù ㄉㄚˊ 42.6%42.6% 42.6% [[ [ 44 4 ]] ]
This means the headline achievement of legislating the target is somewhat misleading—Australia is on track to hit it largely due to existing trends (renewable energy deployment, phase-out of coal) rather than transformative new policies introduced by the government. **2.
ㄓㄜˋ zhè 意味著ㄧˋ ㄨㄟˋ ㄓㄨˋ yì wèi zhù 立法ㄌㄧˋ ㄈㄚˇ lì fǎ 確立ㄑㄩㄝˋ ㄌㄧˋ què lì 目標ㄇㄨˋ ㄅㄧㄠ mù biāo ㄉㄜ˙ de 頭條ㄊㄡˊ ㄊㄧㄠˊ tóu tiáo 成就ㄔㄥˊ ㄐㄧㄡˋ chéng jiù ㄇㄡˇ mǒu 程度ㄔㄥˊ ㄉㄨˋ chéng dù ㄕㄤˋ shàng 具誤ㄐㄩˋ ㄨˋ jù wù 導性ㄉㄠˇ ㄒㄧㄥˋ dǎo xìng 澳洲ㄠˋ ㄓㄡ ào zhōu 之所以ㄓ ㄙㄨㄛˇ ㄧˇ zhī suǒ yǐ 有望ㄧㄡˇ ㄨㄤˋ yǒu wàng 達標ㄉㄚˊ ㄅㄧㄠ dá biāo 主要ㄓㄨˇ ㄧㄠˋ zhǔ yào 歸功ㄍㄨㄟ ㄍㄨㄥ guī gōng ㄩˊ 既有ㄐㄧˋ ㄧㄡˇ jì yǒu 趨勢ㄑㄩ ㄕˋ qū shì ㄎㄜˇ 再生能源ㄗㄞˋ ㄕㄥ ㄋㄥˊ ㄩㄢˊ zài shēng néng yuán 部署ㄅㄨˋ ㄕㄨˇ bù shǔ 燃煤ㄖㄢˊ ㄇㄟˊ rán méi 電廠ㄉㄧㄢˋ ㄔㄤˇ diàn chǎng 退役ㄊㄨㄟˋ ㄧˋ tuì yì ㄦˊ ér 非政府ㄈㄟ ㄓㄥˋ ㄈㄨˇ fēi zhèng fǔ 推出ㄊㄨㄟ ㄔㄨ tuī chū ㄉㄜ˙ de 變革性ㄅㄧㄢˋ ㄍㄜˊ ㄒㄧㄥˋ biàn gé xìng ㄒㄧㄣ xīn 政策ㄓㄥˋ ㄘㄜˋ zhèng cè
The target methodology uses accounting tricks that inflate emissions reductions** A major criticism concerns how Australia calculates its emissions reductions.
** * ** * 22 2 .. . 目標ㄇㄨˋ ㄅㄧㄠ mù biāo 計算ㄐㄧˋ ㄙㄨㄢˋ jì suàn 方法ㄈㄤ ㄈㄚˇ fāng fǎ 使用ㄕˇ ㄩㄥˋ shǐ yòng 會計ㄏㄨㄟˋ ㄐㄧˋ huì jì 手段ㄕㄡˇ ㄉㄨㄢˋ shǒu duàn 誇大ㄎㄨㄚ ㄉㄚˋ kuā dà 減排ㄐㄧㄢˇ ㄆㄞˊ jiǎn pái 成效ㄔㄥˊ ㄒㄧㄠˋ chéng xiào ** * ** *
Government land use, land use change and forestry (LULUCF) sink estimates have increased systematically year-on-year, thereby reducing the amount of action Australia needs to take on fossil fuel emissions [5].
一項ㄧ ㄒㄧㄤˋ yī xiàng 主要ㄓㄨˇ ㄧㄠˋ zhǔ yào 批評ㄆㄧ ㄆㄧㄥˊ pī píng 涉及ㄕㄜˋ ㄐㄧˊ shè jí 澳洲ㄠˋ ㄓㄡ ào zhōu 計算ㄐㄧˋ ㄙㄨㄢˋ jì suàn 減排ㄐㄧㄢˇ ㄆㄞˊ jiǎn pái ㄉㄜ˙ de 方式ㄈㄤ ㄕˋ fāng shì
As a result, excluding the land and power sectors, emissions from all other economic sectors are projected to be 4.5% **above** 2005 levels in 2030 [5].
政府ㄓㄥˋ ㄈㄨˇ zhèng fǔ ㄉㄨㄟˋ duì 土地利用ㄊㄨˇ ㄉㄧˋ ㄌㄧˋ ㄩㄥˋ tǔ dì lì yòng 土地利用ㄊㄨˇ ㄉㄧˋ ㄌㄧˋ ㄩㄥˋ tǔ dì lì yòng 變化ㄅㄧㄢˋ ㄏㄨㄚˋ biàn huà ㄐㄧˊ 林業ㄌㄧㄣˊ ㄧㄝˋ lín yè LULUCFLULUCF LULUCF 碳匯ㄊㄢˋ ㄏㄨㄟˋ tàn huì ㄉㄜ˙ de 估算ㄍㄨ ㄙㄨㄢˋ gū suàn 逐年ㄓㄨˊ ㄋㄧㄢˊ zhú nián 增加ㄗㄥ ㄐㄧㄚ zēng jiā ㄘㄨㄥˊ cóng ㄦˊ ér 減少ㄐㄧㄢˇ ㄕㄠˇ jiǎn shǎo 澳洲ㄠˋ ㄓㄡ ào zhōu ㄗㄞˋ zài 化石ㄏㄨㄚˋ ㄕˊ huà shí 燃料ㄖㄢˊ ㄌㄧㄠˋ rán liào 排放ㄆㄞˊ ㄈㄤˋ pái fàng 方面ㄈㄤ ㄇㄧㄢˋ fāng miàn 需採取ㄒㄩ ㄘㄞˇ ㄑㄩˇ xū cǎi qǔ ㄉㄜ˙ de 行動ㄒㄧㄥˊ ㄉㄨㄥˋ xíng dòng [[ [ 55 5 ]] ]
This means agriculture, transport, manufacturing and other sectors are actually increasing emissions, not reducing them. **3.
因此ㄧㄣ ㄘˇ yīn cǐ ㄔㄨˊ chú 土地ㄊㄨˇ ㄉㄧˋ tǔ dì ㄐㄧˊ 電力ㄉㄧㄢˋ ㄌㄧˋ diàn lì 部門外ㄅㄨˋ ㄇㄣˊ ㄨㄞˋ bù mén wài 其他ㄑㄧˊ ㄊㄚ qí tā 經濟ㄐㄧㄥ ㄐㄧˋ jīng jì 部門ㄅㄨˋ ㄇㄣˊ bù mén ㄉㄜ˙ de 排放ㄆㄞˊ ㄈㄤˋ pái fàng 預計ㄩˋ ㄐㄧˋ yù jì ㄩˊ 20302030 2030 年將ㄋㄧㄢˊ ㄐㄧㄤ nián jiāng ㄐㄧㄠˋ jiào 20052005 2005 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 水平ㄕㄨㄟˇ ㄆㄧㄥˊ shuǐ píng ** * ** * 上升ㄕㄤˋ ㄕㄥ shàng shēng ** * ** * 4.5%4.5% 4.5% [[ [ 55 5 ]] ]
The target is insufficient for climate goals** The Climate Action Tracker, an independent scientific organization, rates Australia's 2030 target as "Insufficient" when compared to emissions pathways needed to limit warming to 1.5°C [6].
ㄓㄜˋ zhè 意味著ㄧˋ ㄨㄟˋ ㄓㄨˋ yì wèi zhù 農業ㄋㄨㄥˊ ㄧㄝˋ nóng yè 運輸ㄩㄣˋ ㄕㄨ yùn shū ㄓˋ zhì ㄗㄠˋ zào ㄧㄝˋ ㄉㄥˇ děng ㄅㄨˋ ㄇㄣˊ mén ㄕˊ shí ㄐㄧˋ ㄕㄤˋ shàng 正在ㄓㄥˋ ㄗㄞˋ zhèng zài 增加ㄗㄥ ㄐㄧㄚ zēng jiā 排放ㄆㄞˊ ㄈㄤˋ pái fàng ㄦˊ ér ㄈㄟ fēi 減排ㄐㄧㄢˇ ㄆㄞˊ jiǎn pái
Multiple analyses indicate the 43% target is not aligned with limiting warming to 1.5°C and represents a "sleight of hand" involving heavy reliance on offsets and accounting tricks rather than real emissions reductions [7]. **4.
** * ** * 33 3 .. . 目標ㄇㄨˋ ㄅㄧㄠ mù biāo 不足以ㄅㄨˋ ㄗㄨˊ ㄧˇ bù zú yǐ 達成ㄉㄚˊ ㄔㄥˊ dá chéng 氣候ㄑㄧˋ ㄏㄡˋ qì hòu 目標ㄇㄨˋ ㄅㄧㄠ mù biāo ** * ** *
Major sectoral problems remain unaddressed** - **Transport**: Transport emissions in 2030 are projected to be similar to pre-pandemic levels, with no net reduction [8] - **Agriculture**: Agricultural emissions are projected to increase as post-drought cattle herds are restocked [8] - **Industrial emissions**: The Safeguard Mechanism (covering 31% of emissions) won't result in direct emissions cuts until the end of the decade [8] **5.
獨立ㄉㄨˊ ㄌㄧˋ dú lì 科學ㄎㄜ ㄒㄩㄝˊ kē xué 組織ㄗㄨˇ ㄓ zǔ zhī 氣候ㄑㄧˋ ㄏㄡˋ qì hòu 行動ㄒㄧㄥˊ ㄉㄨㄥˋ xíng dòng ㄓㄨㄟ zhuī ㄗㄨㄥ zōng ㄐㄧㄤ jiāng 澳洲ㄠˋ ㄓㄡ ào zhōu 20302030 2030 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 目標ㄇㄨˋ ㄅㄧㄠ mù biāo 評為ㄆㄧㄥˊ ㄨㄟˋ píng wèi 不足ㄅㄨˋ ㄗㄨˊ bù zú ㄩˇ 限制ㄒㄧㄢˋ ㄓˋ xiàn zhì 升溫ㄕㄥ ㄨㄣ shēng wēn ㄩˊ 1.51.5 1.5 °° ° CC C ㄙㄨㄛˇ suǒ ㄒㄩ ㄉㄜ˙ de 排放ㄆㄞˊ ㄈㄤˋ pái fàng 路徑ㄌㄨˋ ㄐㄧㄥˋ lù jìng 相比ㄒㄧㄤ ㄅㄧˇ xiāng bǐ [[ [ 66 6 ]] ]
Renewable energy target shortfall** While the government targets 82% renewable electricity by 2030, the International Energy Agency projects only 58% will be achieved based on current policies and deployment rates—a significant gap [6].
多項ㄉㄨㄛ ㄒㄧㄤˋ duō xiàng 分析ㄈㄣ ㄒㄧ fēn xī 指出ㄓˇ ㄔㄨ zhǐ chū 43%43% 43% 目標並ㄇㄨˋ ㄅㄧㄠ ㄅㄧㄥˋ mù biāo bìng ㄅㄨˋ 符合ㄈㄨˊ ㄏㄜˊ fú hé 限制ㄒㄧㄢˋ ㄓˋ xiàn zhì 升溫ㄕㄥ ㄨㄣ shēng wēn ㄩˊ 1.51.5 1.5 °° ° CC C ㄉㄜ˙ de 要求ㄧㄠ ㄑㄧㄡˊ yāo qiú 實為ㄕˊ ㄨㄟˋ shí wèi 依賴ㄧ ㄌㄞˋ yī lài ㄊㄢˋ tàn 抵銷ㄉㄧˇ ㄒㄧㄠ dǐ xiāo 及會計ㄐㄧˊ ㄏㄨㄟˋ ㄐㄧˋ jí huì jì 手段ㄕㄡˇ ㄉㄨㄢˋ shǒu duàn ㄦˊ ér ㄈㄟ fēi 實際ㄕˊ ㄐㄧˋ shí jì 減排ㄐㄧㄢˇ ㄆㄞˊ jiǎn pái ㄉㄜ˙ de 花招ㄏㄨㄚ ㄓㄠ huā zhāo [[ [ 77 7 ]] ]
** * ** * 44 4 .. . 主要ㄓㄨˇ ㄧㄠˋ zhǔ yào 部門ㄅㄨˋ ㄇㄣˊ bù mén 問題ㄨㄣˋ ㄊㄧˊ wèn tí ㄖㄥˊ réng ㄨㄟˋ wèi 解決ㄐㄧㄝˇ ㄐㄩㄝˊ jiě jué ** * ** *
-- - ** * ** * 運輸ㄩㄣˋ ㄕㄨ yùn shū ** * ** * 20302030 2030 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 運輸ㄩㄣˋ ㄕㄨ yùn shū 排放ㄆㄞˊ ㄈㄤˋ pái fàng 預計ㄩˋ ㄐㄧˋ yù jì ㄩˇ 疫前ㄧˋ ㄑㄧㄢˊ yì qián 水平ㄕㄨㄟˇ ㄆㄧㄥˊ shuǐ píng 相若ㄒㄧㄤ ㄖㄨㄛˋ xiāng ruò 無淨ㄨˊ ㄐㄧㄥˋ wú jìng 減排ㄐㄧㄢˇ ㄆㄞˊ jiǎn pái [[ [ 88 8 ]] ]
-- - ** * ** * 農業ㄋㄨㄥˊ ㄧㄝˋ nóng yè ** * ** * 隨著旱ㄙㄨㄟˊ ㄓㄨˋ ㄏㄢˋ suí zhù hàn ㄏㄡˋ hòu 牛群ㄋㄧㄡˊ ㄑㄩㄣˊ niú qún 重新ㄔㄨㄥˊ ㄒㄧㄣ chóng xīn 存欄ㄘㄨㄣˊ ㄌㄢˊ cún lán 農業ㄋㄨㄥˊ ㄧㄝˋ nóng yè 排放ㄆㄞˊ ㄈㄤˋ pái fàng 預計ㄩˋ ㄐㄧˋ yù jì 增加ㄗㄥ ㄐㄧㄚ zēng jiā [[ [ 88 8 ]] ]
-- - ** * ** * 工業ㄍㄨㄥ ㄧㄝˋ gōng yè 排放ㄆㄞˊ ㄈㄤˋ pái fàng ** * ** * 保障ㄅㄠˇ ㄓㄤˋ bǎo zhàng 機制ㄐㄧ ㄓˋ jī zhì 涵蓋ㄏㄢˊ ㄍㄞˋ hán gài 31%31% 31% 排放ㄆㄞˊ ㄈㄤˋ pái fàng 直至ㄓˊ ㄓˋ zhí zhì 年代ㄋㄧㄢˊ ㄉㄞˋ nián dài ㄇㄛˋ ㄘㄞˊ cái 會產生ㄏㄨㄟˋ ㄔㄢˇ ㄕㄥ huì chǎn shēng 直接ㄓˊ ㄐㄧㄝ zhí jiē 減排ㄐㄧㄢˇ ㄆㄞˊ jiǎn pái 效果ㄒㄧㄠˋ ㄍㄨㄛˇ xiào guǒ [[ [ 88 8 ]] ]
** * ** * 55 5 .. . ㄎㄜˇ 再生能源ㄗㄞˋ ㄕㄥ ㄋㄥˊ ㄩㄢˊ zài shēng néng yuán 目標ㄇㄨˋ ㄅㄧㄠ mù biāo 缺口ㄑㄩㄝ ㄎㄡˇ quē kǒu ** * ** *
雖然ㄙㄨㄟ ㄖㄢˊ suī rán 政府ㄓㄥˋ ㄈㄨˇ zhèng fǔ 目標ㄇㄨˋ ㄅㄧㄠ mù biāo ㄨㄟˋ wèi 20302030 2030 年達成ㄋㄧㄢˊ ㄉㄚˊ ㄔㄥˊ nián dá chéng 82%82% 82% ㄎㄜˇ 再生能源ㄗㄞˋ ㄕㄥ ㄋㄥˊ ㄩㄢˊ zài shēng néng yuán 電力ㄉㄧㄢˋ ㄌㄧˋ diàn lì 但國際ㄉㄢˋ ㄍㄨㄛˊ ㄐㄧˋ dàn guó jì 能源ㄋㄥˊ ㄩㄢˊ néng yuán ㄕㄨˇ shǔ 根據ㄍㄣ ㄐㄩˋ gēn jù 現行ㄒㄧㄢˋ ㄒㄧㄥˊ xiàn xíng 政策ㄓㄥˋ ㄘㄜˋ zhèng cè ㄐㄧˊ 部署ㄅㄨˋ ㄕㄨˇ bù shǔ 速度ㄙㄨˋ ㄉㄨˋ sù dù 預計僅ㄩˋ ㄐㄧˋ ㄐㄧㄣˇ yù jì jǐn ㄋㄥˊ néng 達成ㄉㄚˊ ㄔㄥˊ dá chéng 58%58% 58% 存在ㄘㄨㄣˊ ㄗㄞˋ cún zài 顯著ㄒㄧㄢˇ ㄓㄨˋ xiǎn zhù 差距ㄔㄚ ㄐㄩˋ chā jù [[ [ 66 6 ]] ]

💭 批判觀點

ㄘㄨㄥˊ cóng 背景ㄅㄟˋ ㄐㄧㄥˇ bèi jǐng 脈絡ㄇㄞˋ ㄌㄨㄛˋ mài luò 審視ㄕㄣˇ ㄕˋ shěn shì 立法ㄌㄧˋ ㄈㄚˇ lì fǎ 確立ㄑㄩㄝˋ ㄌㄧˋ què lì 43%43% 43% 減排ㄐㄧㄢˇ ㄆㄞˊ jiǎn pái 目標ㄇㄨˋ ㄅㄧㄠ mù biāo ㄉㄜ˙ de 成就ㄔㄥˊ ㄐㄧㄡˋ chéng jiù 顯示ㄒㄧㄢˇ ㄕˋ xiǎn shì 政府ㄓㄥˋ ㄈㄨˇ zhèng fǔ ㄉㄜ˙ de 氣候ㄑㄧˋ ㄏㄡˋ qì hòu 政策ㄓㄥˋ ㄘㄜˋ zhèng cè ㄗㄞˋ zài ㄒㄧㄤˋ xiàng 徵意ㄓㄥ ㄧˋ zhēng yì 義上ㄧˋ ㄕㄤˋ yì shàng ㄉㄚˋ ㄩˊ 實質ㄕˊ ㄓˋ shí zhì 變革ㄅㄧㄢˋ ㄍㄜˊ biàn gé
When examined in context, the "achievement" of legislating a 43% emissions reduction target reveals the government's climate policy as more symbolically significant than substantively transformative.
政府ㄓㄥˋ ㄈㄨˇ zhèng fǔ 能夠ㄋㄥˊ ㄍㄡˋ néng gòu 聲稱ㄕㄥ ㄔㄥ shēng chēng 通過ㄊㄨㄥ ㄍㄨㄛˋ tōng guò 立法ㄌㄧˋ ㄈㄚˇ lì fǎ ㄉㄜ˙ de 功勞ㄍㄨㄥ ㄌㄠˊ gōng láo 因為ㄧㄣ ㄨㄟˋ yīn wèi ㄑㄧˊ ㄗㄞˋ zài 前任ㄑㄧㄢˊ ㄖㄣˋ qián rèn CoalitionCoalition Coalition 政府ㄓㄥˋ ㄈㄨˇ zhèng fǔ 時期ㄕˊ ㄑㄧ shí qī ㄔㄨˋ chù ㄩˊ ㄈㄢˇ fǎn ㄉㄨㄟˋ duì ㄆㄞˋ pài 當時ㄉㄤ ㄕˊ dāng shí 設定ㄕㄜˋ ㄉㄧㄥˋ shè dìng ㄉㄜ˙ de 目標ㄇㄨˋ ㄅㄧㄠ mù biāo ㄨㄟˋ wèi 2626 26 -- - 28%28% 28%
The government can claim credit for passing legislation because it was in opposition under the previous Coalition government, which had set the target at 26-28%.
然而ㄖㄢˊ ㄦˊ rán ér 實際ㄕˊ ㄐㄧˋ shí jì 減排ㄐㄧㄢˇ ㄆㄞˊ jiǎn pái 路徑ㄌㄨˋ ㄐㄧㄥˋ lù jìng 嚴重ㄧㄢˊ ㄓㄨㄥˋ yán zhòng 依賴ㄧ ㄌㄞˋ yī lài
However, the actual reduction pathway relies heavily on: 1. **Pre-existing coal phase-out trends** - Much of the 43% comes from existing renewable deployment and natural coal plant retirements, not new policy [4] 2. **Accounting mechanisms** - The inclusion of generous LULUCF sink credits allows the government to claim emissions reductions that don't translate into actual emissions cuts in key sectors [5] 3. **Insufficient policy implementation** - The government's own analysis shows major sectors (transport, agriculture, industry) will see flat or increasing emissions [8] The legislation does provide certainty and lock in the target, making it harder for future governments to weaken it.
11 1 .. . ** * ** * 既有ㄐㄧˋ ㄧㄡˇ jì yǒu 燃煤ㄖㄢˊ ㄇㄟˊ rán méi 電廠ㄉㄧㄢˋ ㄔㄤˇ diàn chǎng 退役ㄊㄨㄟˋ ㄧˋ tuì yì 趨勢ㄑㄩ ㄕˋ qū shì ** * ** * 43%43% 43% 減排ㄐㄧㄢˇ ㄆㄞˊ jiǎn pái 幅度ㄈㄨˊ ㄉㄨˋ fú dù 很大ㄏㄣˇ ㄉㄚˋ hěn dà 程度ㄔㄥˊ ㄉㄨˋ chéng dù 上來ㄕㄤˋ ㄌㄞˊ shàng lái 自現ㄗˋ ㄒㄧㄢˋ zì xiàn ㄧㄡˇ yǒu ㄎㄜˇ 再生能源ㄗㄞˋ ㄕㄥ ㄋㄥˊ ㄩㄢˊ zài shēng néng yuán 部署ㄅㄨˋ ㄕㄨˇ bù shǔ ㄐㄧˊ 燃煤ㄖㄢˊ ㄇㄟˊ rán méi 電廠ㄉㄧㄢˋ ㄔㄤˇ diàn chǎng 自然ㄗˋ ㄖㄢˊ zì rán 退役ㄊㄨㄟˋ ㄧˋ tuì yì ㄦˊ ér ㄈㄟ fēi ㄒㄧㄣ xīn 政策ㄓㄥˋ ㄘㄜˋ zhèng cè [[ [ 44 4 ]] ]
However, the framing of this as a major achievement obscures the fact that Australia's actual path to net zero remains heavily dependent on technological solutions (carbon capture, hydrogen) that are unproven at scale, and the target itself represents an inadequate response to climate science [6].
22 2 .. . ** * ** * 會計ㄏㄨㄟˋ ㄐㄧˋ huì jì 機制ㄐㄧ ㄓˋ jī zhì ** * ** * 納入ㄋㄚˋ ㄖㄨˋ nà rù ㄎㄨㄢ kuān ㄙㄨㄥ sōng ㄉㄜ˙ de LULUCFLULUCF LULUCF 碳匯ㄊㄢˋ ㄏㄨㄟˋ tàn huì 抵銷額ㄉㄧˇ ㄒㄧㄠ ㄜˊ dǐ xiāo é 使ㄕˇ shǐ 政府ㄓㄥˋ ㄈㄨˇ zhèng fǔ 得以ㄉㄜˊ ㄧˇ dé yǐ 聲稱ㄕㄥ ㄔㄥ shēng chēng 減排ㄐㄧㄢˇ ㄆㄞˊ jiǎn pái 成效ㄔㄥˊ ㄒㄧㄠˋ chéng xiào ㄉㄢˋ dàn 這並ㄓㄜˋ ㄅㄧㄥˋ zhè bìng ㄨㄟˋ wèi 轉化ㄓㄨㄢˇ ㄏㄨㄚˋ zhuǎn huà ㄨㄟˋ wèi 關鍵ㄍㄨㄢ ㄐㄧㄢˋ guān jiàn 部門ㄅㄨˋ ㄇㄣˊ bù mén ㄉㄜ˙ de 實際ㄕˊ ㄐㄧˋ shí jì 排放ㄆㄞˊ ㄈㄤˋ pái fàng 削減ㄒㄩㄝ ㄐㄧㄢˇ xuē jiǎn [[ [ 55 5 ]] ]
A comparison to OECD peers is instructive: While Australia legislated 43% by 2030, the EU committed to 55% by 2030, the UK to 68% by 2030, and the US to 50% by 2030 (in its Paris Agreement commitment).
33 3 .. . ** * ** * 政策ㄓㄥˋ ㄘㄜˋ zhèng cè 執行ㄓˊ ㄒㄧㄥˊ zhí xíng 不足ㄅㄨˋ ㄗㄨˊ bù zú ** * ** * 政府ㄓㄥˋ ㄈㄨˇ zhèng fǔ 自身ㄗˋ ㄕㄣ zì shēn 分析ㄈㄣ ㄒㄧ fēn xī 顯示ㄒㄧㄢˇ ㄕˋ xiǎn shì 主要ㄓㄨˇ ㄧㄠˋ zhǔ yào 部門ㄅㄨˋ ㄇㄣˊ bù mén 運輸ㄩㄣˋ ㄕㄨ yùn shū 農業ㄋㄨㄥˊ ㄧㄝˋ nóng yè 工業ㄍㄨㄥ ㄧㄝˋ gōng yè 排放ㄆㄞˊ ㄈㄤˋ pái fàng ㄐㄧㄤ jiāng 持平ㄔˊ ㄆㄧㄥˊ chí píng ㄏㄨㄛˋ huò 增加ㄗㄥ ㄐㄧㄚ zēng jiā [[ [ 88 8 ]] ]
Australia's target, while higher than the previous Coalition government's target, remains among the weaker of developed economies [9].
ㄍㄞ gāi 立法ㄌㄧˋ ㄈㄚˇ lì fǎ 確實ㄑㄩㄝˋ ㄕˊ què shí 提供ㄊㄧˊ ㄍㄨㄥ tí gōng ㄑㄩㄝˋ què 定性ㄉㄧㄥˋ ㄒㄧㄥˋ dìng xìng 並鎖定ㄅㄧㄥˋ ㄙㄨㄛˇ ㄉㄧㄥˋ bìng suǒ dìng 目標ㄇㄨˋ ㄅㄧㄠ mù biāo 使未來ㄕˇ ㄨㄟˋ ㄌㄞˊ shǐ wèi lái 政府ㄓㄥˋ ㄈㄨˇ zhèng fǔ 更難ㄍㄥˋ ㄋㄢˊ gèng nán 削弱ㄒㄩㄝ ㄖㄨㄛˋ xuē ruò
然而ㄖㄢˊ ㄦˊ rán ér 將此ㄐㄧㄤ ㄘˇ jiāng cǐ 框架ㄎㄨㄤ ㄐㄧㄚˋ kuāng jià ㄨㄟˋ wèi 重大成就ㄓㄨㄥˋ ㄉㄚˋ ㄔㄥˊ ㄐㄧㄡˋ zhòng dà chéng jiù 遮蔽ㄓㄜ ㄅㄧˋ zhē bì ㄌㄜ˙ le 澳洲ㄠˋ ㄓㄡ ào zhōu 通往ㄊㄨㄥ ㄨㄤˇ tōng wǎng ㄐㄧㄥˋ jìng ㄌㄧㄥˊ líng ㄉㄜ˙ de 實際路徑ㄕˊ ㄐㄧˋ ㄌㄨˋ ㄐㄧㄥˋ shí jì lù jìng ㄖㄥˊ réng 嚴重ㄧㄢˊ ㄓㄨㄥˋ yán zhòng 依賴ㄧ ㄌㄞˋ yī lài ㄨㄟˋ wèi 經大規ㄐㄧㄥ ㄉㄚˋ ㄍㄨㄟ jīng dà guī 模驗證ㄇㄛˊ ㄧㄢˋ ㄓㄥˋ mó yàn zhèng ㄉㄜ˙ de 技術ㄐㄧˋ ㄕㄨˋ jì shù 解決ㄐㄧㄝˇ ㄐㄩㄝˊ jiě jué 方案ㄈㄤ ㄢˋ fāng àn ㄊㄢˋ tàn 捕集ㄅㄨˇ ㄐㄧˊ bǔ jí 氫能ㄑㄧㄥ ㄋㄥˊ qīng néng ㄑㄧㄝˇ qiě 目標ㄇㄨˋ ㄅㄧㄠ mù biāo 本身ㄅㄣˇ ㄕㄣ běn shēn 對氣候ㄉㄨㄟˋ ㄑㄧˋ ㄏㄡˋ duì qì hòu 科學ㄎㄜ ㄒㄩㄝˊ kē xué 而言ㄦˊ ㄧㄢˊ ér yán ㄕㄨˇ shǔ 不足ㄅㄨˋ ㄗㄨˊ bù zú 回應ㄏㄨㄟˊ ㄧㄥ huí yīng [[ [ 66 6 ]] ]
ㄩˇ OECDOECD OECD 國家ㄍㄨㄛˊ ㄐㄧㄚ guó jiā 比較ㄅㄧˇ ㄐㄧㄠˋ bǐ jiào 可見ㄎㄜˇ ㄐㄧㄢˋ kě jiàn 端倪ㄉㄨㄢ ㄋㄧˊ duān ní 澳洲ㄠˋ ㄓㄡ ào zhōu 立法ㄌㄧˋ ㄈㄚˇ lì fǎ 確立ㄑㄩㄝˋ ㄌㄧˋ què lì 20302030 2030 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 減排ㄐㄧㄢˇ ㄆㄞˊ jiǎn pái 43%43% 43% ㄦˊ ér 歐盟ㄡ ㄇㄥˊ ōu méng 承諾ㄔㄥˊ ㄋㄨㄛˋ chéng nuò 20302030 2030 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 減排ㄐㄧㄢˇ ㄆㄞˊ jiǎn pái 55%55% 55% 英國ㄧㄥ ㄍㄨㄛˊ yīng guó 68%68% 68% 美國ㄇㄟˇ ㄍㄨㄛˊ měi guó 50%50% 50% 巴黎ㄅㄚ ㄌㄧˊ bā lí 協定ㄒㄧㄝˊ ㄉㄧㄥˋ xié dìng 承諾ㄔㄥˊ ㄋㄨㄛˋ chéng nuò
澳洲ㄠˋ ㄓㄡ ào zhōu 目標ㄇㄨˋ ㄅㄧㄠ mù biāo 雖高ㄙㄨㄟ ㄍㄠ suī gāo ㄩˊ 前任ㄑㄧㄢˊ ㄖㄣˋ qián rèn CoalitionCoalition Coalition 政府ㄓㄥˋ ㄈㄨˇ zhèng fǔ ㄉㄢˋ dàn ㄗㄞˋ zài ㄧˇ 開發ㄎㄞ ㄈㄚ kāi fā 經濟體ㄐㄧㄥ ㄐㄧˋ ㄊㄧˇ jīng jì tǐ ㄓㄨㄥ zhōng 仍屬ㄖㄥˊ ㄕㄨˇ réng shǔ ㄐㄧㄠˋ jiào ㄖㄨㄛˋ ruò [[ [ 99 9 ]] ]

部分真實

6.0

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聲稱ㄕㄥ ㄔㄥ shēng chēng 政府ㄓㄥˋ ㄈㄨˇ zhèng fǔ ㄩˊ 20222022 2022 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 99 9 ㄩㄝˋ yuè 立法ㄌㄧˋ ㄈㄚˇ lì fǎ 通過ㄊㄨㄥ ㄍㄨㄛˋ tōng guò 20302030 2030 ㄋㄧㄢˊ nián 減排ㄐㄧㄢˇ ㄆㄞˊ jiǎn pái 43%43% 43% ㄐㄧˊ 20502050 2050 年淨ㄋㄧㄢˊ ㄐㄧㄥˋ nián jìng 零排放ㄌㄧㄥˊ ㄆㄞˊ ㄈㄤˋ líng pái fàng 目標ㄇㄨˋ ㄅㄧㄠ mù biāo ㄗㄞˋ zài ㄕˋ shì 實上ㄕˊ ㄕㄤˋ shí shàng 準確ㄓㄨㄣˇ ㄑㄩㄝˋ zhǔn què
The factual claim that the government legislated a 43% emissions reduction target by 2030 and net zero by 2050 in September 2022 is accurate.
然而ㄖㄢˊ ㄦˊ rán ér 遺漏ㄧˊ ㄌㄡˋ yí lòu ㄉㄜ˙ de 背景ㄅㄟˋ ㄐㄧㄥˇ bèi jǐng 包括ㄅㄠ ㄎㄨㄛˋ bāo kuò 目標ㄇㄨˋ ㄅㄧㄠ mù biāo 依賴會計ㄧ ㄌㄞˋ ㄏㄨㄟˋ ㄐㄧˋ yī lài huì jì 手段ㄕㄡˇ ㄉㄨㄢˋ shǒu duàn 主要ㄓㄨˇ ㄧㄠˋ zhǔ yào 部門ㄅㄨˋ ㄇㄣˊ bù mén 排放ㄆㄞˊ ㄈㄤˋ pái fàng ㄖㄥˊ réng ㄗㄞˋ zài 增加ㄗㄥ ㄐㄧㄚ zēng jiā 目標ㄇㄨˋ ㄅㄧㄠ mù biāo ㄨˊ ㄒㄩ 政策ㄓㄥˋ ㄘㄜˋ zhèng cè 干預ㄍㄢˋ ㄩˋ gàn yù 即可ㄐㄧˊ ㄎㄜˇ jí kě 達成ㄉㄚˊ ㄔㄥˊ dá chéng 以及ㄧˇ ㄐㄧˊ yǐ jí 目標ㄇㄨˋ ㄅㄧㄠ mù biāo ㄉㄨㄟˋ duì 氣候ㄑㄧˋ ㄏㄡˋ qì hòu 目標ㄇㄨˋ ㄅㄧㄠ mù biāo 而言ㄦˊ ㄧㄢˊ ér yán 科學上ㄎㄜ ㄒㄩㄝˊ ㄕㄤˋ kē xué shàng 不足ㄅㄨˋ ㄗㄨˊ bù zú 意味著ㄧˋ ㄨㄟˋ ㄓㄨˋ yì wèi zhù 這實ㄓㄜˋ ㄕˊ zhè shí ㄨㄟˋ wèi ㄐㄧㄠˋ jiào 聲稱ㄕㄥ ㄔㄥ shēng chēng ㄙㄨㄛˇ suǒ 暗示ㄢˋ ㄕˋ àn shì ㄉㄜ˙ de ㄍㄥˋ gèng ㄨㄟˋ wèi 遜色ㄒㄩㄣˋ ㄙㄜˋ xùn sè ㄉㄜ˙ de 成就ㄔㄥˊ ㄐㄧㄡˋ chéng jiù
However, the omitted context—that the target relies on accounting tricks, major sectors are still increasing emissions, the target is already being achieved without policy intervention, and the target is scientifically insufficient for climate goals—means this represents a much more modest achievement than the claim suggests.
ㄍㄞ gāi 立法ㄌㄧˋ ㄈㄚˇ lì fǎ 提供ㄊㄧˊ ㄍㄨㄥ tí gōng 法律ㄈㄚˇ ㄌㄩˋ fǎ lǜ ㄑㄩㄝˋ què 定性ㄉㄧㄥˋ ㄒㄧㄥˋ dìng xìng ㄉㄢˋ dàn ㄈㄟ fēi 變革性ㄅㄧㄢˋ ㄍㄜˊ ㄒㄧㄥˋ biàn gé xìng ㄉㄜ˙ de 氣候ㄑㄧˋ ㄏㄡˋ qì hòu 行動ㄒㄧㄥˊ ㄉㄨㄥˋ xíng dòng
The legislation provides legal certainty but not transformative climate action.

📚 來源與引用 (9)

  1. 1
    dcceew.gov.au

    Climate Change Bill 2022 - DCCEEW

    Dcceew Gov

  2. 2
    pm.gov.au

    Australia Legislates Emissions Reduction Targets - Prime Minister of Australia

    The Albanese Government’s landmark Climate Change Bills have now passed the Senate, ensuring Australia's emissions reduction target of 43 per cent and net zero emissions by 2050 will be enshrined in legislation. For almost a decade, Australia stumbled from one policy to another, and our economy and communities missed out on billions of dollars in public and private clean energy investment. But today that changes.

    Prime Minister of Australia
  3. 3
    Climate Change Bill 2022 – Parliament of Australia

    Climate Change Bill 2022 – Parliament of Australia

    Helpful information Text of bill First reading: Text of the bill as introduced into the Parliament Third reading: Prepared if the bill is amended by the house in which it was introduced. This version of the bill is then considered by the second house. As passed by

    Aph Gov
  4. 4
    PDF

    Australia's 2030 Emissions Reduction Target - DCCEEW

    Dcceew Gov • PDF Document
  5. 5
    Sleight of hand: Australia's Net Zero target is being lost in accounting tricks, offsets and more gas - Climate Analytics

    Sleight of hand: Australia's Net Zero target is being lost in accounting tricks, offsets and more gas - Climate Analytics

    Australia is unlikely to achieve its net zero target. This is because of its support for fossil gas to 2050 and beyond, it’s long-term emissions reduction plan resorts to unrealistic technological fixes and emissions offsets and because its legislated target of a 43% emissions cut by 2030 is not…

    Climate Analytics
  6. 6
    Australia - Climate Action Tracker

    Australia - Climate Action Tracker

    Climateactiontracker
  7. 7
    Climate Change Bill 2022 - Australian Conservation Foundation

    Climate Change Bill 2022 - Australian Conservation Foundation

    The Albanese Government’s Climate Change Bill has passed the House of Representatives and been sent to the Senate. Its target to slash climate pollution…

    Australian Conservation Foundation
  8. 8
    New research shows our 2030 emission targets are woefully out of date - The Australia Institute

    New research shows our 2030 emission targets are woefully out of date - The Australia Institute

    The evidence is clear - our current policies and targets are insufficient to prevent dangerous global warming, and not aligned with latest scientific research.

    The Australia Institute
  9. 9
    kwm.com

    From ambition to action: understanding Australia's 2050 net zero plan - KWM

    Kwm

評分量表方法論

1-3: 虛假

事實不正確或惡意捏造。

4-6: 部分

有部分真實性,但缺乏或扭曲了背景。

7-9: 大致屬實

微小的技術性問題或措辭問題。

10: 準確

完美驗證且在情境上公正。

方法論: 評分通過交叉比對官方政府記錄、獨立事實查核組織和原始來源文件來確定。